On this page
Probability of a Perfect Bracket
Introduction
A question I get a lot in March is, "What is the probability of filling out a March Madness bracket completely perfectly?" A frequently quoted statistic in the media is 1 in 9,223,372,036,854,780,000. This quotation is based on guessing randomly, which nobody does, and makes the hair on the back of my neck stand up. Here I will give a basic strategy you can follow, knowing nothing about basketball, and an estimate of your probability of success with said strategy.
Rules
Following are the rules of the tournament. If you already know them, you can skip this part.
For most intents and purposes, the tournament is single elimination, starting with 64 teams. To satisfy my perfectionist readers, there are actually 68 teams, where eight of them are matched up in four games. The winners of those four games, and 60 other teams, result in 64 teams, which is when the bracket picking typically begins.
The 64 teams are divided into four different conferences, North, South, West, and East, of 16 teams each. Each team in each conference will have a "seed," from 1 to 16, which is meant to be a ranking of their ability, although it is an imperfect method. Next the following will happen:
- The four 1 seeds will play the four 16 seeds.
- The four 8 seeds will play the four 9 seeds.
- The four 5 seeds will play the four 12 seeds.
- The four 4 seeds will play the four 13 seeds.
- The four 6 seeds will play the four 11 seeds.
- The four 3 seeds will play the four 14 seeds.
- The four 2 seeds will play the four 15 seeds.
- The four 7 seeds will play the four 10 seeds.
- After the games in steps 1 to 8, the 64 teams will be narrowed down to 32.
- The winners from rule 1 will play the winners from rule 2.
- The winners from rule 3 will play the winners from rule 4.
- The winners from rule 5 will play the winners from rule 6.
- The winners from rule 7 will play the winners from rule 8.
- After the games in steps 10 to 13, the 32 remaining teams will be narrowed down to 16.
- The winners from rule 10 will play the winners from rule 11.
- The winners from rule 12 will play the winners from rule 13.
- After the games in steps 15 and 16, the 16 remaining teams will be narrowed down to eight.
- The winners from rule 15 will play the winners from rule 16.
- After the games in step 18, the eight remaining teams will be narrowed down to 4. This will establish a winner from each of the four divisions.
- The winner of the regional that had the #1 overall team as determined by the NCAA basketball committee when selecting the tournament teams plays the winner of the regional that had the #4 overall team; with the winner advancing.
- The winners of the two regions, not mentioned in rule 20, play each other, with the winner advancing.
- The winners of steps 20 and 21 will play, the winner winning the tournament.
Once it gets to 64 teams, there are 32+16+8+4+2+1=63 games in the tournament.
Basic Strategy
Always pick the team with the higher-ranking seed, or lower number. For example, in the four games where a number 1 seed plays a number 16 seed, pick the number 1 seed. Of the 136 times a 1 seed has played a 16 seed, the number one seed won 135 times. 2018 saw the first number one seed lose to a 16 seed when UMBC (which has a great chess team) beat the University of Virginia.
When you get down to a number one seed winning each of the four divisions, pick the remaining three games randomly.
Matchups
The following table shows many face-offs there have been among all unbalanced match-ups have that happened at least once. This does not include games where teams of equal seed played against each other. The right column shows the probability the higher ranked team won.
