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Monkey 6 Tie
Introduction
Monkey 6 Tie is a side bet offered on Monkey Baccarat, a commission-free form of the game, that pushes a winning 3-card Banker 7. The rules are below.
As of this writing, in November 2019, I am aware of a placement at the Commerce Casino in the Los Angeles area.
Rules
As usual when writing about baccarat, I capitalize the names of the Player and Banker bets and use lower case to refer to those playing the game, to avoid confusion.
A "Monkey" in baccarat is a term for any face card. A 10 is not considered a Monkey for purposes of the Monkey 6 side bet.
- The Monkey 6 Tie can be found on games titled Monkey Baccarat.
- Eight decks are used.
- Monkey Baccarat follows standard baccarat drawing rules, which I assume the reader is familiar with.
- Banker wins in Monkey Baccarat pay even money, except a 3-card winning Banker total of 7 is a push.
- The Monkey 6 Tie side bet wins if all of the following conditions are met:
- A total of six cards are in play, between the Player and Banker hands.
- The Player's third card is not a Monkey.
- The Banker's third card is a Monkey.
- The Player and Banker tie.
- Wins pay 150 to 1.
Analysis
The following table shows my analysis of the Monkey 6 Tie baccarat. The lower right cell shows that when wins pay 150 to 1 the house edge is 12.29%.
Monkey 6 Tie Return Table
Event | Pays | Combinations | Probability | Return |
---|---|---|---|---|
Win | 150 | 29,035,119,366,144 | 0.005809 | 0.871333 |
Loss | -1 | 4,969,363,156,137,220 | 0.994191 | -0.994191 |
Total | 4,998,398,275,503,360 | 1.000000 | -0.122858 |
The following table shows the house edge for every pay from 130 to 160 to 1, by tens.
Monkey 6 Tie House Edge
Win Pays | House Edge |
---|---|
130 | 23.90% |
140 | 18.09% |
150 | 12.29% |
160 | 6.48% |
Effect of Removal
The advanced readers *ahem* may be interested in the effect of removing any given card from the shoe. The following table shows the effect on the player's expected return by removing a single card from the shoe (so positive is good for the player). I'll leave further analysis on the topic as an exercise for the reader.
Effect of Removal
Win Pays | House Edge |
---|---|
10 | -0.0000094 |
Ace | 0.0000012 |
2 | 0.0000031 |
3 | 0.0000116 |
4 | 0.0000154 |
5 | 0.0000168 |
6 | 0.0000201 |
7 | 0.0000255 |
8 | 0.0000255 |
9 | 0.0000204 |
Face | -0.0000433 |
Internal Links
Monkey 6 side bet.