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Alternate Point Spreads in the NFL

Introduction

The purpose of this page is to show the probability of winning and fair line to pay after buying or selling up to seven points off the spreads in the NFL. These tables assume the probability of winning is 50% with no extra points. They are based on data from the 1994 to 2012 seasons.

The following table shows the probability of winning after buying 0.5 to 7 points.

Probability of Winning after Buying 0.5 to 7 Points.Expand

Fair
Line		 Points Bought
0.5 1.0 1.5 2.0 2.5 3.0 3.5 4.0 4.5 5.0 5.5 6.0 6.5 7.0
-21 0.523 0.532 0.540 0.549 0.558 0.570 0.581 0.595 0.610 0.618 0.625 0.630 0.634 0.648
-20.5 0.509 0.517 0.527 0.536 0.548 0.559 0.575 0.590 0.598 0.606 0.611 0.615 0.630 0.644
-20 0.509 0.519 0.528 0.541 0.553 0.569 0.584 0.593 0.601 0.606 0.611 0.626 0.641 0.649
-19.5 0.510 0.521 0.533 0.546 0.562 0.578 0.587 0.596 0.601 0.606 0.622 0.638 0.646 0.653
-19 0.510 0.524 0.536 0.554 0.570 0.580 0.589 0.594 0.600 0.616 0.632 0.641 0.649 0.654
-18.5 0.514 0.527 0.545 0.562 0.572 0.581 0.587 0.592 0.610 0.627 0.636 0.644 0.649 0.654
-18 0.514 0.532 0.550 0.560 0.570 0.576 0.582 0.600 0.618 0.627 0.636 0.641 0.646 0.653
-17.5 0.519 0.538 0.548 0.558 0.564 0.570 0.589 0.608 0.618 0.627 0.632 0.637 0.645 0.653
-17 0.519 0.530 0.540 0.547 0.553 0.573 0.592 0.602 0.612 0.617 0.623 0.631 0.639 0.654
-16.5 0.511 0.522 0.529 0.535 0.556 0.576 0.586 0.596 0.602 0.608 0.616 0.625 0.640 0.655
-16 0.511 0.518 0.525 0.546 0.567 0.578 0.588 0.594 0.600 0.609 0.618 0.634 0.650 0.653
-15.5 0.507 0.514 0.536 0.558 0.569 0.580 0.586 0.592 0.602 0.611 0.628 0.644 0.648 0.651
-15 0.507 0.530 0.552 0.564 0.575 0.582 0.588 0.598 0.608 0.626 0.643 0.646 0.650 0.656
-14.5 0.524 0.546 0.559 0.571 0.577 0.584 0.594 0.604 0.623 0.641 0.645 0.648 0.655 0.662
-14 0.524 0.536 0.549 0.556 0.562 0.573 0.583 0.603 0.622 0.626 0.629 0.637 0.644 0.663
-13.5 0.513 0.526 0.533 0.540 0.551 0.562 0.582 0.602 0.606 0.610 0.618 0.625 0.645 0.664
-13 0.513 0.521 0.528 0.539 0.551 0.572 0.592 0.596 0.601 0.609 0.616 0.638 0.658 0.668
-12.5 0.508 0.515 0.527 0.539 0.561 0.582 0.586 0.591 0.599 0.607 0.630 0.651 0.662 0.672
-12 0.508 0.520 0.532 0.555 0.577 0.581 0.586 0.595 0.603 0.626 0.649 0.660 0.671 0.677
-11.5 0.513 0.525 0.549 0.571 0.576 0.581 0.590 0.599 0.623 0.646 0.659 0.670 0.676 0.681
-11 0.513 0.537 0.561 0.566 0.571 0.580 0.589 0.615 0.639 0.652 0.664 0.670 0.675 0.685
