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Pleaser bets in the NFL

Disclaimer

The analysis on this page is based on the 4450 NFL games between the 1994 to 2012 seasons. I started with 1994 because that was the year the two-point conversion rule was introduced. Besides sample size variation, I also had to make assumptions about how point spreads were created on pleaser cards. The reader should assume there is some margin of error on any statistic on the probability of winning and expected return anywhere on this page. At the end of the day, sports are ultimately played by human beings, not statistics, so always take any predictions of future results, based on past results, with a grain of salt.

Introduction

For those who know what a teaser bet is, a pleaser (also known as a reverse teaser) works the same way, except the bettor gets negative points. Obviously, that means a lower probability of winning each leg, so the bettor is compensated with a higher pay table.

For those who don't know what a teaser is, with a parlay, teaser, or pleaser bet, the bettor makes at least two selections against a list of games. The player must win every selection to win the bet. The more selections made, the lower the probability of winning, but the higher the win if every selection does win. Rules vary on what happens in the event of a tie. With a parlay the bettor goes against a point spread with no extra points. With a teaser the bettor gets extra points, but stands to win less. With a pleaser, the bettor gives up points but stands to win more.

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nfl_icon.png American Football : NFL
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Upcoming matches Game Money Line Spread Total
Thu Sep 5th 8pm Kansas City Chiefs - baltimore-ravens -140 100 (-3) -107 (46.5)
Fri Sep 6th 7pm Philadelphia Eagles - green-bay-packers -115 -105 (-2) -105 (48.5)
Sun Sep 8th 1pm Chicago Bears - tennessee-titans

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-195
-105 (-4.5) -107 (44)
Sun Sep 8th 1pm Tampa Bay Buccaneers - washington-commanders -185 -105 (-3.5) -105 (41.5)
Sun Sep 8th 1pm Buffalo Bills - arizona-cardinals -285 -105 (-6.5) -105 (48.5)
Sun Sep 8th 1pm Atlanta Falcons - pittsburgh-steelers

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-128
100 (-2) -107 (43)
Sun Sep 8th 1pm New Orleans Saints - carolina-panthers -205 100 (-5) -105 (40.5)
Sun Sep 8th 1pm Cincinnati Bengals - new-england-patriots -410 -109 (-9) -107 (42)
Sun Sep 8th 1pm Indianapolis Colts - houston-texans 115 -105 (2) -105 (48.5)
Sun Sep 8th 1pm Miami Dolphins - jacksonville-jaguars

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-170
102 (-3.5) -107 (48.5)
Sun Sep 8th 1pm New York Giants - minnesota-vikings 100 101 (0) -107 (41.5)
Sun Sep 8th 4pm Los Angeles Chargers - las-vegas-raiders -170 101 (-3.5) -102 (43)
Sun Sep 8th 4pm Cleveland Browns - dallas-cowboys

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-115
-105 (-2) -107 (44)
Sun Sep 8th 4pm Seattle Seahawks - denver-broncos -205 -105 (-5.5) -105 (42.5)
Sun Sep 8th 7pm Detroit Lions - los-angeles-rams -180 -104 (-3.5) -105 (51.5)
Mon Sep 9th 8pm San Francisco 49ers - new-york-jets