Unbalanced Matchup Results
| Higher Seed | Lower Seed | Games Played | Higher Seed Wins | Probability |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | 67 | 36 | 0.537313 |
| 1 | 3 | 36 | 22 | 0.611111 |
| 1 | 4 | 64 | 47 | 0.734375 |
| 1 | 5 | 48 | 40 | 0.833333 |
| 1 | 6 | 13 | 10 | 0.769231 |
| 1 | 7 | 7 | 6 | 0.857143 |
| 1 | 8 | 75 | 60 | 0.800000 |
| 1 | 9 | 71 | 65 | 0.915493 |
| 1 | 10 | 6 | 5 | 0.833333 |
| 1 | 11 | 8 | 4 | 0.500000 |
| 1 | 12 | 20 | 20 | 1.000000 |
| 1 | 13 | 4 | 4 | 1.000000 |
| 1 | 16 | 144 | 143 | 0.993056 |
| 2 | 3 | 56 | 34 | 0.607143 |
| 2 | 4 | 7 | 3 | 0.428571 |
| 2 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0.000000 |
| 2 | 6 | 30 | 23 | 0.766667 |
| 2 | 7 | 82 | 57 | 0.695122 |
| 2 | 8 | 7 | 2 | 0.285714 |
| 2 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0.000000 |
| 2 | 10 | 52 | 34 | 0.653846 |
| 2 | 11 | 18 | 15 | 0.833333 |
| 2 | 12 | 2 | 2 | 1.000000 |
| 2 | 15 | 144 | 134 | 0.930556 |
| 3 | 4 | 7 | 4 | 0.571429 |
| 3 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 0.500000 |
| 3 | 6 | 75 | 45 | 0.600000 |
| 3 | 7 | 15 | 9 | 0.600000 |
| 3 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 1.000000 |
| 3 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 1.000000 |
| 3 | 10 | 12 | 8 | 0.666667 |
| 3 | 11 | 49 | 32 | 0.653061 |
| 3 | 14 | 144 | 122 | 0.847222 |
| 3 | 15 | 2 | 2 | 1.000000 |
| 4 | 5 | 75 | 42 | 0.560000 |
| 4 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0.500000 |
| 4 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0.400000 |
| 4 | 8 | 9 | 4 | 0.444444 |
| 4 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 0.666667 |
| 4 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 1.000000 |
| 4 | 12 | 39 | 26 | 0.666667 |
| 4 | 13 | 144 | 113 | 0.784722 |
| 5 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 1.000000 |
| 5 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 0.333333 |
| 5 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 0.333333 |
| 5 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 1.000000 |
| 5 | 12 | 144 | 93 | 0.645833 |
| 5 | 13 | 19 | 16 | 0.842105 |
| 6 | 7 | 9 | 6 | 0.666667 |
| 6 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0.000000 |
| 6 | 10 | 7 | 4 | 0.571429 |
| 6 | 11 | 144 | 90 | 0.625000 |
| 6 | 14 | 15 | 13 | 0.866667 |
| 7 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 0.500000 |
| 7 | 10 | 144 | 87 | 0.604167 |
| 7 | 11 | 3 | 0 | 0.000000 |
| 7 | 14 | 1 | 1 | 1.000000 |
| 7 | 15 | 5 | 3 | 0.600000 |
| 8 | 9 | 144 | 74 | 0.513889 |
| 8 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 1.000000 |
| 8 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 0.000000 |
| 8 | 13 | 1 | 1 | 1.000000 |
| 8 | 16 | 1 | 0 | 0.000000 |
| 9 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 0.000000 |
| 9 | 13 | 1 | 1 | 1.000000 |
| 10 | 11 | 3 | 1 | 0.333333 |
| 10 | 14 | 1 | 1 | 1.000000 |
| 10 | 15 | 5 | 5 | 1.000000 |
| 11 | 14 | 7 | 6 | 0.857143 |
| 12 | 13 | 12 | 9 | 0.750000 |
Analysis
The way I used to analyze the probability of a perfect bracket was to look at historical experience of any one seed beating another seed. For example, the probability of a 4 seed beating a 5 seed. At the time of this writing, with 36 years of data from 1985 to 2021, such a matchup has happened 75 times, with the 4 seed winning 42 of them, for a probability of 56%. This is a decent method, but suffers from a small sample size problem. I think a better way to get at the probability of the higher seeded team winning any given game, according to the two seed numbers, is to look at all 2,268 tournament games played in the 36 years between 1985 and 2021. Doing so gave me the opportunity to smooth out the ups and down in the data and make for a better estimate. I get into how I did more more deeply in my page on March Madness.
