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Last Updated: December 7, 2005

Megaball

Introduction

Megaball is a game found at Internet casinos using Playtech software. The game can be found under the Arcade Games menu.


Click on image for larger version.

Rules

There are lots of bets available. After the player makes his bets the game will choose six balls from a pool numbered 1 to 48. The balls are also colored, 16 each of red, blue, and yellow.

Analysis

The jackpot bets requires the player to bet $1 and choose five numbers. If all five balls are drawn the player will win a progressive jackpot. The expected return is 3.5040507% for each $10,000 in the meter. The breakeven meter point is $285,384.00, in which it is exactly a fair bet. The probability of winning is 1 in 285384.

The color bets are 21 different bets. The player chooses red, blue, or yellow; as well as the exact number (0 to 6) of that color drawn. The following table shows the probability and winning for each total.

Colors Bets

Bet Probability Pays Return
0 0.073845 12.9 0.952603
1 0.262561 3.6 0.945218
2 0.351644 2.7 0.949438
3 0.226345 4.2 0.950651
4 0.073562 12.9 0.948953
5 0.01139 83 0.945394
6 0.000653 1450 0.946224

There are two cocktail bets available. The cocktail bet wins if all three colors are represented in the next draw. The double cocktail bet wins if exactly two of each color are represented in the next draw. The following table shows the probability of winning and return of both bets.

Cocktail Bets

Bet Probability Pays Return
Cocktail 0.780422 1.2 0.936507
Double cocktail 0.140814 6.7 0.943453

There are 51 sixth bets available. All are on the last number drawn. The player may bet on either the color or the exact number of the last ball drawn. The following table shows the probability of winning and return of both types of bets.

Sixth Number Bets

Bet Probability Pays Return
Number 0.020833 45 0.9375
Color 0.333333 2.85 0.95

There are two steps bets available. The increase bet wins if each ball, starting with the second, is higher than the last ball. The decreasing bet is the opposite. The following table shows the probability of winning and return of both bets.

Cocktail Bets

Bet Probability Pays Return
Higher 0.001389 680 0.944444
Lower 0.001389 680 0.944444

There are four numbers bets available. The player chooses one to four numbers. If all numbers chosen by the player are also drawn in the ball draw then the player wins. The following table shows the probability of winning and return according to the number of balls chosen.

Numbers Bets

Bet Probability Pays Return
1 0.125 7.6 0.95
2 0.013298 71 0.944149
3 0.001156 820 0.948196
4 0.000077 12300 0.948196

There are just two First and Last bets. The player bets whether the first or last ball will be the higher of the two. The following table shows the probability of winning and return for both bets.

First and Last Bets

Bet Probability Pays Return
First Higher 0.5 1.9 0.95
Last Higher 0.5 1.9 0.95

There are seven total bets. The player bets on the sum of the six balls drawn. The following table shows the probability of winning and return for all total bets.

Total Bets

Bet Probability Pays Return
21 to 50 0.000598 1600 0.957144
51 to 100 0.074696 12.75 0.952373
101 to 140 0.346425 2.75 0.952669
141 to 160 0.237596 4 0.950383
161 to 200 0.292638 3.25 0.951072
201 to 250 0.047865 20 0.957305
251 to 273 0.000182 5200 0.947072

Disclaimer

I was hired by Playtech to help design all of their Arcade Games. I was given permission by Playtech to publish this analysis.


Written by: Michael Shackleford

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