-10.5 0.525 0.550 0.555 0.560 0.570 0.579 0.606 0.631 0.644 0.657 0.663 0.669 0.679 0.689
-10 0.525 0.531 0.536 0.546 0.556 0.583 0.610 0.624 0.637 0.643 0.650 0.660 0.670 0.698
-9.5 0.506 0.511 0.522 0.532 0.560 0.588 0.602 0.616 0.623 0.629 0.640 0.651 0.681 0.709
-9 0.506 0.516 0.527 0.557 0.585 0.600 0.615 0.622 0.628 0.640 0.651 0.682 0.712 0.719
-8.5 0.511 0.522 0.553 0.582 0.598 0.613 0.620 0.627 0.639 0.651 0.684 0.715 0.722 0.728
-8 0.511 0.543 0.574 0.590 0.605 0.613 0.620 0.633 0.645 0.679 0.712 0.719 0.726 0.732
-7.5 0.533 0.564 0.581 0.597 0.605 0.613 0.626 0.638 0.675 0.709 0.716 0.723 0.730 0.736
-7 0.533 0.550 0.567 0.575 0.583 0.596 0.610 0.647 0.683 0.691 0.698 0.705 0.712 0.712
-6.5 0.518 0.535 0.544 0.552 0.566 0.580 0.619 0.656 0.664 0.672 0.679 0.686 0.686 0.687
-6 0.518 0.527 0.535 0.550 0.564 0.605 0.644 0.652 0.660 0.668 0.675 0.675 0.675 0.676
-5.5 0.509 0.518 0.533 0.548 0.590 0.631 0.639 0.648 0.656 0.663 0.664 0.664 0.664 0.670
-5 0.509 0.525 0.540 0.584 0.626 0.635 0.644 0.652 0.660 0.660 0.660 0.661 0.667 0.674
-4.5 0.516 0.532 0.577 0.621 0.630 0.639 0.648 0.656 0.657 0.657 0.657 0.664 0.671 0.677
-4 0.516 0.563 0.608 0.618 0.627 0.636 0.645 0.645 0.646 0.646 0.653 0.660 0.667 0.695
-3.5 0.548 0.595 0.605 0.615 0.624 0.634 0.634 0.634 0.634 0.642 0.649 0.656 0.686 0.714
-3 0.548 0.559 0.569 0.579 0.588 0.588 0.588 0.589 0.597 0.604 0.612 0.643 0.673 0.682
-2.5 0.511 0.521 0.531 0.541 0.541 0.541 0.542 0.550 0.558 0.566 0.599 0.630 0.640 0.649
-2 0.511 0.521 0.531 0.532 0.532 0.532 0.541 0.549 0.557 0.592 0.624 0.635 0.645 0.650
-1.5 0.511 0.521 0.522 0.522 0.522 0.531 0.540 0.548 0.584 0.619 0.630 0.640 0.646 0.651
-1 0.511 0.511 0.511 0.512 0.521 0.530 0.539 0.576 0.612 0.624 0.635 0.641 0.646 0.657
0 0.500 0.500 0.511 0.520 0.530 0.570 0.609 0.622 0.634 0.641 0.647 0.658 0.669 0.688
1 0.511 0.521 0.531 0.575 0.617 0.631 0.644 0.651 0.658 0.670 0.683 0.704 0.724 0.731
1.5 0.511 0.521 0.566 0.610 0.624 0.638 0.645 0.652 0.666 0.678 0.701 0.722 0.729 0.735
2 0.511 0.558 0.603 0.618 0.632 0.639 0.647 0.661 0.674 0.697 0.719 0.727 0.734 0.737
2.5 0.548 0.595 0.610 0.625 0.633 0.641 0.655 0.669 0.693 0.717 0.724 0.732 0.735 0.738
3 0.548 0.564 0.579 0.587 0.595 0.610 0.625 0.650 0.675 0.683 0.690 0.694 0.697 0.712
3.5 0.516 0.532 0.540 0.549 0.564 0.579 0.606 0.631 0.639 0.647 0.651 0.655 0.670 0.685
4 0.516 0.525 0.534 0.550 0.565 0.593 0.619 0.628 0.636 0.640 0.644 0.660 0.676 0.683