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-220
-105 (-4.5) -107 (45)
Thu Sep 12th 8pm Miami Dolphins - buffalo-bills -108 102 (-1.5) -105 (51.5)
Sun Sep 15th 1pm Baltimore Ravens - las-vegas-raiders -360 -109 (-8) -110 (44.5)
Sun Sep 15th 1pm Carolina Panthers - los-angeles-chargers 162 100 (3) -110 (41.5)
Sun Sep 15th 1pm Jacksonville Jaguars - cleveland-browns -110 -110 (-1) -110 (45)
Sun Sep 15th 1pm Dallas Cowboys - new-orleans-saints -258 -109 (-6) -110 (44.5)
Sun Sep 15th 1pm Detroit Lions - tampa-bay-buccaneers -250 -110 (-5.5) -109 (49)
Sun Sep 15th 1pm Green Bay Packers - indianapolis-colts -192 -108 (-4) -108 (47)
Sun Sep 15th 1pm Minnesota Vikings - san-francisco-49ers 235 -109 (6.5) -110 (46.5)
Sun Sep 15th 1pm New England Patriots - seattle-seahawks 130 100 (2.5) -110 (42.5)
Sun Sep 15th 1pm Washington Commanders - new-york-giants -142 100 (-3) -107 (43)
Sun Sep 15th 1pm Tennessee Titans - new-york-jets 164 -109 (3.5) -109 (44.5)
Sun Sep 15th 4pm Arizona Cardinals - los-angeles-rams 120 -110 (2.5) -108 (48.5)
Sun Sep 15th 4pm Kansas City Chiefs - cincinnati-bengals -188 105 (-3.5) -105 (48.5)
Sun Sep 15th 4pm Denver Broncos - pittsburgh-steelers 140 -102 (3) -110 (41.5)
Sun Sep 15th 8pm Houston Texans - chicago-bears -180 -109 (-4) -109 (46.5)
Mon Sep 16th 8pm Philadelphia Eagles - atlanta-falcons -170 -102 (-3.5) -110 (48.5)
Thu Sep 19th 8pm New York Jets - new-england-patriots -320 -110 (-7.5) -110 (42)
Sun Sep 22nd 1pm Indianapolis Colts - chicago-bears -135 -110 (-2) -108 (47)
Sun Sep 22nd 1pm Cleveland Browns - new-york-giants -240 -108 (-6.5) -108 (42.5)
Sun Sep 22nd 1pm Tampa Bay Buccaneers - denver-broncos -170 -110 (-3.5) -110 (43)
Sun Sep 22nd 1pm Tennessee Titans - green-bay-packers 175 -110 (3.5) -110 (44)
Sun Sep 22nd 1pm Minnesota Vikings - houston-texans 180 100 (3.5) -110 (46.5)
Sun Sep 22nd 1pm Pittsburgh Steelers - los-angeles-chargers -142 -118 (-2.5) -108 (42.5)
Sun Sep 22nd 1pm New Orleans Saints - philadelphia-eagles 143 -110 (3) -110 (45)
Sun Sep 22nd 4pm Las Vegas Raiders - carolina-panthers -198 -110 (-4) -110 (42)
Sun Sep 22nd 4pm Seattle Seahawks - miami-dolphins 122 -110 (2) -110 (49)
Sun Sep 22nd 4pm Arizona Cardinals - detroit-lions 164 -110 (4) -108 (50)
Sun Sep 22nd 4pm Dallas Cowboys - baltimore-ravens -112 -105 (-1) -110 (48)
Sun Sep 22nd 4pm Los Angeles Rams - san-francisco-49ers 152 -110 (3) -108 (48)
Sun Sep 22nd 8pm Atlanta Falcons - kansas-city-chiefs 154 -110 (3.5) -110 (49)
Mon Sep 23rd 7pm Buffalo Bills - jacksonville-jaguars -190 -110 (-5) -110 (49)
Mon Sep 23rd 8pm Cincinnati Bengals - washington-commanders -278 -115 (-7) -110 (48)
Thu Sep 26th 8pm New York Giants - dallas-cowboys 180 -110 (4) -110 (44.5)
Sun Sep 29th 1pm Atlanta Falcons - new-orleans-saints -180 -110 (-3.5) -108 (44.5)
Sun Sep 29th 1pm Carolina Panthers - cincinnati-bengals 230 -110 (6.5) -108 (46)
Sun Sep 29th 1pm Chicago Bears - los-angeles-rams -122 -110 (-1.5) -110 (47)
Sun Sep 29th 1pm New York Jets - denver-broncos -278 -110 (-7.5) -110 (42.5)
Sun Sep 29th 1pm Green Bay Packers - minnesota-vikings -218 -110 (-5) -108 (45)
Sun Sep 29th 1pm Houston Texans - jacksonville-jaguars -180 -108 (-3.5) -110 (47.5)
Sun Sep 29th 1pm Indianapolis Colts - pittsburgh-steelers -122 -110 (-1.5) -110 (44.5)
Sun Sep 29th 1pm Tampa Bay Buccaneers - philadelphia-eagles 136 -110 (3) -110 (47)
Sun Sep 29th 4pm Arizona Cardinals - washington-commanders -135 -115 (-2.5) -108 (45)
Sun Sep 29th 4pm San Francisco 49ers - new-england-patriots -600 -110 (-11.5) -110 (45)
Sun Sep 29th 4pm Las Vegas Raiders - cleveland-browns 120 -105 (2.5) -108 (43.5)
Sun Sep 29th 4pm Los Angeles Chargers - kansas-city-chiefs 152 100 (3) -110 (46)
Sun Sep 29th 8pm Baltimore Ravens - buffalo-bills -155 -110 (-3) -110 (47.5)
Mon Sep 30th 7pm Miami Dolphins - tennessee-titans -285 -110 (-6.5) -110 (46)
Mon Sep 30th 8pm Detroit Lions - seattle-seahawks -250 -105 (-6) -110 (49)
Thu Oct 3rd 8pm Atlanta Falcons - tampa-bay-buccaneers -160 -115 (-3) -110 (44.5)
Sun Oct 6th 8am Minnesota Vikings - new-york-jets 175 -105 (3.5) -110 (44.5)
Sun Oct 6th 1pm Cincinnati Bengals - baltimore-ravens -122 -110 (-1.5) -110 (46.5)
Sun Oct 6th 1pm Houston Texans - buffalo-bills -125 -110 (-1.5) -110 (48)
Sun Oct 6th 1pm Chicago Bears - carolina-panthers -225 -108 (-5.5) -108 (42)
Sun Oct 6th 1pm Washington Commanders - cleveland-browns 152 -105 (3) -108 (43.5)
Sun Oct 6th 1pm Jacksonville Jaguars - indianapolis-colts -135 -110 (-2.5) -108 (47)
Sun Oct 6th 1pm New England Patriots - miami-dolphins 205 -110 (4.5) -110 (45)
Sun Oct 6th 4pm San Francisco 49ers - arizona-cardinals -455 -110 (-9.5) -110 (47)
Sun Oct 6th 4pm Denver Broncos - las-vegas-raiders -112 -105 (-1) -110 (41)
Sun Oct 6th 4pm Los Angeles Rams - green-bay-packers -135 -112 (-1.5) -108 (48.5)
Sun Oct 6th 4pm Seattle Seahawks - new-york-giants -160 -110 (-3.5) -108 (43)
Sun Oct 6th 8pm Pittsburgh Steelers - dallas-cowboys 122 -108 (1.5) -110 (43)
Mon Oct 7th 8pm Kansas City Chiefs - new-orleans-saints -355 -110 (-8) -110 (44.5)
Thu Oct 10th 8pm Seattle Seahawks - san-francisco-49ers 196 -110 (5) -110 (46.5)
Sun Oct 13th 8am Chicago Bears - jacksonville-jaguars -102

