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Pleaser bets in the NFL
Disclaimer
The analysis on this page is based on the 4450 NFL games between the 1994 to 2012 seasons. I started with 1994 because that was the year the two-point conversion rule was introduced. Besides sample size variation, I also had to make assumptions about how point spreads were created on pleaser cards. The reader should assume there is some margin of error on any statistic on the probability of winning and expected return anywhere on this page. At the end of the day, sports are ultimately played by human beings, not statistics, so always take any predictions of future results, based on past results, with a grain of salt.
Introduction
For those who know what a teaser bet is, a pleaser (also known as a reverse teaser) works the same way, except the bettor gets negative points. Obviously, that means a lower probability of winning each leg, so the bettor is compensated with a higher pay table.
For those who don't know what a teaser is, with a parlay, teaser, or pleaser bet, the bettor makes at least two selections against a list of games. The player must win every selection to win the bet. The more selections made, the lower the probability of winning, but the higher the win if every selection does win. Rules vary on what happens in the event of a tie. With a parlay the bettor goes against a point spread with no extra points. With a teaser the bettor gets extra points, but stands to win less. With a pleaser, the bettor gives up points but stands to win more.
Compare Online NFL Odds
American Football NFL
Later
Seattle Seahawks
New England Patriots
Money Line
-200
181
Spread
-107
(-4)
-105
(3.5)
Featured Insight
The Seattle Seahawks and New England Patriots face off in an exciting NFL matchup. The Seahawks are known for their strong offensive plays, led by a skilled quarterback, while the Patriots have a solid defense.
Los Angeles Rams
San Francisco 49ers
Money Line
-170
157
Spread
-110
(-3.5)
100
(3)
Featured Insight
The Los Angeles Rams face a tough challenge against the San Francisco 49ers. The 49ers have a strong advantage with their powerful defense and consistent offense. The Rams need to improve their offensive strategy and make crucial plays to stand a chance.
Carolina Panthers
Chicago Bears
Money Line
120
-135
Spread
100
(2)
-110
(-2.5)
Featured Insight
The Carolina Panthers and Chicago Bears face off in what promises to be a strategic showdown. Watch for the Panthers’ dynamic offense led by emerging stars. The Bears' defense can be formidable, potentially turning the game on a few key plays.
Tennessee Titans
New York Jets
Money Line
-148
140
Spread
-110
(-3)
100
(2)
Featured Insight
The Tennessee Titans face the New York Jets, with both teams showing varying strengths. The Titans boast a powerful offense led by Derrick Henry, while the Jets have a young, energetic defense.
Jacksonville Jaguars
Cleveland Browns
Money Line
-330
290
Spread
-110
(-7.5)
-110
(7.5)
Featured Insight
The Jacksonville Jaguars face the Cleveland Browns in a thrilling NFL matchup. The Jaguars have shown a solid offense, but their defense has inconsistencies that the Browns could exploit.
Detroit Lions
New Orleans Saints
Money Line
-320
272
Spread
-110
(-7)
-110
(7)
Featured Insight
The Detroit Lions and New Orleans Saints are set for an exciting NFL matchup. The Lions' offense has shown improvement, while the Saints' defense remains formidable. Key players for Detroit are Jared Goff and Amon-Ra St.
Cincinnati Bengals
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Money Line
-190
165
Spread
-110
(-3.5)
-110
(3.5)
Featured Insight
The key to the Bengals vs. Buccaneers game lies in their offensive strategies. Cincinnati's strong passing game, led by quarterback Joe Burrow, faces a formidable Tampa Bay defense.
Houston Texans
Buffalo Bills
Money Line
-105
-110
Spread
-110
(1)
100
(-1.5)
Featured Insight
The Buffalo Bills are dominant with a strong offense led by star quarterback Josh Allen, and a resilient defense. The Houston Texans are underdogs, facing injuries and inconsistent performance.
Indianapolis Colts
Baltimore Ravens
Money Line
165
-190
Spread
-110
(3.5)
-110
(-3.5)
Featured Insight
The Baltimore Ravens are seen as the stronger team against the Indianapolis Colts, who are facing challenges with injuries. The Ravens’ strong defense and recent performances suggest they have an edge.
