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Dream Card

Last update: Jan. 2, 2010

Dream Card is a video poker variant I encountered at the Red Rock casino on December 15, 2009. It is an optional feature that is added to some multi-play and Spin Poker video poker machines. If the player bets ten coins per hand, as opposed to five, then sometimes the player will get four regular cards on the deal plus a "dream card." Any of the other 48 cards can be used in lieu of the dream card to complete the hand on the deal. The game will select what it thinks is the best one to choose, although sometimes the game gives incorrect advice. If you don't like the card offered, you can click "Dream Card Enabled" to toggle through the other cards until you find one you like better.

The following picture shows an example. On the deal, I received four cards of different ranks, including the queen and the dream card. The game replaced the dream card with the queen of hearts. After the draw, I didn't improve the high pair on the top two hands, but the bottom hand improved to a four of a kind.

In the screenshot below, from VideoPoker.com, the player got four to a royal in the first four cards, and was lucky to have the Dream Card activated, because it filled in the royal flush.

Upon reading the rules for the first time, I was confused if the Dream Card is guaranteed if the player gets a three of a kind or four to a royal in the first four cards. The rule in question states:

If after 4 cards you have a three-of-a-kind, the dream card feature will give you that 4th card for a quad. Four to a royal, the suspense is over — you will get that 5th card.

However, as the screenshot below shows, it is possible to get three of a kind in the first four cards and not get the Dream Card. The Dream Card probability is always the same for any given game, for example 50.5% for jacks or better.

There has been some debate about whether the best card is offered to the player when he gets the Dream Card. In his article A Look at DreamCard --- Part II of II, Bob Dancer says, "I've played the game for many hours and I've never seen a case where the DC isn't perfect --- or at least tied for being the best. " However, at VideoPoker.com, sometimes the advice is incorrect. As an example, the following is a screenshot from the 9/6 jacks game at videopoker.com.

In the game above I was offered the Q♣, giving me three to a royal. It would have been better to pick any jack or king for a high pair. Here is the expected value of the suggested play and a correct play:

9♥ J♣ K♣ 4♥ Q♣: expected value = 7.5902 coins
9♥ J♣ K♣ 4♥ J♠: expected value = 7.6827 coins

I have more examples of bad Dream Card advice at VideoPoker.com at the end of this page.

The game usually does give correct advice, however. Bob Dancer's article A Look at DreamCard -- Part I of II says that when two more or cards are tied, the game will sometimes tease the player with a card that might lead the player to play incorrectly. Take the following two screenshots of VideoPoker.com as examples. In the one on the left, the game correctly gave me a card to complete the straight. However, any six or jack would do. I don't think it was random that it gave me a heart, tempting me to go for the straight flush. In the hand on the right, the game was correct to complete the flush with any spade. However, it gave me the jack of spades, as a temptation to go for the royal.

The following table summarizes both the regular 5-coin return and Dream Card return for all pay tables available from Action Gaming, the manufacturer. Note that the Dream Card return is always higher, although the degree of improvement ranges significantly from 0.02% to 1.55%.