The following table shows the probability of the higher seeded team winning any possible matchup necessary to win if the player picked the higher seeded team every game. In the case of a 1 seed playing a 1 seed, I assume a 50% chance of winining any given game. The "old method" probability looks at the exact probability, based on historical experience. The "new method" is based on my method of smoothing out the data to get a more accurate picture of the strength of any given seed.
Probability Favorite Wins
| Round | Event | Games Played | Probability Old Method |
Probability New Method |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 beats 16 | 4 | 0.993056 | 0.993049 |
| 1 | 2 beats 15 | 4 | 0.930556 | 0.933458 |
| 1 | 3 beats 14 | 4 | 0.847222 | 0.887485 |
| 1 | 4 beats 13 | 4 | 0.784722 | 0.832170 |
| 1 | 5 beats 12 | 4 | 0.645833 | 0.768372 |
| 1 | 6 beats 11 | 4 | 0.625000 | 0.697340 |
| 1 | 7 beats 10 | 4 | 0.604167 | 0.620749 |
| 1 | 8 beats 9 | 4 | 0.513889 | 0.540650 |
| 2 | 1 beats 8 | 4 | 0.800000 | 0.792047 |
| 2 | 4 beats 5 | 4 | 0.560000 | 0.540873 |
| 2 | 3 beats 6 | 4 | 0.600000 | 0.622246 |
| 2 | 2 beats 7 | 4 | 0.695122 | 0.702952 |
| 3 | 1 beats 4 | 4 | 0.734375 | 0.668944 |
| 3 | 2 beats 3 | 4 | 0.607143 | 0.551538 |
| 4 | 1 beats 2 | 4 | 0.537313 | 0.578959 |
| 5 | 1 beats 1 | 2 | 0.500000 | 0.500000 |
| 6 | 1 beats 1 | 1 | 0.500000 | 0.500000 |
Before going on, let me use the notation of pr(x) = probability of event x happening. For example, pr(rolling a total of 7 with two dice) = 1/6.
Remember that there are four divisions in the tournament, so for the first four rounds, the player will have to win any given matchup four times.
The probability of winning all 32 games in the first round and advancing to round 2 is: [pr(1 seed beats 16 seed)*pr(2 seed beats 15 seed)*pr(3 seed beats 14 seed)*pr(4 seed beats 13 seed)*pr(5 seed beats 12 seed)*pr(6 seed beats 11 seed)*pr(7 seed beats 10 seed)*pr(8 seed beats 9 seed)]^4.
Under the new method, this probability of surviving to round 2 is 1 in 4,354.
In round 2, the player will have 16 games to win. Assuming he survives round 1, the probability of surviving round 2 will be [pr(1 seed beats 8 seed)*pr(2 seed beats 7 seed)*pr(3 seed beats 6 seed)*pr(4 seed beats 5 seed)]^4. This probability, using the new method is 1 in 811. The probability of surviving both rounds 1 and 2 is 1 in 3,531,138.
In round 3, the player will have 8 games to win. Assuming he survives rounds 1 and 2, the probability of surviving round 3 will be [pr(1 seed beats 4 seed)*pr(2 seed beats 3 seed)]^4. This probability, using the new method is 1 in 54. The probability of surviving to this point, from the beginning, is about 1 in 190 million.
In round 4, the player will have 4 games to win. These will all be 1 seed vs. 1 seed games. Let's assume a 50% chance of winning each game. The probability of winning all four games is (1/2)^4 = 1 in 16. The probability of surviving to this point, from the beginning, is about 1 in 1.7 billion.
In round 5, the player will have 2 games to win. These will all be 1 seed vs. 1 seed games. Again, let's assume a 50% chance of winning each game. The probability of winning both games is (1/2)^2 = 1 in 4. The probability of surviving to this point, from the beginning, is about 1 in 6.8 billion.
The player will still have one more game to win, the championship game. If he survived this far, it will be another 1 seed vs. 1 seed. Let's again assume a 50% chance of winning. That brings the probability of survival through the championship game, for a perfect bracket, to about 1 in 13.6 billion.