Pittsburgh Steelers
Atlanta Falcons
Money Line
-155
145
Spread
100
(-3)
100
(3)
Featured Insight
The Pittsburgh Steelers against the Atlanta Falcons showcases a classic gridiron clash. The Steelers' defense is top-notch, characterized by strong pass rushers, while the Falcons rely on a balanced offense. Watch for turnovers, as this could be a deciding factor.
Minnesota Vikings
Green Bay Packers
Money Line
100
-108
Spread
-110
-105
(-1.5)
Featured Insight
The Minnesota Vikings and Green Bay Packers have always delivered intense rivalry games. This matchup hinges on both teams' strategic plays and key player performances, especially in offense and defense. Watch out for injuries as they may impact outcomes.
Philadelphia Eagles
Washington Commanders
Money Line
-210
190
Spread
-110
(-5.5)
-105
(4)
Featured Insight
The Eagles have a strong quarterback in Jalen Hurts, leading a high-powered offense. Meanwhile, the Commanders' defense struggles against top-tier offenses, ranking low in pass defense metrics.
Los Angeles Chargers
Arizona Cardinals
Money Line
-600
460
Spread
-110
(-10.5)
-110
(10.5)
Featured Insight
The Los Angeles Chargers, featuring a potent offense led by Justin Herbert, face the Arizona Cardinals, whose defense is struggling this season. The Chargers boast a strong passing game, which may exploit the Cardinals' secondary.
Las Vegas Raiders
Miami Dolphins
Money Line
-170
157
Spread
-110
(-3.5)
100
(3)
Featured Insight
The Las Vegas Raiders face off against the Miami Dolphins, presenting an intriguing matchup. The Raiders' offensive strengths lie in their dynamic passing game, while the Dolphins boast a strong defensive lineup.
New York Giants
Dallas Cowboys
Money Line
115
-130
Spread
100
(1.5)
-105
(-2.5)
Featured Insight
Considering the recent performance, the Dallas Cowboys have a solid defense that could stifle the New York Giants' offense. The Cowboys' offensive line will be crucial in protecting their quarterback, while the Giants may struggle to score against Dallas' defense.
Kansas City Chiefs
Denver Broncos
Money Line
-150
135
Spread
-110
(-3)
100
(2.5)
Featured Insight
In the matchup between the Kansas City Chiefs and the Denver Broncos, the Chiefs are likely favorites given their strong offensive lineup led by Patrick Mahomes. The Broncos have struggled this season, particularly on defense.
Money Line
-150
133
Spread
-110
(-3)
100
(3)
Featured Insight
The Buffalo Bills are favorites against the Detroit Lions. Buffalo's strong offense, led by quarterback Josh Allen, could dominate the game. Detroit's defense struggles with consistency, which may be a disadvantage.
Money Line
Spread
-110
(-5.5)
-110
(5.5)
Featured Insight
The Tampa Bay Buccaneers face off against the Cleveland Browns. The Buccaneers boast a strong offense led by Tom Brady, but the Browns have a solid defense. Key factors include the Buccaneers' passing game versus the Browns' defensive backs.
Money Line
Spread
-110
(-4.5)
-110
(4.5)
Featured Insight
The New England Patriots face the Pittsburgh Steelers, with both teams showcasing strong defenses. Expect a low-scoring game with strategic plays. The Patriots' passing attack will be crucial, while the Steelers rely on their ground game.
Money Line
Spread
-105
(-1.5)
-115
(1.5)
Featured Insight
The Atlanta Falcons and Carolina Panthers face off in an important division matchup. Atlanta's strength lies in their dynamic offense led by their quarterback, while Carolina excels on the defensive end.
Money Line
Spread
Total
Featured Insight
The Jets face off against the Packers in a crucial matchup. The Packers, led by an experienced quarterback, have a strong home record. The Jets, with their young talent, are improving but struggle away.
