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Last Updated: January 6, 2019

Red Queen

Introduction

I think everyone has seen the game Three Card Monty at some point. It is a simple street games, where the player tries to guess which of three face down cards is a specific one, in this case a red queen. Evoplay Entertainment now brings us the game in a digital format.

Rules

  1. The game presents three cards, one red queen and two black jacks.
  2. The player starts by choosing a bet amount, from $0.01 to $1000.
  3. The game shuffles the cards. It is so fast that I don't think paying attention to the original cards with the balls will help.
  4. The player must pick a card.
  5. If the player chose correctly, then he will win 2.88 for one.

Analysis

The following table shows my analysis. The lower right cell shows an expected return of 96%.

One Ball Analysis

Event Pays Combinations Probability Return
Win 2.88 1 0.333333 0.960000
Loss 0 2 0.666667 0.000000
Total 3 1.000000 0.960000

Here are some similar games by Evoplay Entertainment:

  • Thimbles — Same idea, except can choose one or two ways to win.
  • Four Aces — Same idea, except with four cards instead of three.

Written by: Michael Shackleford

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