Dream Card Return Summary
Game Pay Table DC Probability 5-Coin Return DC return Difference
Jacks or Better9-650.5%99.5439%99.5592%0.0153%
Jacks or Better8-650.5%98.3927%98.3947%0.0020%
Jacks or Better8-550.5%97.2984%97.7344%0.4360%
Jacks or Better7-550.5%96.1472%96.5682%0.4210%
Bonus Poker Deluxe9-631.3%99.6417%99.6692%0.0275%
Bonus Poker Deluxe9-531.3%98.5495%99.0537%0.5042%
Bonus Poker Deluxe8-531.3%97.4009%98.1130%0.7121%
Bonus Poker Deluxe7-531.3%96.2526%97.1723%0.9197%
Bonus Poker8-546.7%99.1660%99.2678%0.1018%
Bonus Poker7-546.7%98.0147%98.1460%0.1314%
Bonus Poker6-546.7%96.8687%97.0429%0.1742%
Double Bonus Poker9-7-533.7%99.1065%99.1723%0.0659%
Double Bonus Poker9-6-533.7%97.8062%98.4408%0.6346%
Double Bonus Poker9-6-433.7%96.3754%97.2519%0.8765%
Double Bonus Poker9-5-433.7%95.2738%96.6110%1.3372%
Triple Bonus Poker10-727.0%98.5192%98.5421%0.0229%
Triple Bonus Poker9-727.0%97.4504%97.7068%0.2564%
Triple Bonus Poker9-627.0%95.8759%96.8456%0.9697%
Triple Bonus Poker9-527.0%94.5334%96.0797%1.5463%
Double Double Bonus Poker9-631.0%98.9808%99.0410%0.0602%
Double Double Bonus Poker9-531.0%97.8729%98.4052%0.5322%
Double Double Bonus Poker8-531.0%96.7861%97.5154%0.7293%
Double Double Bonus Poker7-531.0%95.7120%96.6554%0.9435%
Triple Double Bonus Poker9-626.7%98.1540%98.2082%0.0542%
Triple Double Bonus Poker8-626.7%97.1088%97.4347%0.3259%
Triple Double Bonus Poker7-526.7%94.9178%96.0130%1.0952%
Deuces Wild25-15-9-4-4-359.0%98.9131%99.9127%0.9996%
Deuces Wild20-12-10-4-4-359.0%97.5791%98.0983%0.5192%
Deuces Wild20-11-9-4-4-359.0%96.7537%97.0346%0.2810%
Deuces Wild20-10-8-4-4-359.0%95.9638%96.0160%0.0522%

The games at the Red Rock are as follows, with the Dream Card return in parenthesis.

  • 8/5 Bonus Poker (99.27%)
  • 20/12/10 Deuces Wild (98.10%)
  • 9/6 Double Double Bonus (99.04%)
  • 9/6 Triple Double Bonus (98.21%)
Next, let's take an in-depth look at the math for 9-6 jacks or better. The following is the pay table for the regular game, which the player will play against 49.5% of the time.
9-6 Jacks — No Dream Card
Win Pays Combinations Probability Return
Royal flush8004935122640.0000250.019807
Straight flush5021788832960.0001090.005465
Four of a kind25470931677640.0023630.059064
Full house92294754825960.0115120.10361
Flush62195547861600.0110150.066087
Straight42238375657840.0112290.044917
Three of a kind314840030703240.0744490.223346
Two pair225769461641480.1292790.258558
Pair142773728909680.2145850.214585
Nothing0108722749938960.5454350
Total1993323051720010.995439

This table shows the return table when the player does get the Dream Card. So the player will go against this return table 50.5% of the time. The lower right cell shows the expected return with the Dream Card is 2.98 times a 5-coin bet.

9-6 Jacks — With Dream Card
Win Pays Combinations Probability Return
Royal flush8004569180000.000220.176044
Straight flush5023244071400.0011190.055973
Four of a kind25494252244750.0238040.595089
Full house9724674218400.0349010.314108
Flush6318902654400.0153590.092152
Straight4814971999600.039250.156999
Three of a kind37045902713520.3393361.018009
Two pair21968197045760.094790.18958
Pair17667193132720.3692580.369258
Nothing01701874528200.0819640
Total207637817887512.967211

The next table summarizes the two tables above. The second column shows the probability of each Dream Card state. The third column shows the expected return of each state, relative to a five coins bet. The fourth column is the product of columns 2, 3, 4, and 1/2. The reason for dividing by 2 is that the player must double his bet to enable the Dream Card possibility. The lower right cell shows an overall return of 99.56%.

9-6 Jacks Summary
Dream Card Probability Expected Return Weighted Return
Yes0.5052.9672110.749221
No0.4950.9954390.246371
Total100.995592

The following table takes everything into consideration and reflects the overall return of each hand on the draw. The return column is the product of the probability, win, and 1/2. Again, we divide by 2 because the player must double his bet.

9-6 Jacks Dream Card Return Table
Win Pays Combinations Probability Return
Royal flush8002459427034680.0001230.049353
Straight flush5012347273046240.0006190.015486
Four of a kind25262924606297980.013190.164878
Full house9464912424965340.0233230.104956
Flush6263283626002320.0132080.039625
Straight4505898020469160.025380.050759
Three of a kind34150435155324880.2082170.312325
Two pair22229770279037710.1118620.111862
Pair15834354811771810.2926950.146347
Nothing06206844893249880.3113820
Total199332305172000010.995592

What follows are overall return tables for all the other games and pay tables.