By the way, using the old method results in a probability of a perfect bracket of 1 in 56.7 billion.
Warren Buffett Prize
Warren Buffett has offered $1,000,000 per year, for life, to any employee of his who can fill out a perfect bracket. Warren has about 377,000 employees (source). Assuming each one followed the strategy above, and lived 60 more years, the expected value per employee is 0.4 cents and the expected cost to Mr. Buffet over all his employees is $1,667.
If you don't want to risk sharing the glory of a perfect bracket with someone else following my strategy, I'd suggest picking one or two 9 seeds to beat an 8 seed. The probability of the nine seed beating an eight seed is 47.8%, so a small sacrifice to increase your chances at hogging the glory of a perfect bracket to yourself.
Compare Online NBA Odds
Basketball : Basketball Euroleague
| Upcoming matches | Game | Money Line | Spread | Total | Featured Insight |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thu Nov 21st 12pm | Anadolu Efes - Paris Basketball |
|
|
|
Anadolu Efes is a strong team with a robust defense. Paris Basketball will need to play aggressively to compete. Home court advantage may favor Anadolu Efes. |
| Thu Nov 21st 1pm | AS Monaco - ASVEL Lyon Villeurbanne |
|
|
|
AS Monaco is a strong favorite, given their recent form and home advantage. ASVEL must improve defensively to compete. Expect a high-scoring game. |
| Thu Nov 21st 2pm | KK Crvena zvezda - KK Partizan NIS |
|
|
|
Crvena zvezda and Partizan are fierce rivals with close matches. Consider home advantage, recent form, player injuries, and head-to-head stats for informed betting decisions. |
| Thu Nov 21st 2pm | Olympiacos - Saski Baskonia |
|
|
|
Consider Olympiacos' strong home court advantage and Sasaki Baskonia's inconsistent performance on the road. Key player injuries and recent form could impact outcome. Analyze recent statistics for better predictions. |
| Thu Nov 21st 2pm | Pallacanestro Olimpia Milano - Maccabi Tel Aviv |
|
|
|
Olimpia Milano has a strong defense, while Maccabi Tel Aviv excels in fast breaks. Key players could decide the tight matchup. Home advantage might favor Milano slightly. |
| Thu Nov 21st 2pm | Real Madrid - ALBA Berlin |
|
|
|
Real Madrid is favored against ALBA Berlin. Key players, home advantage, and recent form could influence the outcome. Consider point spread and over/under lines for potential bets. |
| Upcoming matches | Game | Money Line | Spread | Total | Featured Insight |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fri Nov 22nd 1pm | Žalgiris - Panathinaikos | Zalgiris and Panathinaikos clash promises high intensity. Key players: Zalgiris's Milaknis and Panathinaikos's Papapetrou. Home advantage may benefit Zalgiris. Expect tight score. Consider under 160 points. | |||
| Fri Nov 22nd 2pm | FC Bayern München - FC Barcelona Bàsquet | Expect a close game between Bayern Munich and FC Barcelona. Analyze player form and injuries. Consider defensive strategies and recent head-to-head performance for more accurate betting insights. |
Basketball : NBA
| Upcoming matches | Game | Money Line | Spread | Total | Featured Insight |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thu Nov 21st 7pm | Charlotte Hornets - Detroit Pistons |
|
|
|
Charlotte Hornets have a strong home record. Detroit Pistons struggle on the road. Key players could impact the result. Consider Hornets as favorites. Watch injury reports closely. |
| Thu Nov 21st 7pm | Toronto Raptors - Minnesota Timberwolves |
|
|
|
Toronto Raptors lean on defense against Minnesota Timberwolves. Key players: Siakam, Gobert. Watch Raptors' perimeter shooting and Timberwolves’ rebounding advantage. Close match expected. |
