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Reason #3 why the Wizard likes Bovada: Excellent Odds In my opinion many online casinos are too stingy when setting the odds on their games. They think they will make more money that way but I believe they are misguided, because when players lose too quickly it’s not fun, and those players might not come back. Bovada is one of the few casinos that understands this. They offer generous odds to let you play longer and get you a better chance of winning. Among their generous offerings are Full-Pay Jacks or Better returning 99.54%, six other video poker games paying over 99%, single-zero roulette, and my favorite, Pick ’em Poker, returning 99.95%! Kudos to Bovada for not being afraid to give their players a good gamble. |
Simple Strategy for Deuces Wild video pokerLast Update: Dec 13, 2001 The following strategy is my "simple strategy" for deuces wild video poker. Using the strategy on a fullpay machine will result in an expected return of100.71%. Compared to the optimal strategy return of 100.76%,mistakes in the simple strategy will cost 0.05%, or one total bet every 1869 hands. To use the strategy look up all viable ways to play an initial hand on the following list and elect that which is highest on the list. 4 deuces
3 deuces
2 deuces
1 deuce
0 deuces
Terms: Outside straight: An open ended straight that can be completed at either end, such as the cards 7,8,9,10. Inside straight: A straight with a missing inside card, such as the cards 6,7,9,10. In addition A,2,3,4 andJ,Q,K,A also count as inside straights because they are at an extreme end. Any hand that does not appear on the above lists should never be played. Most notably a two pair, keeping a single pair has a higher expected value. Example: Suppose you have the following hand.
The top two plays are (1) keep the pat flush, and (2)keep the 4 to a straight flush. The 4 to a straight flush consists of 3 consecutive singletons with a range of 5-7 or greater. This appears higher on the list than a pat flush,and is thus the better play.
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| Simple Strategy to Optimal Strategy Comparison | |||||
| Hand | Pays | Probability | |||
| Simple | Optimal | Simple | Optimal | ||
| Natural royal flush | 800 | 0.000022 | 0.000022 | 0.017396 | 0.017667 |
| 4 deuces | 200 | 0.000206 | 0.000204 | 0.041257 | 0.040741 |
| Wild royal flush | 25 | 0.001785 | 0.001796 | 0.044631 | 0.044896 |
| 5 of a kind | 15 | 0.003164 | 0.003202 | 0.047466 | 0.048024 |
| Straight flush | 9 | 0.004206 | 0.00412 | 0.037854 | 0.037079 |
| 4 of a kind | 5 | 0.06523 | 0.064938 | 0.326151 | 0.324691 |
| Full house | 3 | 0.021303 | 0.021229 | 0.063909 | 0.063687 |
| Flush | 2 | 0.016977 | 0.016581 | 0.033955 | 0.033161 |
| Straight | 2 | 0.053711 | 0.056564 | 0.107422 | 0.113129 |
| 3 of a kind | 1 | 0.287044 | 0.284544 | 0.287044 | 0.284544 |
| Nothing | 0 | 0.546351 | 0.5468 | 0 | 0 |
| Total | 1 | 1 | 1.007085 | 1.00762 | |
The next table is a frequency distribution of the error,or difference in expected return, between the simple strategy and the optimal strategy.
| Error Frequency | ||
| Error | Number | Probability |
| 0 | 2520216 | 0.969702 |
| .01%-0.99% | 16488 | 0.006344 |
| 1.00%-1.99% | 37848 | 0.014563 |
| 2.00%-2.99% | 18336 | 0.007055 |
| 3.00%-3.99% | 1548 | 0.000596 |
| 4.00%-4.99% | 492 | 0.000189 |
| 5.00%-5.99% | 2700 | 0.001039 |
| 6.00%-6.99% | 864 | 0.000332 |
| 7.00%-7.99% | 180 | 0.000069 |
| 8.00%-8.99% | 252 | 0.000097 |
| 9.00%-9.99% | 0 | 0 |
| 10.00%-10.99% | 36 | 0.000014 |
| Total | 2598960 | 1 |
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