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-108 (0.5)
-105 (46.5)
Sun Oct 13th 1pm Green Bay Packers - arizona-cardinals -210 -110 (-5) -108 (46.5)
Sun Oct 13th 1pm Baltimore Ravens - washington-commanders -425 -110 (-8.5) -110 (46.5)
Sun Oct 13th 1pm Philadelphia Eagles - cleveland-browns -155 -108 (-3) -108 (45.5)
Sun Oct 13th 1pm New England Patriots - houston-texans 175 -110 (4.5) -110 (44)
Sun Oct 13th 1pm Tennessee Titans - indianapolis-colts 102 -108 (1.5) -108 (44.5)
Sun Oct 13th 1pm New Orleans Saints - tampa-bay-buccaneers -122 -110 (-1.5) -110 (43)
Sun Oct 13th 4pm Denver Broncos - los-angeles-chargers 135 100 (2.5) -110 (43)
Sun Oct 13th 4pm Las Vegas Raiders - pittsburgh-steelers -105 -112 (1) -110 (42)
Sun Oct 13th 4pm Dallas Cowboys - detroit-lions -118 -110 (-1) -110 (48.5)
Sun Oct 13th 4pm Carolina Panthers - atlanta-falcons 150 -108 (3.5) -108 (44)
Sun Oct 13th 8pm New York Giants - cincinnati-bengals 196 -110 (4.5) -108 (45)
Mon Oct 14th 8pm New York Jets - buffalo-bills -122 -110 (-1.5) -110 (47.5)
Thu Oct 17th 8pm New Orleans Saints - denver-broncos -180 -110 (-3.5) -110 (42.5)
Sun Oct 20th 8am Jacksonville Jaguars - new-england-patriots -260 -110 (-6.5) -110 (42.5)
Sun Oct 20th 1pm Atlanta Falcons - seattle-seahawks -175 -105 (-3.5) -110 (48)
Sun Oct 20th 1pm Buffalo Bills - tennessee-titans -355 -120 (-7) -112 (47.5)
Sun Oct 20th 1pm Cleveland Browns - cincinnati-bengals -108 -115 (1) -110 (46.5)
Sun Oct 20th 1pm Minnesota Vikings - detroit-lions 158 100 (3) -108 (48)
Sun Oct 20th 1pm Green Bay Packers - houston-texans -135 -108 (-2.5) -110 (48.5)
Sun Oct 20th 1pm Indianapolis Colts - miami-dolphins -102 -110 (1) -110 (49)
Sun Oct 20th 1pm New York Giants - philadelphia-eagles 196 -110 (4.5) -110 (44)
Sun Oct 20th 3pm San Francisco 49ers - kansas-city-chiefs -118 -110 (-1) -110 (48)
Sun Oct 20th 4pm Los Angeles Rams - las-vegas-raiders -205 -110 (-4.5) -110 (46)
Sun Oct 20th 4pm Washington Commanders - carolina-panthers -155 -110 (-3) -110 (42)
Sun Oct 20th 8pm Pittsburgh Steelers - new-york-jets -105 -110 (1) -110 (43)
Mon Oct 21st 8pm Tampa Bay Buccaneers - baltimore-ravens 185 -108 (5) -110 (46)
Mon Oct 21st 9pm Arizona Cardinals - los-angeles-chargers -118 -110 (-1) -110 (45)
Thu Oct 24th 8pm Los Angeles Rams - minnesota-vikings -180 -108 (-3.5) -108 (45.5)
Sun Oct 27th 1pm Cleveland Browns - baltimore-ravens -105 -110 (1) -110 (45.5)
Sun Oct 27th 1pm Detroit Lions - tennessee-titans -355 -110 (-7.5) -110 (47.5)
Sun Oct 27th 1pm Miami Dolphins - arizona-cardinals -258 -110 (-6) -110 (48.5)
Sun Oct 27th 1pm Tampa Bay Buccaneers - atlanta-falcons -115 -110 (-1) -110 (44)
Sun Oct 27th 1pm Washington Commanders - chicago-bears 110 -108 (2) -110 (44.5)
Sun Oct 27th 1pm Jacksonville Jaguars - green-bay-packers -102 -110 (1) -110 (46)
Sun Oct 27th 1pm Houston Texans - indianapolis-colts -198 -110 (-4) -108 (48)
Sun Oct 27th 1pm New England Patriots - new-york-jets 190 -110 (4.5) -110 (41.5)
Sun Oct 27th 4pm Seattle Seahawks - buffalo-bills 130 -115 (3) -110 (46.5)
Sun Oct 27th 4pm Los Angeles Chargers - new-orleans-saints -155 -110 (-3) -110 (44)