4.5 0.509 0.518 0.535 0.551 0.579 0.607 0.616 0.625 0.629 0.633 0.650 0.666 0.674 0.682
5 0.509 0.526 0.543 0.573 0.601 0.611 0.620 0.624 0.628 0.646 0.663 0.672 0.679 0.684
5.5 0.518 0.535 0.566 0.595 0.605 0.615 0.619 0.623 0.642 0.660 0.669 0.677 0.682 0.687
6 0.518 0.549 0.580 0.590 0.600 0.605 0.609 0.629 0.648 0.657 0.665 0.670 0.675 0.683
6.5 0.533 0.564 0.575 0.585 0.590 0.595 0.615 0.635 0.644 0.653 0.659 0.664 0.672 0.679
7 0.533 0.544 0.554 0.559 0.564 0.585 0.606 0.616 0.625 0.631 0.636 0.644 0.652 0.666
7.5 0.511 0.522 0.527 0.532 0.554 0.576 0.586 0.596 0.602 0.607 0.616 0.625 0.639 0.653
8 0.511 0.517 0.522 0.545 0.567 0.577 0.588 0.594 0.600 0.609 0.618 0.633 0.648 0.652
8.5 0.506 0.511 0.535 0.557 0.568 0.579 0.585 0.592 0.601 0.611 0.627 0.642 0.646 0.651
9 0.506 0.530 0.554 0.565 0.576 0.583 0.589 0.599 0.609 0.626 0.642 0.647 0.651 0.657
9.5 0.525 0.550 0.562 0.573 0.580 0.586 0.597 0.607 0.625 0.642 0.646 0.651 0.658 0.664
10 0.525 0.538 0.549 0.556 0.563 0.574 0.585 0.603 0.621 0.626 0.631 0.638 0.645 0.656
10.5 0.513 0.525 0.532 0.539 0.551 0.562 0.581 0.599 0.605 0.610 0.617 0.624 0.636 0.647
11 0.513 0.520 0.528 0.539 0.551 0.571 0.590 0.595 0.601 0.609 0.616 0.629 0.640 0.648
11.5 0.508 0.515 0.528 0.539 0.560 0.580 0.586 0.591 0.600 0.608 0.621 0.633 0.641 0.649
12 0.508 0.520 0.533 0.554 0.575 0.581 0.587 0.595 0.603 0.617 0.630 0.639 0.647 0.653
12.5 0.513 0.526 0.548 0.569 0.575 0.581 0.590 0.599 0.613 0.627 0.636 0.645 0.651 0.658
13 0.513 0.536 0.558 0.565 0.571 0.580 0.589 0.604 0.618 0.628 0.637 0.644 0.650 0.655
13.5 0.524 0.546 0.553 0.560 0.569 0.579 0.594 0.609 0.619 0.629 0.636 0.643 0.648 0.653
14 0.524 0.531 0.537 0.547 0.557 0.573 0.589 0.599 0.609 0.617 0.624 0.629 0.635 0.648
14.5 0.507 0.514 0.525 0.535 0.551 0.567 0.578 0.589 0.597 0.604 0.610 0.615 0.630 0.644
15 0.507 0.518 0.528 0.546 0.562 0.574 0.585 0.593 0.601 0.607 0.613 0.628 0.642
15.5 0.511 0.522 0.540 0.557 0.569 0.580 0.589 0.597 0.603 0.609 0.625 0.640
16 0.511 0.530 0.548 0.560 0.572 0.580 0.589 0.596 0.602 0.619 0.634
16.5 0.519 0.538 0.550 0.563 0.572 0.580 0.587 0.594 0.611 0.628
17 0.519 0.532 0.545 0.554 0.564 0.571 0.578 0.596 0.613
17.5 0.514 0.527 0.537 0.546 0.553 0.561 0.579 0.598
18 0.514 0.524 0.533 0.541 0.549 0.568 0.587
18.5 0.510 0.521 0.529 0.536 0.557 0.576
19 0.510 0.519 0.527 0.548 0.568
19.5 0.509 0.517 0.539 0.560
20 0.509 0.531 0.553
20.5 0.523 0.546
21 0.523