Money Line
Spread
-110
(-2.5)
-110
(2.5)
Featured Insight
The Houston Texans are facing the Cincinnati Bengals. The Bengals have a strong home record, but the Texans' offense has shown resilience. Key players from both teams can impact the game's outcome significantly.
Money Line
Spread
-110
(4.5)
-110
(-4.5)
Featured Insight
The Titans vs. Eagles matchup sees the Eagles as favorites with a strong offense and solid defense. Their home-field advantage further boosts their prospects. However, the Titans' powerful running game, led by Derrick Henry, poses a challenge.
Money Line
Spread
Total
Featured Insight
The Chicago Bears face the Minnesota Vikings in a matchup where both teams seek momentum in their season. The Bears' offense has struggled but can benefit from the Vikings' defensive vulnerabilities.
Money Line
Spread
-110
(-7.5)
-110
(7.5)
Featured Insight
The Baltimore Ravens face the New Orleans Saints in a promising matchup. The Ravens have a strong running game and a solid defense, while the Saints rely on their dynamic offense.
Money Line
Spread
-110
(-8.5)
-110
(8.5)
Featured Insight
The Los Angeles Chargers face the Las Vegas Raiders in a divisional matchup. The Chargers are led by strong quarterback play but have struggled with consistency. The Raiders bring a solid offensive unit but have defensive vulnerabilities.
Money Line
Spread
-115
(-2.5)
-105
(2.5)
Featured Insight
The Denver Broncos face off against the Jacksonville Jaguars in what promises to be an enticing match-up. The Broncos' defense has been solid, but the team's inconsistency in offense could be a concern.
Money Line
Spread
-110
(-10.5)
-110
(10.5)
Featured Insight
The key factor in the 49ers vs. Dolphins matchup will be the 49ers' strong defense against the Dolphins' dynamic offense.
Money Line
Spread
-105
(-4.5)
-115
(4.5)
Featured Insight
The Cowboys and Commanders clash promises excitement. Dallas boasts a strong offense led by quarterback Dak Prescott, while the Commanders' defense seeks to pressure him. Key for Washington will be containing the Cowboys’ running backs.
Money Line
Spread
-110
(10)
-110
(-10)
Featured Insight
The Arizona Cardinals face the Seattle Seahawks in a division clash. The Seahawks have a strong home-field advantage, which could be pivotal. The Cardinals will rely on their agile offense, with Kyler Murray's mobility as a key factor.
Money Line
Spread
-110
(-5.5)
-110
(5.5)
Featured Insight
The Kansas City Chiefs are dominant in offense led by Patrick Mahomes, while the Indianapolis Colts face challenges in consistency. The Chiefs’ strong passing game could exploit the Colts’ secondary.
Money Line
Spread
-110
(-8.5)
-110
(8.5)
Featured Insight
The Los Angeles Rams face the New York Giants, with the Rams as favorites due to their strong offense and defensive prowess. The Giants have struggled this season, and while they are playing at home, the Rams' form suggests they could extend their losing streak.
Money Line
Spread
-110
(-7.5)
-110
(7.5)
Featured Insight
The match between the Green Bay Packers and the Atlanta Falcons is expected to be a thrilling encounter. The Packers, known for their strong offensive lineup, will be looking to capitalize on Atlanta’s struggled defense.
Money Line
Spread
-115
(1.5)
-105
(-1.5)
Featured Insight
The NFL matchup between the Cleveland Browns and the Carolina Panthers presents an intriguing battle. The Browns, with a strong defensive line, aim to capitalize on the Panthers' inconsistent offense.
Money Line
Spread
-105
(-1.5)
-115
(1.5)
Featured Insight
The Jacksonville Jaguars face off against the New England Patriots in an exciting NFL matchup. The Jaguars have a strong offense led by a talented quarterback, while the Patriots rely on their formidable defense.
Money Line
Spread
-110
(3.5)
-110
(-3.5)
Featured Insight
The Washington Commanders face the Seattle Seahawks in a clash that pits a promising Commanders' defense against Seattle's dynamic offense. Seattle thrives at home with a boisterous crowd advantage, but Washington's resilience could surprise.
