Est. 1997 | Last Update: 12 May, 2008


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Intermediate strategy for Jacks or Better video poker

Last update: July 25, 2006

The following strategy is my "intermediate strategy" for jacks or better video poker. Using the strategy on a full pay machine will result in an expected return of 99.52%. Compared to the optimal strategy return of 99.54%, mistakes in the simple strategy will cost 0.03%, or one total bet every 3805 hands.

To use the strategy look up all viable ways to play an initial hand on the following list and elect that which is highest on the list. A "high card" means a jack or higher.

  1. Four of a kind, straight flush, royal flush
  2. 4 to a royal flush
  3. Three of a kind, straight, flush, full house
  4. 4 to a straight flush
  5. Two pair
  6. High pair
  7. 3 to a royal flush
  8. 4 to a flush
  9. Low pair
  10. 4 to an outside straight
  11. 3 to a straight flush (high cards-gaps>=0)
  12. AKQJ unsuited
  13. 2 suited high cards
  14. 4 to an inside straight with 3 high cards
  15. 3 to a straight flush (high cards-gaps=-1)
  16. KQJ unsuited
  17. QJ unsuited
  18. JT suited
  19. KQ, KJ unsuited
  20. QT suited
  21. AK, AQ, AJ unsuited
  22. KT suited
  23. One high card
  24. 3 to a straight flush (high cards-gaps=-2)
  25. Discard everything

Note: The number of high cards in holding 3 to a straight flush is roughly offset by the number of gaps. When evaluating 3 to a straight flush subtract the number of gaps from the number of high cards.

Terms:

High card: A jack, queen, king, or ace. These cards are retained more often because if paired up they return the original bet.

Outside straight: An open ended straight that can be completed at either end, such as the cards 7,8,9,10.

Inside straight: A straight with a missing inside card, such as the cards 6,7,9,10. In addition A,2,3,4 and J,Q,K,A also count as inside straights because they are at an extreme end.

Gap: The number of ranks needed to fill in the middle of a straight flush. For example a 6,7,8 would have 0 gaps, a 6,7,9 would have 1, and a 6,7,10 would have 2. The following are considered to have 2 gaps because they are at extreme ends: A,2,3; A,2,4; A,3,4; J,Q,A; J,K,A; and Q,K,A. The following are considered to have 1 gap because they are close to an extreme end: 2,3,4 and J,Q,K.

Example: Suppose you have the following hand.

The top two plays are (1) keep the three to a straight flush and (2) keep two to a royal flush. The number of gaps to the straight flush is 2 and the number of high cards is also 2. So gaps-high cards=0. The table shows that 3 to a straight flush, where gaps-highcards>=0, beats two suited high cards, so go keep the 3 cards to the straight flush.

 

Comparison to Optimal Strategy

The following table compares the probability and return of each hand under both the simple strategy and the optimal strategy.

Simple Strategy to Optimal Strategy Comparison

Hand

Pays

Probability

Return

Interm.

Optimal

Interm.

Optimal

Royal flush

800

0.000025

0.000025

0.020204

0.019807

Straight flush

50

0.000114

0.000109

0.005696

0.005465

Four of a kind

25

0.002362

0.002363

0.059039

0.059064

Full house

9

0.011507

0.011512

0.103565

0.10361

Flush

6

0.011171

0.011015

0.067029

0.066087

Straight

4

0.011122

0.011229

0.04449

0.044917

Three of a kind

3

0.074421

0.074449

0.223263

0.223346

Two pair

2

0.129261

0.129279

0.258523

0.258558

Pair

1

0.213368

0.214585

0.213368

0.214585

Nothing

0

0.546648

0.545435

0

0

Total

1

1

0.995176

0.995439

The next table is a frequency distribution of the error, or difference in expected return, between the simple strategy and the optimal strategy.

Error Frequency

Error

Number

Probability

0

2576244

99.125958%

.01% to .99%

5064

0.194847%

1% to 1.99%

1872

0.072029%

2% to 2.99%

2820

0.108505%

3% to 3.99%

5496

0.211469%

4% to 4.99%

4656

0.179149%

5% to 5.99%

2376

0.091421%

6% to 6.99%

432

0.016622%

7% to 7.99%

0

0%

8% to 8.99%

0

0%

9% to 9.99%

0

0%

10% to 10.99%

0

0%

11% to 11.99%

0

0%

12% to 12.99%

0

0%

13% to 13.99%

0

0%

14% to 14.99%

0

0%

15% to 15.99%

0

0%

Total

2598960

100%

 

My Video Poker Offerings

Basic Video Poker Info

  • My Main Video Poker page
  • Return tables:
  • Probability of Ruin for single-play video poker
  • Random simulations for multi-play video poker.
  • The standard deviation of n-play video poker.

Video Poker Variations

Practice / Play Video Poker for Free

My Strategies

Jacks or Better:

Full Pay Deuces Wild:

Not So Ugly Ducks Deuces Wild:

Other Stuff

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