The following table shows the fair line after buying 0.5 to 7 points.

Fair Line after Buying 0.5 to 7 Points.

Fair
Line		 Points Bought
0.5 1.0 1.5 2.0 2.5 3.0 3.5 4.0 4.5 5.0 5.5 6.0 6.5 7.0
-21 -110 -113 -117 -122 -126 -132 -138 -147 -156 -161 -167 -170 -173 -184
-20.5 -103 -107 -111 -116 -121 -127 -135 -144 -149 -154 -157 -160 -170 -181
-20 -103 -108 -112 -118 -124 -132 -140 -146 -151 -154 -157 -168 -178 -185
-19.5 -104 -109 -114 -120 -128 -137 -142 -147 -151 -154 -165 -176 -182 -189
-19 -104 -110 -116 -124 -133 -138 -143 -146 -150 -161 -172 -179 -185 -189
-18.5 -106 -111 -120 -128 -133 -139 -142 -145 -156 -168 -175 -181 -185 -189
-18 -106 -114 -122 -127 -132 -136 -139 -150 -161 -168 -175 -178 -182 -188
-17.5 -108 -116 -121 -126 -130 -133 -144 -155 -161 -168 -172 -176 -182 -188
-17 -108 -113 -118 -121 -124 -134 -145 -151 -158 -161 -165 -171 -177 -189
-16.5 -105 -109 -112 -115 -125 -136 -142 -148 -151 -155 -161 -166 -178 -190
-16 -105 -107 -110 -120 -131 -137 -143 -147 -150 -156 -162 -173 -186 -188
-15.5 -103 -106 -116 -126 -132 -138 -142 -145 -151 -157 -169 -181 -184 -187
-15 -103 -113 -123 -129 -136 -139 -143 -149 -155 -167 -180 -183 -186 -191
-14.5 -110 -121 -127 -133 -137 -140 -146 -153 -165 -178 -181 -184 -190 -196
-14 -110 -116 -121 -125 -129 -134 -140 -152 -164 -167 -170 -175 -181 -197
-13.5 -105 -111 -114 -117 -123 -128 -139 -151 -154 -156 -162 -167 -182 -198
-13 -105 -109 -112 -117 -122 -134 -145 -148 -150 -156 -161 -176 -192 -201
-12.5 -103 -106 -112 -117 -128 -139 -142 -144 -150 -155 -170 -186 -196 -205
-12 -103 -108 -114 -125 -136 -139 -142 -147 -152 -168 -185 -194 -204 -209
-11.5 -105 -111 -122 -133 -136 -139 -144 -149 -165 -183 -193 -203 -208 -214
-11 -105 -116 -128 -130 -133 -138 -143 -159 -177 -187 -197 -203 -208 -217
-10.5 -111 -122 -125 -127 -132 -138 -154 -171 -181 -192 -197 -202 -212 -221
-10 -111 -113 -115 -120 -125 -140 -156 -166 -175 -180 -185 -194 -203 -232
-9.5 -102 -104 -109 -114 -127 -143 -151 -160 -165 -170 -178 -186 -213 -244
-9 -102 -107 -111 -126 -141 -150 -159 -164 -169 -178 -187 -215 -248 -255
-8.5 -105 -109 -124 -139 -149 -158 -163 -168 -177 -187 -216 -251 -260 -268
-8 -105 -119 -135 -144 -153 -158 -163 -172 -182 -212 -248 -256 -265 -274
-7.5 -114 -130 -139 -148 -153 -158 -167 -177 -207 -244 -253 -261 -270 -279
-7 -114 -122 -131 -135 -140 -148 -156 -183 -216 -223 -231 -239 -247 -247
-6.5 -107 -115 -119 -123 -130 -138 -162 -191 -198 -205 -212 -219 -219 -219
-6 -107 -111 -115 -122 -129 -153 -181 -187 -194 -201 -208 -208 -208 -208
-5.5 -104 -107 -114 -121 -144 -171 -177 -184 -190 -197 -197 -197 -198 -203
-5 -104 -110 -117 -140 -167 -174 -181 -187 -194 -194 -194 -195 -201 -206
-4.5 -107 -114 -137 -164 -170 -177 -184 -191 -191 -191 -192 -198 -204 -209
-4 -107 -129 -155 -162 -168 -175 -182 -182 -182 -182 -188 -194 -200 -228
-3.5 -121 -147 -153 -160 -166 -173 -173 -173 -173 -179 -185 -191 -218 -250
-3 -121 -127 -132 -137 -143 -143 -143 -143 -148 -153 -157 -180 -206 -215
