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Doble Duck

Introduction

I noticed the Doble Duck side bet in baccarat at the Casino Life casino in Mexico City on Jan 9, 2024. It wins if either the Player or Banker have a three card hand consisting of three sixes. Following is the pay table:

  • Both Player and Banker have 6-6-6 — Pays 100 to 1
  • Either Player or Banker have 6-6-6 — Pays 8 to 1

Analysis

Doble Duck Analysis

Event Pays Combinations Probability Return
Player and Banker have 6-6-6 100 652,458,240 0.000000 0.000013
Player or Banker has 6-6-6 8 3,370,538,557,440 0.000674 0.005395
All other -1 4,995,027,084,487,680 0.999326 -0.999326
Total   4,998,398,275,503,360 1.000000 -0.993918

The lower right cell shows a house edge of 99.39%. I'm quite sure that makes this the highest house edge on a side bet I have ever seen.