8-6 Jacks Dream Card Return Table
Win Pays Combinations Probability Return
Royal flush8002574561430980.0001290.051664
Straight flush5012499530440760.0006270.015677
Four of a kind25262579076676180.0131730.164662
Full house8463645213295220.0232600.09304
Flush6268194247655400.0134550.040364
Straight4509941668739140.0255820.051165
Three of a kind34137230750137850.2075540.311332
Two pair22212962018515420.1110190.111019
Pair15781659474166050.2900510.145026
Nothing06281943976143000.3151490
Total199332305172000010.983947

8-5 Jacks Dream Card Return Table
Win Pays Combinations Probability Return
Royal flush8002460769777620.0001230.04938
Straight flush5012331043659440.0006190.015465
Four of a kind25262927990102140.013190.16488
Full house8464926925669580.0233240.093297
Flush5262169168007780.0131520.032881
Straight4505954828686780.0253820.050765
Three of a kind34150573757966200.2082240.312336
Two pair22229962755887110.1118720.111872
Pair15839146321372930.2929350.146468
Nothing06202776956070420.3111780
Total199332305172000010.977344

7-5 Jacks Dream Card Return Table
Win Pays Combinations Probability Return
Royal flush8002460755218680.0001230.04938
Straight flush5012332092924800.0006190.015467
Four of a kind25262920568618620.0131900.164876
Full house7464899334179500.0233230.081630
Flush5262190216914560.0131530.032884
Straight4506415282749640.0254060.050811
Three of a kind34150265784790360.2082080.312313
Two pair22229528654271910.111850.11185
Pair15839343397314850.2929450.146473
Nothing06202874430217080.3111830
Total199332305172000010.965682

9-6 Bonus Poker Deluxe Dream Card Return Table
Win Pays Combinations Probability Return
Royal flush8008492014946340.0000850.034082
Straight flush5042386244765840.0004250.010632
Four of a kind80904135065661980.0090720.362865
Full house91875450822388380.0188170.084678
Flush61240549735085640.0124470.037341
Straight42099444955271020.0210650.04213
Three of a kind315658810725668500.1571130.235669
Two pair111748156658241700.1178750.058938
Pair125984548883184500.2607160.130358
Nothing040104177480786100.4023850
Total996661525860000010.996692

9-5 Bonus Poker Deluxe Dream Card Return Table
Win Pays Combinations Probability Return
Royal flush8008550793264860.0000860.034318
Straight flush5042316702297740.0004250.010615
Four of a kind80904089992004180.0090710.362847
Full house91875205637996580.0188150.084667
Flush51222290220837320.0122640.03066
Straight42114993103780600.0212210.042442
Three of a kind315655652001660500.1570810.235621
Two pair111741655347632600.117810.058905
Pair126005459995820400.2609260.130463
Nothing040095938790705200.4023020
Total996661525860000010.990537

8-5 Bonus Poker Deluxe Dream Card Return Table
Win Pays Combinations Probability Return
Royal flush8008554260196620.0000860.034332
Straight flush5042321331963260.0004250.010616
Four of a kind80904029455405340.0090710.362823
Full house81874989635386220.0188130.075251
Flush51222775204887440.0122690.030672
Straight42118400736118840.0212550.04251
Three of a kind315653227198392300.1570570.235585
Two pair111738376353351300.1177770.058888
Pair126003565945064400.2609070.130453
Nothing040099912465234300.4023420
Total996661525860000010.98113

7-5 Dream Card Return Table
Win Pays Combinations Probability Return
Royal flush8001710851330340.0000860.034332
Straight flush508464498230420.0004250.010616
Four of a kind80180805854213900.0090710.362823
Full house737499772288985.20.0188130.065844
Flush524455972310782.40.0122690.030672
Straight4423682272757800.0212550.04251
Three of a kind33130643584267330.1570570.235585
Two pair12347672137669960.1177770.058888
Pair15200683418065730.2609050.130453
Nothing08020010454666840.4023440
Total199332305172000010.971723