Money Line
Spread
-105
(7)
-115
(-7)
Featured Insight
The Miami Dolphins face off against the Kansas City Chiefs in a highly anticipated matchup. Miami's explosive offense, led by Tua Tagovailoa, will challenge the stout defense of Kansas City.
Money Line
Spread
-105
(1.5)
-115
(-1.5)
Featured Insight
The Indianapolis Colts face the Houston Texans in a crucial matchup. The Colts boast a strong offense, while the Texans rely on solid defense. Expect a strategic battle with potential for high scoring.
Money Line
Spread
Total
Featured Insight
The Detroit Lions face the New York Jets in a closely matched encounter. The Lions' offense, led by their dynamic quarterback, looks to exploit the Jets' inconsistent defense. However, the Jets boast a strong defensive lineup that could challenge the Lions.
Money Line
Spread
-120
(1.5)
100
(-1.5)
Featured Insight
The Pittsburgh Steelers face the Cincinnati Bengals with both teams eager for a divisional win. The Steelers' defense is strong, focusing on stopping the Bengals' efficient passing game.
Money Line
Spread
Total
Featured Insight
The Buffalo Bills vs. Los Angeles Chargers game will likely be a close contest. The Bills' strong offense, led by quarterback Josh Allen, will face off against the Chargers' dynamic defense.
Money Line
Spread
-120
(-3)
100
(3)
Featured Insight
The New York Giants face off against the Tennessee Titans. The Giants' recent form shows a struggling offense, while the Titans boast a strong defense. Key players for the Titans, such as Derrick Henry, could be decisive.
Money Line
Spread
-110
(-1.5)
-110
(1.5)
Featured Insight
In the matchup between the Tampa Bay Buccaneers and Minnesota Vikings, consider the Buccaneers' strong defensive lineup against the Vikings' offensive tactics. The Buccaneers have shown resilience in recent games.
Money Line
Spread
-110
(-11.5)
-110
(11.5)
Featured Insight
The San Francisco 49ers are favorites with strong offensive plays, especially from their quarterback. The Arizona Cardinals, despite being the underdogs, have a solid defense that could surprise.
Money Line
115
-135
Spread
-110
(2.5)
-110
(-2.5)
Featured Insight
The Dallas Cowboys and Baltimore Ravens face a thrilling match-up. Dallas, with its strong offensive line, will aim to exploit Baltimore's pass defense. Conversely, the Ravens boast a dynamic rushing attack led by their agile quarterback.
Money Line
Spread
-110
(-3)
-110
(3)
Featured Insight
The clash between the New Orleans Saints and Las Vegas Raiders promises to be intense. The Saints, with their strong defense and strategic plays, have been consistent this season. However, the Raiders' dynamic offense, led by key players, could pose a challenge.
Money Line
Spread
-105
(2.5)
-115
(-2.5)
Featured Insight
The Denver Broncos face off against the Los Angeles Rams, bringing an exciting matchup. The Broncos are known for their solid defense, led by key players like Von Miller. Meanwhile, the Rams boast a high-powered offense with quarterback Matthew Stafford.
Money Line
Spread
Total
Featured Insight
The Chicago Bears face a challenging matchup against the Philadelphia Eagles. The Eagles, known for their strong defense and dynamic offense, are favored to win. The Bears will need a standout performance from their key players to compete.
Money Line
Spread
-110
(2.5)
-110
(-2.5)
Featured Insight
The Cleveland Browns face the Pittsburgh Steelers in a highly anticipated matchup. The Browns have a strong defense but have struggled on the road. The Steelers, known for their home-field advantage, are buoyed by a powerful running game.
Money Line
-110
-107
Spread
105
(-1.5)
-110
(1)
Featured Insight
The matchup between the Washington Commanders and Indianapolis Colts promises an intriguing contest as both teams showcase emerging talents. The Commanders' defense is solidifying, but the Colts' versatile offense could be problematic.
Money Line
Spread
-110
(-7)
-110
(7)
Featured Insight
For the NFL showdown, the New York Giants face the Arizona Cardinals. The Giants' offensive line struggles could be pivotal, but Arizona's defense is inconsistent. Giants QB Daniel Jones aims to exploit Arizona's weak secondary.