Sun Oct 27th 4pm Denver Broncos - carolina-panthers -135 -110 (-2.5) -110 (41)
Sun Oct 27th 4pm Cincinnati Bengals - philadelphia-eagles -155 -108 (-3) -110 (47.5)
Sun Oct 27th 4pm Las Vegas Raiders - kansas-city-chiefs 205 -110 (5.5) -110 (47)
Sun Oct 27th 8pm San Francisco 49ers - dallas-cowboys -205 -110 (-5.5) -110 (47.5)
Mon Oct 28th 8pm Pittsburgh Steelers - new-york-giants -198 -110 (-4) -110 (42.5)
Thu Oct 31st 8pm New York Jets - houston-texans -142 100 (-3) -110 (45)
Sun Nov 3rd 1pm Atlanta Falcons - dallas-cowboys -105 -110 (1) -110 (48)
Sun Nov 3rd 1pm Baltimore Ravens - denver-broncos -550 -110 (-10.5) -110 (43)
Sun Nov 3rd 1pm Buffalo Bills - miami-dolphins -155 -110 (-3) -110 (51)
Sun Nov 3rd 1pm Carolina Panthers - new-orleans-saints 100 -108 (1) -110 (40.5)
Sun Nov 3rd 1pm Cincinnati Bengals - las-vegas-raiders -335 -112 (-7) -108 (45)
Sun Nov 3rd 1pm Cleveland Browns - los-angeles-chargers -170 -120 (-3) -110 (43.5)
Sun Nov 3rd 1pm Minnesota Vikings - indianapolis-colts -112 -105 (-1) -110 (46.5)
Sun Nov 3rd 1pm Tennessee Titans - new-england-patriots -148 -120 (-2.5) -110 (41)
Sun Nov 3rd 1pm New York Giants - washington-commanders -125 -110 (-1.5) -110 (42)
Sun Nov 3rd 4pm Arizona Cardinals - chicago-bears 102 -110 (1.5) -110 (46.5)
Sun Nov 3rd 4pm Green Bay Packers - detroit-lions -125 -110 (-1.5) -110 (49)
Sun Nov 3rd 4pm Seattle Seahawks - los-angeles-rams 105 -110 (1.5) -108 (46.5)
Sun Nov 3rd 8pm Philadelphia Eagles - jacksonville-jaguars -185 -105 (-3.5) -108 (47)
Mon Nov 4th 8pm Kansas City Chiefs - tampa-bay-buccaneers -355 -120 (-7) -110 (47)
Thu Nov 7th 8pm Baltimore Ravens - cincinnati-bengals -155 -110 (-3) -110 (46)
Sun Nov 10th 7am Carolina Panthers - new-york-giants 106 -110 (1) -108 (42.5)
Sun Nov 10th 1pm New Orleans Saints - atlanta-falcons -105 -110 (1) -110 (44.5)
Sun Nov 10th 1pm Indianapolis Colts - buffalo-bills 122 -110 (2) -110 (46.5)
Sun Nov 10th 1pm Chicago Bears - new-england-patriots -230 -110 (-5.5) -110 (43)
Sun Nov 10th 1pm Kansas City Chiefs - denver-broncos -440 -110 (-9) -110 (46)
Sun Nov 10th 1pm Jacksonville Jaguars - minnesota-vikings -170 -120 (-3) -108 (44.5)
Sun Nov 10th 1pm Washington Commanders - pittsburgh-steelers 102 -110 (1.5) -108 (43.5)
Sun Nov 10th 1pm Tampa Bay Buccaneers - san-francisco-49ers 205 -108 (5) -110 (46.5)
Sun Nov 10th 4pm Los Angeles Chargers - tennessee-titans -180 -110 (-4) -110 (43.5)
Sun Nov 10th 4pm Arizona Cardinals - new-york-jets 130 -110 (3) -110 (46.5)
Sun Nov 10th 4pm Dallas Cowboys - philadelphia-eagles -130 -110 (-2) -110 (48)
Sun Nov 10th 8pm Houston Texans - detroit-lions -118 -110 (-1) -110 (50)
Mon Nov 11th 8pm Los Angeles Rams - miami-dolphins -118 -110 (-1) -110 (47.5)
Thu Nov 14th 8pm Philadelphia Eagles - washington-commanders -340 -115 (-7) -110 (45.5)
Sun Nov 17th 1pm Pittsburgh Steelers - baltimore-ravens 130 -115 (3) -110 (43)
Sun Nov 17th 1pm Chicago Bears - green-bay-packers -108 -102 (-1) -108 (44.5)
Sun Nov 17th 1pm New Orleans Saints - cleveland-browns 122 -110 (2) -110 (42)
Sun Nov 17th 1pm Detroit Lions - jacksonville-jaguars -192 -110 (-4) -110 (50)