| Thu Nov 21st 8pm | San Antonio Spurs - Utah Jazz |
|
|
-110 (222.5)
|
San Antonio Spurs face a challenging matchup against Utah Jazz. Key players' performances, team dynamics, and home-court advantage may influence game outcome. Monitor injury reports for potential impact. |
| Thu Nov 21st 10pm | Los Angeles Lakers - Orlando Magic |
|
-105 (-5.5)
|
|
Lakers have a strong home record. Magic shows inconsistent form away. LeBron key player for LA. Monitor injuries. Consider point spread for betting advantage. |
| Fri Nov 22nd 7pm | Philadelphia 76ers - Brooklyn Nets |
|
|
|
Philadelphia's strong offense may overpower Brooklyn's defense. Key players and matchups could impact outcomes. Consider Philadelphia's form and Brooklyn's injuries when placing bets. |
| Fri Nov 22nd 7pm | Washington Wizards - Boston Celtics |
|
|
|
Boston Celtics are favored with stronger defense and current form. Washington Wizards need a tactical shift and star performances to succeed. Expect a high-scoring game with key player matchups. |
| Fri Nov 22nd 7pm | New Orleans Pelicans - Golden State Warriors | Pelicans' injury issues may favor Warriors' aggressive play. Evaluate team form and home advantage. Monitor pre-game reports for last-minute updates. Consider over/under betting for potential high-scoring game. | |||
| Fri Nov 22nd 8pm | Milwaukee Bucks - Indiana Pacers |
|
|
|
Bucks strong defense and star player Giannis could dominate. Pacers rely on fast offensive plays. Home court might give Indiana edge, but Milwaukee remains favorite. Injuries to key players critical. |
| Fri Nov 22nd 8pm | Houston Rockets - Portland Trail Blazers |
|
|
Houston Rockets face challenges but seek home win. Trail Blazers show strong offense. Key factors: defense strength, shooting accuracy, bench depth, star player performance. | |
| Fri Nov 22nd 8pm | Chicago Bulls - Atlanta Hawks |
|
|
|
Chicago Bulls need strong defense against Atlanta Hawks. Hawks focus on offense. Key players: Zach LaVine, Trae Young. Watch for injury updates. Tight game expected, betting line careful analysis needed. |
| Upcoming matches | Game | Money Line | Spread | Total | Featured Insight |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wed Dec 25th 12pm | New York Knicks - San Antonio Spurs |
|
|
|
The Knicks have a strong defense this season, while the Spurs struggle on the road. Expect a low-scoring game with the Knicks as favorites. |
| Wed Dec 25th 2pm | Dallas Mavericks - Minnesota Timberwolves |
|
|
|
Consider player matchups, recent performance trends, and home-court advantage. Dallas's offense versus Minnesota's defense could be pivotal. Injuries and bench strength might influence outcomes. |
| Wed Dec 25th 5pm | Boston Celtics - Philadelphia 76ers |
|
|
|
The Boston Celtics have a strong lineup but face tough competition from the Philadelphia 76ers. Consider player injuries and recent performance trends for informed betting. |
| Wed Dec 25th 8pm | Golden State Warriors - Los Angeles Lakers |
|
|
|
Warriors' strong perimeter shooting meets Lakers' tough defense. Watch Curry vs. LeBron duel. Lakers' size advantage could be key. Close match expected with high-scoring potential. |
| Wed Dec 25th 10pm | Phoenix Suns - Denver Nuggets |
|
|
|
Consider Denver's strong home record. Suns' depth increases their competitiveness. Check injury reports for impact players. Nuggets' Jokic is a key factor. Look at recent head-to-head performance. |
Basketball : NBA Championship Winner
| Sat May 31st 6pm | Competitor/Team | Quote |
|---|---|---|
| Boston Celtics |
|
More odds |
| Oklahoma City Thunder |
|
More odds |
| New York Knicks |
|
More odds |
| Dallas Mavericks |
|
More odds |
| Cleveland Cavaliers |
|
More odds |
| Denver Nuggets |
|
More odds |