Money Line
Spread
-110
(1.5)
-110
(-1.5)
Featured Insight
The Buccaneers and Packers face off with both teams showcasing strong offenses. Tampa Bay's Tom Brady is in great form, but Green Bay's Aaron Rodgers remains a formidable opponent. The game may see high scores given both teams' defensive vulnerabilities.
Money Line
Spread
-110
(-2.5)
-110
(2.5)
Featured Insight
The Dallas Cowboys, with a stronger roster, are the favorites against the Houston Texans. Key players to watch include Cowboys' QB Dak Prescott and Texans' WR Nico Collins. Dallas' defense could be pivotal against Houston's struggling offense.
Money Line
Spread
-110
(-2.5)
-110
(2.5)
Featured Insight
The Cincinnati Bengals have a strong defensive lineup, making it challenging for the Jacksonville Jaguars' offense. However, the Jaguars have a resilient defense and home-field advantage.
Money Line
Spread
-110
(-8.5)
-110
(8.5)
Featured Insight
In the upcoming NFL matchup between the Baltimore Ravens and Tennessee Titans, expect a competitive game. The Ravens' strong defense and explosive offense could give them an edge.
Money Line
Spread
Total
Featured Insight
The Buffalo Bills have been performing well this season with a strong offensive lineup, while the New England Patriots have struggled with consistency. The Bills are favored to win due to their explosive gameplay and solid defense.
Money Line
Spread
Total
Featured Insight
The match between the Chicago Bears and New York Jets promises excitement. The Bears boast a strong defense, but their offense struggles. The Jets have improved under new coaching and have a solid home record.
Money Line
Spread
-115
(1.5)
-105
(-1.5)
Featured Insight
The Eagles boast a strong defense and an efficient offense, a combination that makes them a formidable opponent. The Rams rely on their explosive passing game, but they need to overcome the Eagles' pass rush. Turnovers and time of possession will be crucial.
Money Line
Spread
-110
(-7.5)
-110
(7.5)
Featured Insight
The clash between the Minnesota Vikings and Miami Dolphins is set to be intense. Vikings' strong offensive line goes head-to-head with the Dolphins' resilient defense.
Money Line
Spread
-110
(-2.5)
-110
(2.5)
Featured Insight
The San Francisco 49ers, known for their strong defense and dynamic offense, face off against the Denver Broncos, who have been inconsistent this season. The 49ers' quarterback and skill players are likely to capitalize on the Broncos' defensive lapses.
Money Line
Spread
-110
(5.5)
-110
(-5.5)
Featured Insight
The Kansas City Chiefs are favorites against the Las Vegas Raiders. Chiefs have a strong home record and a potent offense led by Mahomes. Raiders' inconsistent defense may struggle to contain them.
Money Line
Spread
-110
(-3)
-110
(3)
Featured Insight
The Seattle Seahawks are facing the Los Angeles Chargers. The Seahawks, known for their strong defense, will try to disrupt the Chargers' dynamic offense. Seattle's key will be containing the Chargers' quarterback.
Money Line
Spread
Total
Featured Insight
The Detroit Lions are favored in their matchup against the Carolina Panthers due to their stronger offensive lineup and recent performance. The Panthers have struggled offensively, which might make it hard for them to keep up with Detroit.
Money Line
Spread
-110
(-2.5)
-110
(2.5)
Featured Insight
The New Orleans Saints vs. Atlanta Falcons matchup is a classic NFL rivalry. The Saints boast a solid defense this season, while the Falcons rely on a dynamic offense. Watch for Alvin Kamara's performance, as his running game could be pivotal.
Money Line
Spread
-110
(-3.5)
-110
(3.5)
Featured Insight
The Dallas Cowboys face off against the Tampa Bay Buccaneers. The Cowboys' strong offense, led by their quarterback, may challenge the Bucs' solid defense.
Money Line
110
-130
Spread
-105
(1.5)
-105
(-2.5)
Featured Insight
The Jacksonville Jaguars face the Philadelphia Eagles in an intriguing matchup. The Jaguars have shown promise this season with a strong offensive lineup led by Trevor Lawrence.