8-5 Bonus Poker Dream Card Return Table
Win Pays Combinations Probability Return
Royal flush80011562629845440.0001160.046405
Straight flush5057779305813800.000580.014493
Four aces80114100064952660.0011450.045793
Four 2-440276249545463720.0027720.055435
Four 5-K25843093209918760.0084590.105740
Full house82236092186312900.0224360.089743
Flush51292820454028040.0129720.032429
Straight42422938626868840.0243110.048621
Three of a kind319749997984962700.1981620.297242
Two pair211281010901774700.1131880.113188
Pair128621791391853400.2871770.143588
Nothing032758716284205100.3286840
Total996661525860000010.992678

7-5 Bonus Poker Dream Card Return Table
Win Pays Combinations Probability Return
Royal flush80011562595466940.0001160.046405
Straight flush5057787644662760.000580.014495
Four aces80114099690914580.0011450.045793
Four 2-440276249517960920.0027720.055435
Four 5-K25843052918316760.0084590.105735
Full house72235939974816580.0224340.07852
Flush51293014542662780.0129730.032434
Straight42425445607474060.0243360.048671
Three of a kind319748305556160200.1981450.297217
Two pair211278619362797300.1131640.113164
Pair128622447020101500.2871830.143592
Nothing032759628154665600.3286940
Total996661525860000010.98146

6-5 Bonus Poker Dream Card Return Table
Win Pays Combinations Probability Return
Royal flush80011562534960780.0001160.046405
Straight flush5057821823767460.000580.014504
Four aces80117508198001820.0011790.047161
Four 2-440276249454704480.0027720.055435
Four 5-K25843050935364880.0084590.105734
Full house62160720684630540.021680.065039
Flush51293859200405540.0129820.032455
Straight42425788552263520.0243390.048678
Three of a kind319819826473498400.1988620.298293
Two pair211278143693620500.1131590.113159
Pair128617363095893300.2871320.143566
Nothing032764257938888800.328740
Total996661525860000010.970429

9-7-5 Double Bonus Poker Dream Card Return Table
Win Pays Combinations Probability Return
Royal flush8009853372881900.0000990.039546
Straight flush5046745898638760.0004690.011726
Four aces16091579790086020.0009190.073509
Four 2-480210183872904900.0021090.084355
Four 5-K50643910240884680.0064610.161517
Full house91783305134573040.0178930.080518
Flush71841360563130220.0184750.064663
Straight52590973061673500.0259970.064991
Three of a kind315809383316308600.1586230.237935
Two pair110426483070095200.1046140.052307
Pair124050760701822400.2413130.120657
Nothing042161613563000700.4230280
Total996661525860000010.991723

9-6-5 Double Bonus Poker Dream Card Return Table
Win Pays Combinations Probability Return
Royal flush80010226970095040.0001030.041045
Straight flush5046636995413880.0004680.011698
Four aces16091918413716040.0009220.073781
Four 2-480210220182537480.0021090.08437
Four 5-K50648590664643560.0065080.162691
Full house91805281590046680.0181130.08151
Flush61297018698558120.0130140.039041
Straight52627915013235080.0263670.065918
Three of a kind316037666041996200.1609140.241371
Two pair110777677683740100.1081380.054069
Pair125696863896464000.2578290.128915
Nothing040416136435553900.4055150
Total996661525860000010.984408

9-6-4 Double Bonus Poker Dream Card Return Table
Win Pays Combinations Probability Return
Royal flush80010086377824800.0001010.040481
Straight flush5046387060643520.0004650.011636
Four aces16092107722598920.0009240.073933
Four 2-480213969872403180.0021470.085875
Four 5-K50650048941247760.0065220.163057
Full house91826021476219860.0183210.082446
Flush61306109752493400.0131050.039315
Straight42210770279308240.0221820.044364
Three of a kind316276060784638800.1633060.244959
Two pair111136641738384600.1117390.05587
Pair126029921310962300.2611710.130586
Nothing039868027269274500.4000160
Total996661525860000010.972519

9-5-4 Double Bonus Poker Dream Card Return Table
Win Pays Combinations Probability Return
Royal flush8009565123794120.0000960.038389
Straight flush5045451006390440.0004560.011401
Four aces16092020445716500.0009230.073863
Four 2-480213966141715440.0021470.085873
Four 5-K50651833340762780.006540.163504
Full house91832283565704720.0183840.082729
Flush51260518038095420.0126470.031619
Straight42204834015224080.0221220.044244
Three of a kind316340737297961700.1639550.245932
Two pair111218907409992400.1125650.056282
Pair126366472271515700.2645480.132274
Nothing039429563929126800.3956160
Total996661525860000010.96611