Sun Nov 17th 1pm Miami Dolphins - las-vegas-raiders -285 -110 (-6.5) -110 (47)
Sun Nov 17th 1pm New England Patriots - los-angeles-rams 180 -110 (4) -110 (43.5)
Sun Nov 17th 1pm Tennessee Titans - minnesota-vikings -108 -112 (1) -110 (43.5)
Sun Nov 17th 4pm Denver Broncos - atlanta-falcons 142 100 (3) -110 (44.5)
Sun Nov 17th 4pm San Francisco 49ers - seattle-seahawks -355 -110 (-9) -110 (46.5)
Sun Nov 17th 4pm Buffalo Bills - kansas-city-chiefs 100 -102 (-1) -110 (46.5)
Sun Nov 17th 4pm Los Angeles Chargers - cincinnati-bengals 110 -108 (2) -110 (45)
Sun Nov 17th 8pm New York Jets - indianapolis-colts -205 -110 (-4) -110 (46)
Mon Nov 18th 8pm Dallas Cowboys - houston-texans -155 -110 (-3) -108 (49)
Thu Nov 21st 8pm Cleveland Browns - pittsburgh-steelers -142 100 (-3) -108 (43.5)
Sun Nov 24th 1pm Carolina Panthers - kansas-city-chiefs 295 100 (7) -110 (45.5)
Sun Nov 24th 1pm Chicago Bears - minnesota-vikings -166 -120 (-3) -110 (45)
Sun Nov 24th 1pm Washington Commanders - dallas-cowboys 158 -110 (3.5) -110 (46)
Sun Nov 24th 1pm Indianapolis Colts - detroit-lions 114 -108 (2.5) -110 (48.5)
Sun Nov 24th 1pm Houston Texans - tennessee-titans -258 -110 (-6) -108 (46.5)
Sun Nov 24th 1pm Miami Dolphins - new-england-patriots -355 -110 (-7.5) -110 (45)
Sun Nov 24th 1pm New York Giants - tampa-bay-buccaneers -105 -110 (1) -112 (44)
Sun Nov 24th 4pm Las Vegas Raiders - denver-broncos -125 -110 (-3) -110 (42)
Sun Nov 24th 4pm Arizona Cardinals - seattle-seahawks 135 -110 (3) -110 (46)
Sun Nov 24th 4pm Green Bay Packers - san-francisco-49ers 122 -110 (2.5) -110 (47)
Sun Nov 24th 8pm Los Angeles Rams - philadelphia-eagles -110 -110 (-0.5) -110 (47)
Mon Nov 25th 8pm Los Angeles Chargers - baltimore-ravens 135 -110 (3) -110 (47)
Thu Nov 28th 12pm Detroit Lions - chicago-bears -192 -110 (-4) -108 (50)
Thu Nov 28th 4pm Dallas Cowboys - new-york-giants -395 -110 (-8) -110 (45.5)
Thu Nov 28th 8pm Green Bay Packers - miami-dolphins -155 -110 (-3) -110 (48.5)
Fri Nov 29th 3pm Kansas City Chiefs - las-vegas-raiders -355 -110 (-7.5) -110 (45.5)
Sun Dec 1st 1pm Minnesota Vikings - arizona-cardinals -130 -110 (-2) -108 (45.5)
Sun Dec 1st 1pm Atlanta Falcons - los-angeles-chargers -135 -110 (-2.5) -110 (47.5)
Sun Dec 1st 1pm Cincinnati Bengals - pittsburgh-steelers -225 -110 (-5) -108 (44.5)
Sun Dec 1st 1pm Jacksonville Jaguars - houston-texans -110 -105 (-1) -110 (47)
Sun Dec 1st 1pm New England Patriots - indianapolis-colts 152 100 (2.5) -110 (44)
Sun Dec 1st 1pm New York Jets - seattle-seahawks -205 -110 (-4.5) -110 (46.5)
Sun Dec 1st 1pm Washington Commanders - tennessee-titans -122 -110 (-1.5) -110 (46.5)
Sun Dec 1st 4pm Carolina Panthers - tampa-bay-buccaneers 110 -110 (2) -108 (43)
Sun Dec 1st 4pm New Orleans Saints - los-angeles-rams 105 -110 (1.5) -110 (46.5)
Sun Dec 1st 4pm Baltimore Ravens - philadelphia-eagles -190 -110 (-4) -110 (46.5)
Sun Dec 1st 8pm Buffalo Bills - san-francisco-49ers 105 -110 (2) -110 (47)
Mon Dec 2nd 7pm Denver Broncos - cleveland-browns 154 -110 (3.5) -110 (43)
Thu Dec 5th 8pm Detroit Lions - green-bay-packers -155 -120 (-3) -110 (48)