Money Line
Spread
-110
(5.5)
-110
(-5.5)
Featured Insight
Miami Dolphins and Cincinnati Bengals face off in an exciting matchup. Look out for the Dolphins' explosive offense led by their star quarterback and versatile receivers. The Bengals will rely on their strong defensive line to pressure the pocket.
Money Line
Spread
-110
(-8.5)
-110
(8.5)
Featured Insight
The matchup between the Patriots and the Raiders promises to be a tightly contested game. The Patriots' defensive strategies are crucial against the Raiders' explosive offense led by their quarterback.
Money Line
Spread
-115
(1.5)
-105
(-1.5)
Featured Insight
The New Orleans Saints' strong defense faces the Minnesota Vikings' dynamic offense, led by star receivers and a versatile running back. Key matchups include the Saints' secondary versus the Vikings' wideouts.
Money Line
Spread
-110
(-2.5)
-110
(2.5)
Featured Insight
The matchup between the Pittsburgh Steelers and the Indianapolis Colts is expected to be tight. The Steelers boast a strong defense, which could be pivotal against the Colts' dynamic offense. Look for key plays from the Steelers' linebackers.
Money Line
Spread
-110
(3.5)
-110
(-3.5)
Featured Insight
The Tennessee Titans and Houston Texans match-up is anticipated to be a close contest. The Titans have shown strong performance in their recent games, especially in their running game.
Money Line
Spread
Total
Featured Insight
The New York Jets and Cleveland Browns face off in a matchup highlighting strong defenses. The Jets boast a robust pass rush, but their offensive struggles could be exploited by the Browns’ consistent running game.
Money Line
Spread
-110
(-2.5)
-110
(2.5)
Featured Insight
On Sunday, the Washington Commanders face the New York Giants. The Giants, coming off recent losses, struggle with injuries. The Commanders have shown defensive prowess. The Giants’ offensive line is vulnerable, giving the Commanders a strategic advantage.
Money Line
Spread
-110
(-2.5)
-110
(2.5)
Featured Insight
The Los Angeles Chargers have a strong passing attack, while the Denver Broncos boast a solid defense. The Chargers are considered favorites due to their offensive capabilities led by quarterback Justin Herbert.
Money Line
Spread
-110
(-3.5)
-110
(3.5)
Featured Insight
The Seattle Seahawks face the San Francisco 49ers in a highly anticipated matchup. The Seahawks have been strong offensively, while the 49ers boast a tough defense. Keep an eye on the quarterback duel and the effectiveness of the Seahawks' ground game.
American Football NFL Preseason
Later
Money Line
105
-125
Spread
-110
-110
Featured Insight
The Arizona Cardinals and Carolina Panthers both have key players that could be game-changers. Watch for Arizona's quarterback to target his wide receivers effectively. Carolina's defense might struggle against a high-paced offense.
Pleaser bets are apparently not very popular, as evidenced by the fact that only three Vegas sports book families offer pleaser cards, as follows:
- William Hill — 7-point pleaser
- Stratosphere — 7.5-point pleaser
- MGM — 9-point pleaser
I have never heard of an off the board pleaser bet.
Following is my analysis of each one.
7-Point Pleaser
 |
 |
The 7-point pleaser card is available at William Hill sport books and the Aliante only. All point spreads end in a 1/2, thus there can be no ties. The following table shows the win (on a "for one" basis), probability of winning, and expected return for 3 to 8 picks, assuming a random picker. The probability of each leg winning is 28.65%.
To following table is based on the William Hill pay table. The right column shows the house edge ranges from 39% to 73%.
7-Point William Hill Pleaser Card — Random Picker
| Pick | Pays | Prob. Win | Exp. Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 26 | 0.023508 | -0.388796 |
| 4 | 80 | 0.006734 | -0.461266 |
| 5 | 240 | 0.001929 | -0.537016 |
| 6 | 700 | 0.000553 | -0.613166 |
| 7 | 2000 | 0.000158 | -0.683388 |
| 8 | 6000 | 0.000045 | -0.727906 |
To following table is based on the Aliante pay table. The right column shows the house edge ranges from 39% to 73%.