| Phoenix Suns |
|
More odds |
| Golden State Warriors |
|
More odds |
| Minnesota Timberwolves |
|
More odds |
| Los Angeles Lakers |
|
More odds |
| Milwaukee Bucks |
|
More odds |
| Philadelphia 76ers |
|
More odds |
| Memphis Grizzlies |
|
More odds |
| Orlando Magic |
|
More odds |
| Miami Heat |
|
More odds |
| Indiana Pacers |
|
More odds |
| Sacramento Kings |
|
More odds |
| Los Angeles Clippers |
|
More odds |
| Houston Rockets |
|
More odds |
| New Orleans Pelicans |
|
More odds |
| San Antonio Spurs |
|
More odds |
| Atlanta Hawks |
|
More odds |
| Chicago Bulls |
|
More odds |
| Utah Jazz |
|
More odds |
| Brooklyn Nets |
|
More odds |
| Charlotte Hornets |
|
More odds |
| Detroit Pistons |
|
More odds |
| Toronto Raptors |
|
More odds |
| Washington Wizards |
|
More odds |
| Portland Trail Blazers |
|
More odds |
Basketball : NCAAB
| Upcoming matches | Game | Money Line | Spread | Total | Featured Insight |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thu Nov 21st 11am | UIC Flames - James Madison Dukes |
|
|
|
James Madison Dukes hold a stronger record. UIC Flames need robust defense to contend. Consider point differential and home advantage in betting insights. |
| Thu Nov 21st 12pm | Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders - Ohio Bobcats |
|
|
|
The Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders and Ohio Bobcats compete intensely. Watch player matchups. Key stats: Blue Raiders' defense vs. Bobcats' offense. Betting tip: Consider recent performance and team morale. |
| Thu Nov 21st 12pm | Drake Bulldogs - Miami Hurricanes |
|
|
|
Drake Bulldogs have strong defense but lack depth. Miami Hurricanes show offensive versatility. Key players could tilt the match; watch for turnovers. Betting line favors Miami slightly. |
| Thu Nov 21st 1pm | UC San Diego Tritons - La Salle Explorers |
110
⇗5.00
|
|
|
The matchup between UC San Diego Tritons and La Salle Explorers highlights balanced teams. Key factors include turnovers and three-point accuracy. Player performances will likely tip the scales in this close contest. |
| Thu Nov 21st 2pm | Florida Atlantic Owls - Oklahoma St Cowboys |
100
|
|
|
Florida Atlantic's strong defense will challenge Oklahoma State. Expect a tight game with potential for an upset. Key players will determine the outcome. |
| Thu Nov 21st 2pm | Portland Pilots - South Florida Bulls |
320
|
|
|
Portland Pilots strong at home, South Florida Bulls weak on defense. Look for Portland's offense to exploit. Favor Portland with close watch on point spread. |
| Thu Nov 21st 4pm | Jacksonville St Gamecocks - East Carolina Pirates |
140
|
|
|
Analyze team performance, recent games, and player injuries. Consider Jacksonville's defense and East Carolina's home advantage. Betting odds suggest a tight game. Stay updated with live stats. |
| Thu Nov 21st 5pm | Youngstown St Penguins - Monmouth Hawks |
|
|
|
Youngstown State’s defense is solid, Monmouth struggles on the road. Favor Penguins, consider the under. Key players’ stats and recent form vital for bets. |
| Thu Nov 21st 5pm | VCU Rams - Seton Hall Pirates |
-278
|
|
|
VCU Rams' defense is key, ranking top in steals. Seton Hall favors a strong offense. Watch for scoring trends before betting on the game outcome and totals. |
| Thu Nov 21st 5pm | Texas State Bobcats - Bradley Braves |
|
|
|
Evaluate Texas State's defense and Bradley's offensive strategy. Watch for key players' performance. Betting odds might differ based on recent team form. Consider both teams' historical matchups. |
| Thu Nov 21st 6pm | Cornell Big Red - Robert Morris Colonials |
-420
|
|
|
Cornell's fast-paced offense challenges Robert Morris' defense. Consider player matchups and recent performance. Home-court advantage could play a crucial role. |