-2.5 -104 -109 -113 -118 -118 -118 -118 -122 -126 -130 -149 -170 -178 -185
-2 -104 -109 -113 -113 -114 -114 -118 -122 -126 -145 -166 -174 -182 -186
-1.5 -104 -109 -109 -109 -109 -113 -117 -121 -140 -162 -170 -178 -182 -187
-1 -104 -105 -105 -105 -109 -113 -117 -136 -158 -166 -174 -178 -183 -191
0 -100 -100 -104 -108 -113 -133 -156 -165 -173 -178 -183 -193 -202 -221
1 -104 -109 -113 -135 -161 -171 -181 -187 -192 -203 -215 -238 -262 -271
1.5 -104 -109 -131 -156 -166 -176 -182 -188 -199 -211 -234 -259 -269 -278
2 -104 -126 -152 -161 -171 -177 -183 -195 -207 -230 -256 -266 -275 -280
2.5 -121 -147 -157 -167 -173 -178 -190 -202 -226 -253 -263 -273 -277 -282
3 -121 -129 -138 -142 -147 -157 -167 -186 -207 -215 -223 -227 -230 -247
3.5 -107 -114 -118 -122 -129 -138 -154 -171 -177 -184 -187 -190 -203 -218
4 -107 -111 -114 -122 -130 -146 -163 -169 -175 -178 -181 -195 -209 -216
4.5 -104 -107 -115 -123 -138 -154 -160 -166 -169 -172 -186 -200 -207 -214
5 -104 -111 -119 -134 -151 -157 -163 -166 -169 -183 -197 -205 -212 -217
5.5 -107 -115 -130 -147 -153 -159 -163 -166 -179 -194 -202 -210 -214 -219
6 -107 -122 -138 -144 -150 -153 -156 -169 -184 -191 -199 -203 -208 -215
6.5 -114 -130 -135 -141 -144 -147 -160 -174 -181 -188 -193 -197 -205 -212
7 -114 -119 -124 -127 -129 -141 -154 -160 -167 -171 -175 -181 -188 -200
7.5 -105 -109 -112 -114 -124 -136 -141 -147 -151 -155 -160 -166 -177 -188
8 -105 -107 -109 -120 -131 -137 -142 -146 -150 -156 -162 -173 -184 -187
8.5 -102 -104 -115 -126 -132 -138 -141 -145 -151 -157 -168 -179 -183 -186
9 -102 -113 -124 -130 -136 -140 -143 -150 -156 -167 -179 -183 -187 -192
9.5 -111 -122 -128 -134 -138 -142 -148 -155 -166 -179 -183 -187 -192 -198
10 -111 -116 -122 -125 -129 -135 -141 -152 -164 -167 -171 -176 -182 -191
10.5 -105 -111 -114 -117 -123 -128 -139 -150 -153 -156 -161 -166 -175 -184
11 -105 -108 -112 -117 -123 -133 -144 -147 -150 -156 -161 -169 -178 -184
11.5 -103 -106 -112 -117 -127 -138 -141 -145 -150 -155 -164 -172 -179 -185
12 -103 -109 -114 -124 -135 -139 -142 -147 -152 -161 -170 -177 -184 -189
12.5 -105 -111 -121 -132 -136 -139 -144 -149 -159 -168 -175 -182 -187 -192
13 -105 -115 -126 -130 -133 -138 -143 -153 -162 -169 -176 -181 -186 -190
13.5 -110 -121 -124 -127 -132 -137 -146 -156 -163 -169 -175 -180 -184 -188
14 -110 -113 -116 -121 -126 -134 -143 -149 -156 -161 -166 -170 -174 -184
14.5 -103 -106 -110 -115 -123 -131 -137 -143 -148 -153 -156 -160 -170 -181
15 -103 -107 -112 -120 -128 -135 -141 -146 -150 -154 -158 -169 -179
15.5 -105 -109 -117 -126 -132 -138 -143 -148 -152 -156 -167 -178
16 -105 -113 -121 -127 -133 -138 -143 -147 -151 -162 -174
16.5 -108 -116 -122 -129 -134 -138 -142 -146 -157 -169
17 -108 -114 -120 -124 -129 -133 -137 -147 -158
17.5 -106 -111 -116 -120 -124 -128 -138 -149
18 -106 -110 -114 -118 -122 -132 -142
18.5 -104 -109 -112 -116 -126 -136
19 -104 -108 -111 -121 -132
19.5 -103 -107 -117 -127
20 -103 -113 -124
20.5 -110 -120
21 -110

