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Mega Millions Calculator -- 2025 Rules

Introduction

The calculator will calculate the odds for the Mega Millions, or any similar game based on the same format of five regular balls and one extra ball.

The defaults shown are the fixed prizes for all wins except the jackpot. The win for the jackpot shown is the reseed amount of $50 million.

The return column shows the ratio of the expected win to the amount bet for each event. In other words, the relative value of that prize to the amount bet. The total return in the lower right cell is the overall expected return of the, before considering taxes, the time value of annuity payments, and jackpot sharing.

Buy Lottery Tickets Online

Name Jackpot Buy Tickets
SuperEnalotto € 67,600,000 Tickets
Euro Millions € 17,000,000 Tickets
La Primitiva € 14,200,000 Tickets
Lotto £ 11,400,000 Tickets
El Gordo € 10,300,000 Tickets
Lotto € 6,000,000 Tickets
Lotto 6/49 CA$ 9,000,000 Tickets
Oz Lotto AU$ 10,000,000 Tickets
Lotto 6aus49 € 4,000,000 Tickets
Powerball AU$ 6,000,000 Tickets
FDJ Loto € 3,000,000 Tickets
Thunderball £ 500,000 Tickets
Mega Millions $ 346,000,000 Tickets
Lotto $ 4,400,000 Tickets
Lotto $ 4,500,000 Tickets
Hoosier Lotto $ 20,000,000 Tickets
SuperLotto Plus $ 62,000,000 Tickets
Hot Lotto $ 9,100,000 Tickets
Powerball $ 307,000,000 Tickets

Rules

The following rules are based on the rules effective April 5, 2025.

  1. The cost of a ticket is $5.
  2. The player will choose 5 White Balls from 1 to 70, and one Mega Ball from 1 to 24.
  3. Twice a week, the Lottery will randomly choose the same number of balls from the same ranges.
  4. The pay table is shown in the default values of the calculator below.
  5. The jackpot starts at $50 million and grows by a percentage of sales with every drawing that nobody wins the jackpot.
  6. For no additional cost, the game shall randomly draw a multiplier, known as the Megaplier.
  7. If the Megaplier is invoked, any win will be multiplied by a random multiplier, except the top prize.
  8. The Megaplier is determined electronically. However, it equates to choosing one of 15 outcomes, with the following distribution per multiplier: 2x: 15, 3x: 10, 4x: 4, 5x: 2, 10x: 1. This equates to an average multiplier of 3.0.

Calculator

The default values are currents wins (as of April 5, 2025). The wins should be before applying the Megaplier.

Largest White Ball
Largest Mega Ball
Cost of ticket
Cost of Megaplier
Average Megaplier

Check if betting the Megaplier:


 
Event Pays Combinations Probability Return
5 + PB
5
4 + PB
4
3 + PB
3
2 + PB
2
1 + PB
1
0 + PB
0
Total  

 

Disclaimer: The values in the return column do not reflect taxes, the time value of annuity payments, and jackpot sharing. These all play a significant effect of lowering the overall value. I find there the relationship between jackpot size and ticket sales is exponential, causing the value of a ticket to be significantly reduced due to jackpot sharing. In short, the Mega Millions is never remotely close to a good bet.

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