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Go Fore It
Go Fore It could be very loosely described as a golf-based game. The object is to get as few points as possible in four cards. After seeing two cards, the player has a raise or fold decision to make. If that isn't enough, there are a couple of side bets too.
I first saw the game at the 2014 Global Gaming Expo. Later, in April 2015, I heard it had a placement at the Cannery casino in North Las Vegas.
Following are the rules for Go Fore It. All pays are expressed on a "to one" basis.
- A single 52-card deck is used.
- Cards are scored as follows:
- Aces: 1 point.
- 2-10: Pip value.
- Face cards: 10 points.
Back 9 Pay Table
|4 - 8 points||25|
|9 - 13 points||5|
|14 - 18 points||2|
|19 - 24 points||1|
|25 - 40 points||Loss|
Gopher Pay Table
|Aces||Pay Table 1||Pay Table 2|
Front 9 & Back 9 Analysis
The following table shows the number of combinations, probability, and contribution to the return of all possible events of the Front 9 and Back 9 bets combined, assuming optimal player strategy.
Front 9 & Back 9 — Analysis
|4 - 8 points||26||10,608||0.001633||0.042449|
|9 - 13 points||6||129,048||0.019861||0.119169|
|14 - 18 points||3||587,208||0.090376||0.271128|
|19 - 24 points||2||1,502,832||0.231297||0.462595|
|25 - 40 points||-2||1,739,304||0.267692||-0.535385|
The lower right cell shows a house edge of 2.92%. This means if the player bets one unit each on the Front 9 and Back 9, then he can expect to lose 2.92% of one of them.
However, I think an appropriate measure of how good of a value the game is is the Element of Risk. This is the ratio of the expected loss to the total amount bet. On average, the player will raise 61.09% of the time, for an average total bet of 1.6109 units. The Element of Risk is thus 2.92%/1.62 = 1.81%.
The optimal strategy for the Back 9 bet is to raise with 14 or fewer points and fold with 15 or more. There are no exceptions.
The following table shows the probability and contribution to the return of all possible outcomes under pay table 1 of the Gopher bet. The lower right cell shows a house edge of 1.85%.
Gopher Bet — Pay Table 1
The following table shows the probability and contribution to the return of all possible outcomes under pay table 2 of the Gopher bet. The lower right cell shows a house edge of 4.35%.
Gopher Bet — Pay Table 2
The following table shows the probability and contribution to the return of all possible outcomes of the Skins bet. The lower right cell shows a house edge of 4.37%.
I would like to thank Shufflemaster, the game owner, for providing me their math report, compiled by Elliot Frome. My results were in close agreement.
Written by:Michael Shackleford