The following table shows the probability of winning after selling 0.5 to 7 points.

Probability of Winning after Selling 0.5 to 7 Points.

Fair
Line		 Points Sold
0.5 1.0 1.5 2.0 2.5 3.0 3.5 4.0 4.5 5.0 5.5 6.0 6.5 7.0
-21 0.477
-20.5 0.477 0.454
-20 0.491 0.469 0.447
-19.5 0.491 0.483 0.462 0.441
-19 0.490 0.481 0.473 0.452 0.432
-18.5 0.490 0.479 0.472 0.464 0.444 0.424
-18 0.486 0.476 0.467 0.459 0.451 0.432 0.413
-17.5 0.486 0.473 0.464 0.454 0.447 0.440 0.421 0.403
-17 0.481 0.468 0.455 0.446 0.436 0.429 0.422 0.404 0.387
-16.5 0.481 0.462 0.450 0.438 0.429 0.420 0.413 0.407 0.389 0.373
-16 0.489 0.470 0.452 0.440 0.428 0.420 0.411 0.404 0.398 0.381 0.366
-15.5 0.489 0.478 0.461 0.443 0.431 0.420 0.412 0.403 0.397 0.391 0.375 0.360
-15 0.493 0.482 0.472 0.454 0.438 0.426 0.415 0.407 0.399 0.393 0.387 0.372 0.358
-14.5 0.493 0.486 0.476 0.466 0.449 0.433 0.422 0.411 0.404 0.396 0.390 0.385 0.370 0.357
-14 0.476 0.469 0.463 0.453 0.443 0.427 0.411 0.401 0.391 0.383 0.376 0.371 0.365 0.352
-13.5 0.476 0.454 0.448 0.441 0.431 0.422 0.407 0.392 0.382 0.372 0.365 0.358 0.353 0.348
-13 0.487 0.464 0.442 0.435 0.429 0.420 0.411 0.396 0.382 0.372 0.363 0.356 0.350 0.345
-12.5 0.487 0.474 0.453 0.431 0.425 0.419 0.410 0.401 0.387 0.373 0.364 0.355 0.349 0.343
-12 0.492 0.480 0.467 0.446 0.425 0.419 0.413 0.405 0.397 0.383 0.370 0.361 0.353 0.347
-11.5 0.492 0.485 0.473 0.461 0.440 0.420 0.414 0.409 0.401 0.393 0.380 0.367 0.359 0.351
-11 0.487 0.480 0.472 0.461 0.449 0.429 0.410 0.405 0.399 0.391 0.384 0.371 0.360 0.352
-10.5 0.487 0.475 0.468 0.461 0.450 0.439 0.420 0.401 0.396 0.391 0.383 0.376 0.364 0.353
-10 0.475 0.462 0.451 0.444 0.437 0.426 0.415 0.397 0.379 0.374 0.369 0.362 0.355 0.344
-9.5 0.475 0.450 0.439 0.428 0.421 0.414 0.404 0.394 0.376 0.359 0.354 0.350 0.343 0.336
-9 0.494 0.470 0.446 0.435 0.424 0.417 0.411 0.401 0.391 0.374 0.358 0.353 0.349 0.343
-8.5 0.494 0.489 0.466 0.443 0.432 0.421 0.415 0.409 0.399 0.390 0.374 0.358 0.354 0.350
-8 0.489 0.483 0.478 0.455 0.433 0.423 0.412 0.406 0.400 0.391 0.382 0.367 0.352 0.348
-7.5 0.489 0.478 0.473 0.468 0.446 0.425 0.414 0.405 0.399 0.393 0.384 0.376 0.361 0.347
-7 0.467 0.456 0.446 0.441 0.436 0.415 0.394 0.384 0.375 0.369 0.364 0.356 0.348 0.334
-6.5 0.467 0.436 0.426 0.416 0.411 0.406 0.386 0.366 0.357 0.348 0.343 0.337 0.329 0.322
-6 0.482 0.451 0.420 0.410 0.400 0.395 0.391 0.371 0.352 0.343 0.335 0.330 0.325 0.317
-5.5 0.482 0.465 0.435 0.405 0.395 0.386 0.381 0.377 0.358 0.340 0.332 0.323 0.319 0.314
-5 0.491 0.474 0.457 0.427 0.399 0.389 0.380 0.376 0.372 0.354 0.337 0.328 0.321 0.316
-4.5 0.491 0.482 0.466 0.450 0.421 0.393 0.384 0.376 0.371 0.367 0.350 0.334 0.326 0.319
-4 0.484 0.475 0.466 0.450 0.435 0.407 0.381 0.372 0.364 0.360 0.356 0.340 0.324 0.317
-3.5 0.484 0.468 0.460 0.452 0.436 0.421 0.395 0.369 0.361 0.353 0.349 0.346 0.330 0.315
-3 0.452 0.436 0.421 0.413 0.405 0.390 0.375 0.350 0.325 0.317 0.310 0.306 0.303 0.288
-2.5 0.452 0.405 0.391 0.376 0.369 0.361 0.346 0.333 0.308 0.285 0.277 0.270 0.266 0.263
-2 0.489 0.442 0.397 0.382 0.368 0.361 0.353 0.339 0.326 0.303 0.281 0.273 0.266 0.263
-1.5 0.489 0.479 0.434 0.390 0.376 0.363 0.355 0.348 0.335 0.322 0.300 0.279 0.272 0.265
-1 0.489 0.479 0.469 0.425 0.383 0.369 0.356 0.349 0.342 0.330 0.317 0.296 0.276 0.269
0 0.500 0.489 0.479 0.469 0.460 0.419 0.380 0.368 0.356 0.349 0.343 0.331 0.320 0.301
1 0.489 0.489 0.489 0.479 0.469 0.460 0.452 0.414 0.378 0.367 0.356 0.350 0.344 0.334