| Thu Nov 21st 6pm | Stetson Hatters - Toledo Rockets |
650
|
|
|
Toledo Rockets favored with strong offense; Stetson Hatters must improve defense. Watch team injuries and recent performance trends for potential betting opportunities. |
| Thu Nov 21st 6pm | Indiana Hoosiers - UNC Greensboro Spartans |
-2000
|
|
|
Indiana Hoosiers are favored due to strong defense. UNC Greensboro Spartans could cover the spread with effective outside shooting. Key players' performance and turnovers might decide the outcome. |
| Upcoming matches | Game | Money Line | Spread | Total | Featured Insight |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thu Nov 21st 7pm | Kent State Golden Flashes - Niagara Purple Eagles |
-1000
|
|
|
Kent State's strong defense faces Niagara. Consider home court advantage and recent form. Interesting matchup to watch for underdog bettors. |
| Thu Nov 21st 7pm | Oakland Golden Grizzlies - Eastern Michigan Eagles |
|
|
|
Oakland Golden Grizzlies have a strong home record. Eastern Michigan Eagles struggle on the road. Consider Oakland as favorites, but watch for EM's potential upset with key players. |
| Thu Nov 21st 7pm | Texas Longhorns - Syracuse Orange |
-455
|
|
|
Texas Longhorns' strong defense may challenge Syracuse's offensive strategies. Watch for Texas' rebounding and Syracuse's zone defense. Key players could tilt the game. Odds may reflect recent team performances. |
| Thu Nov 21st 7pm | South Carolina Gamecocks - Mercer Bears |
-1700
|
|
|
South Carolina Gamecocks are favorites over Mercer Bears. Consider their home advantage and recent performance trends. Watch for injuries. Mercer might struggle defensively. Bet cautiously. |
| Thu Nov 21st 7pm | Stonehill Skyhawks - Bryant Bulldogs |
|
|
|
Analyze team statistics and current form. Consider home advantage and injuries. Check head-to-head history. Evaluate betting odds for Stonehill Skyhawks vs. Bryant Bulldogs based on these factors. |
| Thu Nov 21st 7pm | Bucknell Bison - NJIT Highlanders |
|
|
|
The Bucknell Bison's strong offense faces the NJIT Highlanders' resilient defense. Home advantage may play a crucial role. Key players could sway momentum. Monitor injury reports for late changes. |
| Thu Nov 21st 7pm | Clemson Tigers - Radford Highlanders |
|
|
|
Clemson Tigers hold a home advantage. Radford Highlanders’ defense is strong but inconsistent. Key players will determine a close match. Monitor injury reports before betting. |
| Thu Nov 21st 7pm | St. John's Red Storm - Baylor Bears |
|
|
|
Expect a high-paced game between St. John's Red Storm and Baylor Bears. Look for Baylor's strong defense to challenge St. John's offense. Possible slight edge for Baylor. |
| Thu Nov 21st 7pm | Central Arkansas Bears - SE Missouri St Redhawks |
|
|
|
Consider recent performance trends: Central Arkansas Bears have a weaker defense compared to SE Missouri St Redhawks. Check player injuries before placing bets; home advantage favors SE Missouri State. |
| Thu Nov 21st 7pm | Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks - Presbyterian Blue Hose |
|
|
|
Consider Stephen F. Austin's strong home record. Presbyterian struggles on the road. Lumberjacks' defense could be decisive. Check player injuries before betting. |
| Thu Nov 21st 7pm | Nevada Wolf Pack - Vanderbilt Commodores |
|
|
|
The game between Nevada Wolf Pack and Vanderbilt Commodores shows potential for a close match. Consider the teams' recent performance and player health before placing bets. |
| Thu Nov 21st 8pm | Wright St Raiders - Princeton Tigers |
240
|
|
|
The Princeton Tigers have a strong defensive lineup, whereas Wright St Raiders excel in offense. Betting insight focuses on the total points being over the usual predictions. |
