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Last Updated: September 14, 2018

Bad Beat Baccarat

Introduction

Bad Beat Baccarat is played like conventional baccarat except adds some side bets on bad beats. In this case, a "bad beat" is defined as a margin of victory of one point.

Any Bad Beat

I don't know the title of any of these bets so will have to make up my own until I find out. This one pays on any margin of victory of one. It features five paying levels, as shown in the following return table. The lower right cell shows a house edge of 6.88%.

Any Bad Beat

Event Pays Combinations Probability Return
Three-card 9 beats three-card 8 40 20,727,962,554,368 0.004147 0.165877
Natural 9 beats natural 8 10 89,717,848,178,688 0.017949 0.179493
8 beats 7 6 156,966,594,535,424 0.031403 0.188420
7 beats 6 4 195,793,881,763,840 0.039171 0.156685
Other margin of victory 1 1 369,982,973,018,112 0.074020 0.074020
All other -1 4,165,209,015,452,930 0.833309 -0.833309
Total 4,998,398,275,503,360 1.000000 -0.068813

Three-Card Nine Beats Three-Card Eight

Again, I don't know what these bets are titled so will just call them what it takes to win. Wins pay 200 to 1. House edge of 16.65%.

Three-Card Nine Beats Three-Card Eight

Event Pays Combinations Probability Return
Three-card 9 beats three-card 8 200 20,727,962,554,368 0.004147 0.829384
All other -1 4,977,670,312,948,990 0.995853 -0.995853
Total 4,998,398,275,503,360 1.000000 -0.166469

Natural Nine Beats Natural Eight

Again, the title pretty much says all there is to say. Wins pay 50 to 1. House edge of 8.46%.

Natural Nine Beats Natural Eight

Event Pays Combinations Probability Return
Event Pays Combinations Probability Return
Natural 9 beats natural 8 50 89,717,848,178,688 0.017949 0.897466
All other -1 4,908,680,427,324,670 0.982051 -0.982051
Total 4,998,398,275,503,360 1.000000 -0.084585

Eight Beats Seven

Again, the title pretty much says all there is to say. Wins pay 25 to 1. House edge of 18.35%.

Eight Beats Seven

Event Pays Combinations Probability Return
8 beats 7 25 156,966,594,535,424 0.031403 0.785084
All other -1 4,841,431,680,967,940 0.968597 -0.968597
Total 4,998,398,275,503,360 1.000000 -0.183512

I should also mention that this game also offers a couple other side bets that have been around for a while. One is the bet that pays on a winning three-card Banker 7. This bet has many names, most noticeably, Dragon 7 and Golden 7. The other is the bet that pays a winning Player total of eight; this also has many names but usually goes by Panda 8. Neither of these bets are referred to as the Dragon 7 or Panda 8 on the table, but they are exactly the same. More information about those side bets can be found in my baccarat appendix 5.

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Interview with Adam Daines, owner of Bad Beat Baccarat.

Discussion about Bad Beat Baccarat can be found in my forum at Wizard of Vegas.


Written by: Michael Shackleford