1.5 0.489 0.479 0.479 0.479 0.469 0.460 0.451 0.443 0.407 0.372 0.361 0.351 0.345 0.340
2 0.489 0.479 0.469 0.468 0.468 0.459 0.450 0.442 0.434 0.400 0.367 0.356 0.346 0.341
2.5 0.489 0.479 0.469 0.459 0.459 0.459 0.450 0.442 0.434 0.426 0.393 0.362 0.352 0.342
3 0.452 0.441 0.431 0.421 0.412 0.412 0.412 0.403 0.395 0.387 0.380 0.349 0.319 0.309
3.5 0.452 0.405 0.396 0.387 0.377 0.368 0.368 0.368 0.360 0.352 0.345 0.338 0.308 0.279
4 0.484 0.437 0.392 0.382 0.373 0.364 0.355 0.355 0.354 0.347 0.339 0.332 0.326 0.297
4.5 0.484 0.468 0.423 0.380 0.370 0.361 0.352 0.344 0.344 0.344 0.336 0.329 0.323 0.316
5 0.491 0.475 0.460 0.416 0.374 0.365 0.356 0.348 0.340 0.340 0.340 0.333 0.326 0.320
5.5 0.491 0.482 0.467 0.453 0.410 0.370 0.361 0.353 0.345 0.337 0.337 0.337 0.330 0.323
6 0.482 0.473 0.465 0.450 0.436 0.395 0.356 0.348 0.340 0.332 0.325 0.325 0.325 0.318
6.5 0.482 0.465 0.457 0.449 0.435 0.421 0.382 0.344 0.336 0.329 0.321 0.314 0.314 0.314
7 0.467 0.450 0.433 0.425 0.417 0.404 0.390 0.353 0.317 0.309 0.302 0.295 0.288 0.288
7.5 0.467 0.436 0.420 0.404 0.396 0.388 0.375 0.363 0.327 0.292 0.285 0.278 0.271 0.265
8 0.489 0.457 0.426 0.410 0.395 0.387 0.380 0.367 0.355 0.321 0.288 0.281 0.274 0.268
8.5 0.489 0.478 0.448 0.418 0.402 0.387 0.380 0.373 0.361 0.349 0.316 0.285 0.278 0.272
9 0.494 0.484 0.473 0.443 0.415 0.400 0.385 0.378 0.372 0.360 0.349 0.318 0.288 0.281
9.5 0.494 0.489 0.479 0.468 0.440 0.412 0.398 0.384 0.377 0.371 0.360 0.349 0.319 0.291
10 0.475 0.469 0.464 0.454 0.444 0.417 0.390 0.376 0.363 0.357 0.350 0.340 0.330 0.302
10.5 0.475 0.450 0.446 0.441 0.431 0.422 0.395 0.370 0.356 0.344 0.338 0.332 0.322 0.312
11 0.487 0.463 0.439 0.434 0.429 0.420 0.411 0.385 0.361 0.348 0.336 0.330 0.325 0.315
11.5 0.487 0.475 0.452 0.429 0.424 0.419 0.410 0.402 0.377 0.354 0.342 0.330 0.325 0.319
12 0.492 0.480 0.468 0.445 0.423 0.419 0.414 0.405 0.397 0.374 0.351 0.340 0.329 0.323
12.5 0.492 0.485 0.473 0.461 0.439 0.418 0.414 0.409 0.401 0.393 0.371 0.349 0.338 0.328
13 0.487 0.479 0.472 0.461 0.449 0.428 0.408 0.404 0.399 0.391 0.384 0.362 0.342 0.332
13.5 0.487 0.474 0.467 0.460 0.449 0.439 0.418 0.399 0.394 0.390 0.383 0.375 0.355 0.336
14 0.476 0.464 0.451 0.444 0.438 0.427 0.417 0.397 0.378 0.374 0.371 0.363 0.356 0.337
14.5 0.476 0.454 0.442 0.430 0.423 0.417 0.407 0.397 0.378 0.360 0.356 0.353 0.346 0.339
15 0.493 0.470 0.448 0.436 0.425 0.418 0.412 0.402 0.392 0.374 0.357 0.354 0.350 0.344
15.5 0.493 0.486 0.464 0.443 0.431 0.420 0.414 0.408 0.398 0.389 0.372 0.356 0.352 0.349
16 0.489 0.482 0.475 0.454 0.433 0.422 0.412 0.406 0.400 0.391 0.382 0.366 0.350 0.347
16.5 0.489 0.478 0.472 0.465 0.445 0.425 0.414 0.404 0.398 0.393 0.384 0.376 0.360 0.345
17 0.481 0.470 0.460 0.453 0.447 0.427 0.408 0.398 0.388 0.383 0.377 0.369 0.361 0.346
17.5 0.481 0.462 0.453 0.443 0.436 0.430 0.411 0.393 0.383 0.374 0.368 0.363 0.355 0.348
18 0.486 0.468 0.450 0.440 0.430 0.424 0.418 0.400 0.382 0.373 0.364 0.359 0.354 0.347
18.5 0.486 0.473 0.456 0.438 0.429 0.419 0.414 0.408 0.390 0.374 0.365 0.356 0.351 0.347
19 0.490 0.476 0.464 0.446 0.430 0.420 0.411 0.406 0.400 0.384 0.368 0.359 0.351 0.346
19.5 0.490 0.479 0.467 0.455 0.438 0.422 0.413 0.404 0.399 0.394 0.378 0.363 0.354 0.347
20 0.491 0.481 0.472 0.459 0.447 0.431 0.416 0.407 0.399 0.394 0.389 0.374 0.359 0.351
20.5 0.491 0.483 0.474 0.464 0.452 0.441 0.425 0.411 0.402 0.394 0.390 0.385 0.370 0.356
21 0.477 0.468 0.460 0.451 0.442 0.430 0.419 0.405 0.390 0.382 0.375 0.370 0.366 0.352