| Thu Nov 21st 8pm | Valparaiso Beacons - Lindenwood Lions |
-550
|
|
|
Valparaiso Beacons favored; strong defense and solid recent form. Lindenwood Lions struggling offensively but can surprise. Consider options and latest news before betting. |
| Thu Nov 21st 8pm | Ole Miss Rebels - Oral Roberts Golden Eagles |
-4500
|
|
|
Ole Miss Rebels have the home advantage. Oral Roberts Golden Eagles show strong offense. Key players' performance can sway the game. Betting on close scores might be strategic. |
| Thu Nov 21st 8pm | Sacred Heart Pioneers - Central Connecticut St Blue Devils |
|
|
|
Sacred Heart Pioneers are favorites due to better form, while Central Connecticut State relies on strong home performance. Watch key player matchups for betting insights. |
| Thu Nov 21st 8pm | Oklahoma Sooners - Texas A&M-Commerce Lions |
|
|
|
Oklahoma Sooners have a strong home record. Texas A&M-Commerce Lions struggle against tougher teams. Consider betting on Sooners. Watch for any last-minute injuries impacting team performance. |
| Thu Nov 21st 8pm | Texas A&M-CC Islanders - Tenn-Martin Skyhawks |
|
|
|
Texas A&M-CC favors a defensive game. Tenn-Martin has a strong offense. Consider low-score bets. Watch key players' matchups. Defensive stamina and turnovers may influence the outcome. |
| Thu Nov 21st 8pm | Michigan Wolverines - Tarleton State Texans |
|
|
Michigan Wolverines have a strong defense but watch Tarleton State Texans for an upset. Key players' performance will influence betting odds significantly. | |
| Thu Nov 21st 9pm | New Mexico Lobos - Grambling St Tigers |
|
|
|
The New Mexico Lobos have a strong home advantage, while Grambling State Tigers are improving defensively. Look for a close game with possible value on the underdog's spread. |
| Thu Nov 21st 9pm | Virginia Cavaliers - Tennessee Volunteers |
600
|
|
-105 (125.5)
|
Virginia Cavaliers' strong defense meets Tennessee Volunteers' dynamic offense. Home advantage and recent form could favor Tennessee. Consider point spreads and over/under lines for strategic betting decisions. |
| Thu Nov 21st 9pm | Saint Joseph's Hawks - Texas Tech Red Raiders |
430
|
|
|
Texas Tech Red Raiders have a stronger defense, while Saint Joseph's Hawks rely on fast-paced offense. Betting advantage leans towards Texas Tech, especially in home court settings. |
| Thu Nov 21st 9pm | Washington St Cougars - Eastern Washington Eagles |
-650
|
|
|
Washington St Cougars vs Eastern Washington Eagles: Look for Cougars' strong defense against Eagles' agile offense. Key players could sway game's outcome. Consider under on points total. |
| Thu Nov 21st 10pm | Oregon St Beavers - Oregon Ducks |
205
|
|
|
Oregon Ducks have a solid track record against the Beavers. Key players' performance and home court advantage make the Ducks slight favorites in what promises to be a close game. |
| Thu Nov 21st 10pm | San Francisco Dons - Memphis Tigers |
-110
|
|
|
Consider Memphis Tigers' strong defense and San Francisco Dons' recent road performance. Key players and recent stats might influence the match outcome. Check injuries and latest form for betting decisions. |
| Thu Nov 21st 10pm | California Golden Bears - Air Force Falcons |
|
|
|
Expect a competitive game; Golden Bears possess strong defense, while Falcons exhibit remarkable offense. Key players and recent performances suggest a tight scoreline. Bet cautiously on point spread. |
| Fri Nov 22nd 10pm | Arizona Wildcats - Duke Blue Devils | Duke Blue Devils have a strong home record. Arizona's defense will be tested. Key players may decide the outcome. Expect a competitive game. |
External Links
Discussion about this page in my forum at Wizard of Vegas.