7-Point Aliante Pleaser Card — Random Picker
| Pick | Pays | Prob. Win | Exp. Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 23 | 0.023508 | -0.459319 |
| 4 | 70 | 0.006734 | -0.528608 |
| 5 | 210 | 0.001929 | -0.594889 |
| 6 | 600 | 0.000553 | -0.668428 |
| 7 | 1700 | 0.000158 | -0.730880 |
| 8 | 5000 | 0.000045 | -0.773255 |
The smart gambler could cut down these house advantages by playing situations where he gives up less than 7 points and/or stays away from giving up key margins of victory. However, the random-picker house edges are so high to begin with that I wouldn't touch this pleaser card, even utilizing everything in my bag of tricks.
7.5-Point Pleaser
 |
 |
The 7.5-point pleaser card is available at the Stratosphere family of sports books only. All point spreads end in a 1/2, thus there can be no ties. The following table shows the win (on a "for one" basis), the probability of winning, and expected return for 3 to 6 picks, assuming a random picker. The probability of each leg winning is 27.38%. The right column shows the house edge ranges from 64% to 81%.
7.5-Point Stratosphere Pleaser Card — Random Picker
| Pick | Pays | Prob. Win | Exp. Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 17.5 | 0.020534 | -0.640647 |
| 4 | 50 | 0.005623 | -0.718844 |
| 5 | 170 | 0.001540 | -0.738230 |
| 6 | 450 | 0.000422 | -0.810251 |
As with the 7-point pleaser, we could chip away at these enormous house advantages via gaining extra half points by carefully comparing the spreads on the card against those on the board. By waiting as long as possible, the bettor can take advantage of line movements. Even with no line movements, if the point spread ended in a half to begin with, then the card maker would have to move the point spreads on each side by 7 and 8 points to keep the pleaser spreads ending in one half. The bettor will improve his odds giving up 7 points only, compared to 7.5. However, it is all a losing battle against house advantages starting at 64%.
9-Point Pleaser
 |
 |
The 9-point pleaser card is available at MGM sports book only. All point spreads end in a 1/2, thus there can be no ties. The following table shows the win (on a "for one" basis), the probability of winning, and expected return for 3 to 8 picks, assuming a random picker. The probability of each leg winning is 24.17%. The right column shows the house edge ranges from 75% to 94%.
9-Point MGM Pleaser Card — Random Picker
| Pick | Pays | Prob. Win | Exp. Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 17.5 | 0.014123 | -0.752850 |
| 4 | 55 | 0.003414 | -0.812244 |
| 5 | 180 | 0.000825 | -0.851471 |
| 6 | 500 | 0.000199 | -0.900272 |
| 7 | 1500 | 0.000048 | -0.927682 |
| 8 | 5000 | 0.000012 | -0.941732 |
A 94% house edge? Are you f#*&ing kidding me! Fair odds for a 8-leg MGM pleaser, for a random picker, would be 85,810, and they are playing 5,000 only. Lottery tickets are an outstanding value compared to this.
For a second, I thought this was the worst casino bet I've ever seen. However, that honor still goes to the Harrah's Las Vegas keno room, where the house edge on their "pick-10 stimulus ticket" is 96.63%.
Summary
Let me make this loud and clear. Pleasers are a sucker bet! If you must bet one, the best odds are on the pick-3 pleaser at William Hill sports books, with a 39% house edge. As mentioned before, you can cut down on the house edge by betting as late as possible to give up as few points as possible, compared to the market lines on the board. Even if you could cut down the house edge in half, it would still be an awful bet.
Forget the pleaser cards. Your odds are a lot better with ordinary parlay cards.
Top 6 Online Sports Book Bonuses
Internal Links
- Parlay Bets in the NFL
- Teaser Bets in the NFL
- Betting the NFL
- Las Vegas Sports Book Groups
- Miscellaneous topics in betting the NFL
External Links
- Las Vegas Sports Betting Survey — What each sports book family pays on parlays and teasers.