The following table shows the fair line after selling 0.5 to 7 points.

Fair Line after Buying 0.5 to 7 Points.

Fair
Line		 Points Sold
0.5 1.0 1.5 2.0 2.5 3.0 3.5 4.0 4.5 5.0 5.5 6.0 6.5 7.0
-21 110
-20.5 110 120
-20 103 113 124
-19.5 103 107 117 127
-19 104 108 111 121 132
-18.5 104 109 112 115 125 136
-18 106 110 114 118 122 132 142
-17.5 106 111 116 120 124 127 138 148
-17 108 114 120 124 129 133 137 147 158
-16.5 108 116 122 128 133 138 142 146 157 168
-16 105 113 121 127 133 138 143 147 151 162 174
-15.5 105 109 117 126 132 138 143 148 152 156 167 178
-15 103 107 112 120 128 135 141 146 150 154 158 169 179
-14.5 103 106 110 115 123 131 137 143 148 152 156 160 170 180
-14 110 113 116 121 126 134 143 149 156 161 166 170 174 184
-13.5 110 121 123 127 132 137 146 155 162 169 174 179 183 188
-13 105 115 126 130 133 138 143 153 162 169 176 181 186 190
-12.5 105 111 121 132 135 139 144 149 158 168 175 181 187 192
-12 103 109 114 124 135 139 142 147 152 161 170 177 184 189
-11.5 103 106 112 117 127 138 141 145 150 155 163 172 179 185
-11 105 108 112 117 123 133 144 147 150 156 161 169 178 184
-10.5 105 111 114 117 122 128 138 149 153 156 161 166 175 183
-10 111 116 122 125 129 135 141 152 164 167 171 176 182 191
-9.5 111 122 128 134 138 141 148 154 166 178 182 186 192 197
-9 102 113 124 130 136 140 143 150 156 167 179 183 187 192
-8.5 102 104 115 126 132 137 141 145 151 157 168 179 183 186
-8 105 107 109 120 131 137 142 146 150 156 162 173 184 187
-7.5 105 109 111 114 124 135 141 147 151 154 160 166 177 188
-7 114 119 124 127 129 141 154 160 167 171 175 181 188 200
-6.5 114 130 135 140 143 146 159 173 180 187 192 196 204 211
-6 107 122 138 144 150 153 156 169 184 191 199 203 208 215
-5.5 107 115 130 147 153 159 162 165 179 194 201 209 214 218
-5 104 111 119 134 151 157 163 166 169 183 197 205 212 217
-4.5 104 107 115 122 138 154 160 166 169 172 185 199 207 214
-4 107 111 114 122 130 146 163 169 175 178 181 195 209 216
-3.5 107 114 117 121 129 137 153 171 177 183 186 189 203 217
-3 121 129 138 142 147 157 167 186 207 215 223 227 230 247
-2.5 121 147 156 166 171 177 189 201 224 251 261 271 275 280
-2 104 126 152 161 171 177 183 195 207 230 256 266 275 280
-1.5 104 109 130 156 166 176 182 187 199 210 234 259 268 277
-1 104 109 113 135 161 171 181 187 192 203 215 238 262 271
0 100 104 109 113 117 138 163 172 181 186 192 202 212 232
1 104 105 105 109 113 117 121 141 164 173 181 186 191 200
1.5 104 109 109 109 113 117 122 126 146 169 177 185 190 194
2 104 109 113 113 114 118 122 126 130 150 173 181 189 193
2.5 104 109 113 118 118 118 122 126 131 135 154 176 184 192
3 121 127 132 137 143 143 143 148 153 158 163 187 214 223
3.5 121 147 152 159 165 172 172 172 178 184 190 196 225 258
4 107 129 155 162 168 175 182 182 182 188 195 201 207 236
4.5 107 114 136 163 170 177 184 191 191 191 197 204 210 216
5 104 110 117 140 167 174 181 187 194 194 194 201 207 213
5.5 104 107 114 121 144 171 177 184 190 197 197 197 203 209
6 107 111 115 122 129 153 181 187 194 201 208 208 208 214
6.5 107 115 119 123 130 138 162 191 197 204 211 218 218 219
7 114 122 131 135 140 148 156 183 216 223 231 239 247 247
7.5 114 130 138 148 153 158 167 176 206 242 251 260 269 278
8 105 119 135 144 153 158 163 172 182 212 248 256 265 274
8.5 105 109 123 139 149 158 163 168 177 186 216 251 259 267
9 102 107 111 126 141 150 159 164 169 178 187 215 248 255
9.5 102 104 109 113 127 142 151 160 165 170 178 186 213 243
10 111 113 115 120 125 140 156 166 175 180 185 194 203 232
10.5 111 122 124 127 132 137 153 170 181 191 196 202 211 220
11 105 116 128 130 133 138 143 159 177 187 197 203 208 217
11.5 105 111 121 133 136 138 144 149 165 183 193 203 208 213
12 103 108 114 125 136 139 142 147 152 168 185 194 204 209
12.5 103 106 111 117 128 139 142 144 149 154 170 186 195 205
13 105 109 112 117 122 134 145 148 150 156 161 176 192 201
13.5 105 111 114 117 123 128 139 151 154 156 161 166 181 198
14 110 116 121 125 129 134 140 152 164 167 170 175 181 197
14.5 110 121 126 132 136 140 146 152 165 178 181 184 189 195
15 103 113 123 129 136 139 143 149 155 167 180 183 186 191
15.5 103 106 116 126 132 138 142 145 151 157 169 181 184 186
16 105 107 110 120 131 137 143 147 150 156 162 173 186 188
16.5 105 109 112 115 125 135 141 147 151 155 160 166 178 189
17 108 113 118 121 124 134 145 151 158 161 165 171 177 189
17.5 108 116 121 126 129 132 143 155 161 168 171 175 181 187
18 106 114 122 127 132 136 139 150 161 168 175 178 182 188
18.5 106 111 119 128 133 138 142 145 156 168 174 181 185 188
19 104 110 116 124 133 138 143 146 150 161 172 179 185 189
19.5 104 109 114 120 128 137 142 147 151 154 165 176 182 188
20 103 108 112 118 124 132 140 146 151 154 157 168 178 185
20.5 103 107 111 115 121 127 135 144 149 154 157 160 170 181
21 110 113 117 122 126 132 138 147 156 161 167 170 173 184

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Written by: Michael Shackleford