Sun Dec 8th 1pm Minnesota Vikings - atlanta-falcons -102 -108 (1) -108 (45)
Sun Dec 8th 1pm Philadelphia Eagles - carolina-panthers -375 -110 (-7.5) -110 (45)
Sun Dec 8th 1pm Pittsburgh Steelers - cleveland-browns -110 -102 (-1) -110 (43.5)
Sun Dec 8th 1pm Tennessee Titans - jacksonville-jaguars 102 -110 (1.5) -110 (45)
Sun Dec 8th 1pm Tampa Bay Buccaneers - las-vegas-raiders -148 -120 (-2.5) -110 (44)
Sun Dec 8th 1pm Miami Dolphins - new-york-jets -130 -110 (-2) -110 (47.5)
Sun Dec 8th 1pm New York Giants - new-orleans-saints -112 -118 (1) -110 (41)
Sun Dec 8th 4pm Arizona Cardinals - seattle-seahawks -115 -108 (-1) -110 (46)
Sun Dec 8th 4pm Los Angeles Rams - buffalo-bills -102 -110 (1) -110 (48)
Sun Dec 8th 4pm San Francisco 49ers - chicago-bears -238 -110 (-5.5) -110 (47.5)
Sun Dec 8th 8pm Kansas City Chiefs - los-angeles-chargers -278 -110 (-6.5) -110 (44.5)
Mon Dec 9th 8pm Dallas Cowboys - cincinnati-bengals -120 -110 (-1) -110 (48.5)
Thu Dec 12th 8pm San Francisco 49ers - los-angeles-rams -285 -108 (-6.5) -108 (47)
Sun Dec 15th 1pm Carolina Panthers - dallas-cowboys 225 -110 (6.5) -110 (44)
Sun Dec 15th 1pm Cleveland Browns - kansas-city-chiefs 122 -120 (3) -108 (46.5)
Sun Dec 15th 1pm New York Giants - baltimore-ravens 230 -108 (6.5) -110 (44)
Sun Dec 15th 1pm Tennessee Titans - cincinnati-bengals 180 -110 (4.5) -110 (46)
Sun Dec 15th 1pm Houston Texans - miami-dolphins -142 -110 (-2.5) -110 (49.5)
Sun Dec 15th 1pm Jacksonville Jaguars - new-york-jets -102 -110 (1) -110 (46)
Sun Dec 15th 1pm New Orleans Saints - washington-commanders -155 -110 (-3) -108 (42)
Sun Dec 15th 4pm Arizona Cardinals - new-england-patriots -185 -110 (-3.5) -110 (44)
Sun Dec 15th 4pm Detroit Lions - buffalo-bills -130 -110 (-2) -110 (50.5)
Sun Dec 15th 4pm Denver Broncos - indianapolis-colts 114 -110 (2.5) -108 (44.5)
Sun Dec 15th 4pm Los Angeles Chargers - tampa-bay-buccaneers -145 -105 (-3) -110 (42.5)
Sun Dec 15th 4pm Philadelphia Eagles - pittsburgh-steelers -210 -110 (-4.5) -110 (45)
Sun Dec 15th 8pm Seattle Seahawks - green-bay-packers -102 -110 (1) -108 (47)
Mon Dec 16th 7pm Minnesota Vikings - chicago-bears -110 -115 (1) -110 (46)
Mon Dec 16th 7pm Las Vegas Raiders - atlanta-falcons 100 -110 (1) -108 (45.5)
Thu Dec 19th 8pm Cincinnati Bengals - cleveland-browns -180 -108 (-3.5) -110 (45.5)
Sat Dec 21st 1pm Kansas City Chiefs - houston-texans -205 -108 (-4.5) -110 (47)
Sat Dec 21st 4pm Baltimore Ravens - pittsburgh-steelers -238 -105 (-6) -110 (42.5)
Sun Dec 22nd 1pm Carolina Panthers - arizona-cardinals -102 -110 (1) -110 (45.5)
Sun Dec 22nd 1pm Atlanta Falcons - new-york-giants -205 -110 (-4.5) -108 (44.5)
Sun Dec 22nd 1pm Buffalo Bills - new-england-patriots -425 -110 (-8.5) -110 (44.5)
Sun Dec 22nd 1pm Chicago Bears - detroit-lions -108 -115 (1) -108 (47)
Sun Dec 22nd 1pm Indianapolis Colts - tennessee-titans -192 -110 (-4) -110 (45.5)
Sun Dec 22nd 1pm New York Jets - los-angeles-rams -155 -110 (-3) -110 (47.5)
Sun Dec 22nd 1pm Washington Commanders - philadelphia-eagles 158 100 (3) -110 (45)
Sun Dec 22nd 4pm Los Angeles Chargers - denver-broncos -198 -110 (-4) -110 (43)
Sun Dec 22nd 4pm Seattle Seahawks - minnesota-vikings -125 -110 (-2) -108 (45.5)