10-7 Triple Bonus Poker Dream Card Return Table
Win Pays Combinations Probability Return
Royal flush8007702769054700.0000770.030914
Straight flush5038948547036000.0003910.00977
Four aces24078516780954300.0007880.094536
Four 2-4120189813177084600.0019040.114269
Four 5-K75542987173055100.0054480.204302
Full house101665107907958800.0167070.083534
Flush71773638599544700.0177960.062285
Straight41967473855980900.0197410.039481
Three of a kind314403872856300600.1445210.216782
Two pair111118933833502600.1115620.055781
Pair114703939067246600.1475320.073766
Nothing053175218018281100.5335330
Total996661525860000010.985421

9-7 Triple Bonus Poker Dream Card Return Table
Win Pays Combinations Probability Return
Royal flush8007702675782600.0000770.030914
Straight flush5038953109769600.0003910.009771
Four aces24078516311046000.0007880.094535
Four 2-4120189810485706000.0019040.114268
Four 5-K75542986192745400.0054480.204302
Full house91665091313321400.0167070.07518
Flush71773827047621200.0177980.062292
Straight41967495159227800.0197410.039482
Three of a kind314403705700783800.144520.216779
Two pair111118705712327800.1115590.05578
Pair114703778731521200.147530.073765
Nothing053175580146147200.5335370
Total996661525860000010.977068

9-6 Triple Bonus Poker Dream Card Return Table
Win Pays Combinations Probability Return
Royal flush8007975430773800.000080.032009
Straight flush5038983675786500.0003910.009779
Four aces24079005497828400.0007930.095124
Four 2-4120189826001155200.0019050.114277
Four 5-K75543145660223400.005450.204362
Full house91669160376595800.0167480.075364
Flush61585971000817200.0159130.047739
Straight42030897438213700.0203770.040754
Three of a kind314436690619890900.144850.217276
Two pair111173825268815500.1121130.056056
Pair115092920437314800.1514350.075717
Nothing052817751178584800.5299470
Total996661525860000010.968456

9-5 Triple Bonus Poker Dream Card Return Table
Win Pays Combinations Probability Return
Royal flush8008218522087800.0000820.032984
Straight flush5038898723693600.000390.009757
Four aces24078922421054400.0007920.095024
Four 2-4120189811480141200.0019040.114268
Four 5-K75543630183707400.0054550.204544
Full house91671920044651800.0167750.075488
Flush51467733184772600.0147260.036816
Straight42047341448705800.0205420.041084
Three of a kind314461111394315400.1450960.217643
Two pair111221550496153000.1125910.056296
Pair115326850301670200.1537820.076891
Nothing052610164385046800.5278640
Total996661525860000010.960797

9-6 Double Double Bonus Poker Dream Card Return Table
Win Pays Combinations Probability Return
Royal flush8009481535483400.0000950.038053
Straight flush5043541520346800.0004370.010922
4 aces + 2-440026252044251480.0002630.05268
4 2-4 + A-416063926069675400.0006410.051312
4 aces + 5-K16060853425729120.0006110.048846
4 2-4 + 5-K80137142020977200.0013760.055041
4 5-K50610877908578600.0061290.153231
Full house91767703264111800.0177360.079813
Flush61296038905610400.0130040.039011
Straight42128903372204200.021360.042721
Three of a kind315587219330752700.1563940.234591
Two pair111241829245653600.1127950.056397
Pair125472944234100500.2555830.127791
Nothing041219439708524800.4135750
Total996661525860000010.99041

9-5 Double Double Bonus Dream Card Return Table
Win Pays Combinations Probability Return
Royal flush8009009456861600.000090.036159
Straight flush5042584563465200.0004270.010682
4 aces + 2-440026254178711280.0002630.052684
4 2-4 + A-416063926425715400.0006410.051312
4 aces + 5-K16060852731451120.0006110.048845
4 2-4 + 5-K80137143430895600.0013760.055041
4 5-K50612530428609800.0061460.153646
Full house91773804532968000.0177970.080089
Flush51250402960649600.0125460.031365
Straight42123703541364400.0213080.042616
Three of a kind315650252488775500.1570270.23554
Two pair111321650792409800.1135960.056798
Pair125768708956050800.258550.129275
Nothing040825328098072000.4096210
Total996661525860000010.984052