Sun Dec 22nd 4pm Las Vegas Raiders - jacksonville-jaguars -105 -115 (1) -108 (45.5)
Sun Dec 22nd 4pm Miami Dolphins - san-francisco-49ers -105 -110 (1) -110 (49)
Sun Dec 22nd 8pm Dallas Cowboys - tampa-bay-buccaneers -218 -110 (-4.5) -110 (46.5)
Mon Dec 23rd 8pm Green Bay Packers - new-orleans-saints -218 -110 (-5) -110 (45)
Wed Dec 25th 4pm Pittsburgh Steelers - kansas-city-chiefs 215 -108 (4) -105 (41.5)
Wed Dec 25th 8pm Houston Texans - baltimore-ravens 108 -110 (1.5) -108 (46.5)
Thu Dec 26th 8pm Chicago Bears - seattle-seahawks -185 -108 (-3.5) -108 (45.5)
Sun Dec 29th 1pm Buffalo Bills - new-york-jets -142 -115 (-2.5) -110 (45.5)
Sun Dec 29th 1pm Tampa Bay Buccaneers - carolina-panthers -205 -108 (-5) -108 (43)
Sun Dec 29th 1pm Minnesota Vikings - green-bay-packers 122 -108 (2) -108 (45.5)
Sun Dec 29th 1pm Jacksonville Jaguars - tennessee-titans -192 -108 (-4) -110 (46)
Sun Dec 29th 1pm New Orleans Saints - las-vegas-raiders -155 -120 (-2.5) -110 (43)
Sun Dec 29th 1pm Washington Commanders - atlanta-falcons 122 -105 (2.5) -110 (46)
Sun Dec 29th 1pm Cincinnati Bengals - denver-broncos -395 -110 (-8) -110 (45.5)
Sun Dec 29th 1pm New York Giants - indianapolis-colts 110 -108 (2) -110 (43.5)
Sun Dec 29th 1pm New England Patriots - los-angeles-chargers 135 100 (2.5) -110 (41)
Sun Dec 29th 4pm Los Angeles Rams - arizona-cardinals -240 -108 (-6) -110 (48)
Sun Dec 29th 4pm Philadelphia Eagles - dallas-cowboys -142 -110 (-2) -110 (47)
Sun Dec 29th 8pm Cleveland Browns - miami-dolphins -130 -110 (-2) -110 (44.5)
Mon Dec 30th 8pm San Francisco 49ers - detroit-lions -218 -110 (-4.5) -108 (49.5)
Sun Jan 5th 1pm Atlanta Falcons - carolina-panthers -285 -110 (-6.5) -110 (45.5)
Sun Jan 5th 1pm Baltimore Ravens - cleveland-browns -205 -110 (-4.5) -110 (44.5)
Sun Jan 5th 1pm New England Patriots - buffalo-bills 150 -110 (3.5) -110 (44.5)
Sun Jan 5th 1pm Green Bay Packers - chicago-bears -175 -120 (-3) -110 (46)
Sun Jan 5th 1pm Pittsburgh Steelers - cincinnati-bengals -102 -110 (1) -108 (43.5)
Sun Jan 5th 1pm Dallas Cowboys - washington-commanders -238 -110 (-5.5) -110 (46.5)
Sun Jan 5th 1pm Detroit Lions - minnesota-vikings -250 -115 (-5.5) -110 (47)
Sun Jan 5th 1pm Tennessee Titans - houston-texans 130 -110 (3) -110 (45)
Sun Jan 5th 1pm Indianapolis Colts - jacksonville-jaguars -135 -110 (-2) -108 (46.5)
Sun Jan 5th 1pm New York Jets - miami-dolphins -155 -110 (-3) -110 (45)
Sun Jan 5th 1pm Tampa Bay Buccaneers - new-orleans-saints -135 -110 (-2.5) -108 (43)
Sun Jan 5th 1pm Philadelphia Eagles - new-york-giants -225 -110 (-5) -110 (43)
Sun Jan 5th 4pm Arizona Cardinals - san-francisco-49ers 160 -108 (4) -110 (43)
Sun Jan 5th 4pm Denver Broncos - kansas-city-chiefs 160 -110 (4) -110 (42.5)
Sun Jan 5th 4pm Las Vegas Raiders - los-angeles-chargers -105 -112 (1) -110 (43.5)
Sun Jan 5th 4pm Los Angeles Rams - seattle-seahawks -225 -108 (-5.5) -110 (47)
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Pleaser bets are apparently not very popular, as evidenced by the fact that only three Vegas sports book families offer pleaser cards, as follows:

  • William Hill — 7-point pleaser
  • Stratosphere — 7.5-point pleaser
  • MGM — 9-point pleaser
 

I have never heard of an off the board pleaser bet.

Following is my analysis of each one.

7-Point Pleaser

The 7-point pleaser card is available at William Hill sport books and the Aliante only. All point spreads end in a 1/2, thus there can be no ties. The following table shows the win (on a "for one" basis), probability of winning, and expected return for 3 to 8 picks, assuming a random picker. The probability of each leg winning is 28.65%.

To following table is based on the William Hill pay table. The right column shows the house edge ranges from 39% to 73%.

7-Point William Hill Pleaser Card — Random Picker

Pick Pays Prob. Win Exp. Value
3 26 0.023508 -0.388796
4 80 0.006734 -0.461266
5 240 0.001929 -0.537016
6 700 0.000553 -0.613166
7 2000 0.000158 -0.683388
8 6000 0.000045 -0.727906

To following table is based on the Aliante pay table. The right column shows the house edge ranges from 39% to 73%.

7-Point Aliante Pleaser Card — Random Picker

Pick Pays Prob. Win Exp. Value
3 23 0.023508 -0.459319
4 70 0.006734 -0.528608
5 210 0.001929 -0.594889
6 600 0.000553 -0.668428
7 1700 0.000158 -0.730880
8 5000 0.000045 -0.773255

The smart gambler could cut down these house advantages by playing situations where he gives up less than 7 points and/or stays away from giving up key margins of victory. However, the random-picker house edges are so high to begin with that I wouldn't touch this pleaser card, even utilizing everything in my bag of tricks.

7.5-Point Pleaser

The 7.5-point pleaser card is available at the Stratosphere family of sports books only. All point spreads end in a 1/2, thus there can be no ties. The following table shows the win (on a "for one" basis), the probability of winning, and expected return for 3 to 6 picks, assuming a random picker. The probability of each leg winning is 27.38%. The right column shows the house edge ranges from 64% to 81%.

7.5-Point Stratosphere Pleaser Card — Random Picker

Pick Pays Prob. Win Exp. Value
3 17.5 0.020534 -0.640647
4 50 0.005623 -0.718844
5 170 0.001540 -0.738230
6 450 0.000422 -0.810251

As with the 7-point pleaser, we could chip away at these enormous house advantages via gaining extra half points by carefully comparing the spreads on the card against those on the board. By waiting as long as possible, the bettor can take advantage of line movements. Even with no line movements, if the point spread ended in a half to begin with, then the card maker would have to move the point spreads on each side by 7 and 8 points to keep the pleaser spreads ending in one half. The bettor will improve his odds giving up 7 points only, compared to 7.5. However, it is all a losing battle against house advantages starting at 64%.

9-Point Pleaser

The 9-point pleaser card is available at MGM sports book only. All point spreads end in a 1/2, thus there can be no ties. The following table shows the win (on a "for one" basis), the probability of winning, and expected return for 3 to 8 picks, assuming a random picker. The probability of each leg winning is 24.17%. The right column shows the house edge ranges from 75% to 94%.

9-Point MGM Pleaser Card — Random Picker

Pick Pays Prob. Win Exp. Value
3 17.5 0.014123 -0.752850
4 55 0.003414 -0.812244
5 180 0.000825 -0.851471
6 500 0.000199 -0.900272
7 1500 0.000048 -0.927682
8 5000 0.000012 -0.941732

A 94% house edge? Are you f#*&ing kidding me! Fair odds for a 8-leg MGM pleaser, for a random picker, would be 85,810, and they are playing 5,000 only. Lottery tickets are an outstanding value compared to this.

For a second, I thought this was the worst casino bet I've ever seen. However, that honor still goes to the Harrah's Las Vegas keno room, where the house edge on their "pick-10 stimulus ticket" is 96.63%.

Summary

Let me make this loud and clear. Pleasers are a sucker bet! If you must bet one, the best odds are on the pick-3 pleaser at William Hill sports books, with a 39% house edge. As mentioned before, you can cut down on the house edge by betting as late as possible to give up as few points as possible, compared to the market lines on the board. Even if you could cut down the house edge in half, it would still be an awful bet.

Forget the pleaser cards. Your odds are a lot better with ordinary parlay cards.

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