8-5 Double Double Bonus Dream Card Return Table
Win Pays Combinations Probability Return
Royal flush8009062646373800.0000910.036372
Straight flush5042671016014400.0004280.010703
4 aces + 2-440026251346413080.0002630.052679
4 2-4 + A-416063925900556400.0006410.051312
4 aces + 5-K16060844284402120.000610.048838
4 2-4 + 5-K80137143430895600.0013760.055041
4 5-K50612372722162400.0061440.153606
Full house81773176422680000.0177910.071165
Flush51253335877224200.0125750.031438
Straight42125484075345400.0213260.042652
Three of a kind315643735453853300.1569610.235442
Two pair111313287410580600.1135120.056756
Pair125743610240665100.2582980.129149
Nothing040861251758833600.4099810
Total996661525860000010.975154

7-5 Double Double Bonus Dream Card Return Table
Win Pays Combinations Probability Return
Royal flush8009400366954800.0000940.037727
Straight flush5043133051057400.0004330.010819
4 aces + 2-440026250865759080.0002630.052678
4 2-4 + A-416065514445308000.0006570.052587
4 aces + 5-K16060842885164920.0006100.048837
4 2-4 + 5-K80141772530157200.0014220.056899
4 5-K50611359197258600.0061340.153352
Full house71632388141042200.0163790.057325
Flush51266663746617200.0127090.031773
Straight42136579917052600.0214370.042875
Three of a kind315735608225934800.1578830.236825
Two pair111263400149272100.1130110.056506
Pair125584704597866700.2567040.128352
Nothing041088534466554400.4122620
Total996661525860000010.966554

9-6 Triple Double Bonus Dream Card Return Table
Win Pays Combinations Probability Return
Royal flush 800 4426106377020 0.000089 0.035527
Straight flush 50 19747670575620 0.000396 0.009907
4 aces + 2-4 800 13700851334988 0.000275 0.109974
4 2-4 + A-4 400 34987507174590 0.000702 0.140419
4 aces + 5-K 160 21725843696532 0.000436 0.034878
4 2-4 + 5-K 80 47076754683840 0.000945 0.037788
4 5-K 50 273006276852660 0.005478 0.13696
Full house 9 770965286958090 0.015471 0.069619
Flush 6 691840900795860 0.013883 0.041649
Straight 4 1043961521122320 0.020949 0.041898
Three of a kind 2 7245303243813600 0.145391 0.145391
Two pair 1 5603122316280780 0.112438 0.056219
Pair 1 12144470105741700 0.243703 0.121851
Nothing 0 21918741907592400 0.439843 0
Total 49833076293000000 1 0.982082

8-6 Triple Double Bonus Poker Dream Card Return Table
Win Pays Combinations Probability Return
Royal flush 800 4426861414665 0.000089 0.035534
Straight flush 50 19754195481405 0.000396 0.009910
4 aces + 2-4 800 13700813512188 0.000275 0.109974
4 2-4 + A-4 400 34987503392310 0.000702 0.140419
4 aces + 5-K 160 21725537804637 0.000436 0.034877
4 2-4 + 5-K 80 47076549022365 0.000945 0.037787
4 5-K 50 272984776482000 0.005478 0.136950
Full house 8 770856814004400 0.015469 0.061875
Flush 6 693817140677505 0.013923 0.041768
Straight 4 1043794780254090 0.020946 0.041892
Three of a kind 2 7244277714050470 0.145371 0.145371
Two pair 1 5601501259912660 0.112405 0.056203
Pair 1 12138110424603400 0.243575 0.121788
Nothing 0 21926061922387900 0.439990 0
Total 49833076293000000 1 0.974347

7-5 Triple Double Bonus Poker Dream Card Return Table
Win Pays Combinations Probability Return
Royal flush 800 4479294103230 0.00009 0.035954
Straight flush 50 19604467060170 0.000393 0.009835
4 aces + 2-4 800 13706888337648 0.000275 0.110022
4 2-4 + A-4 400 34989829428540 0.000702 0.140428
4 aces + 5-K 160 21759561293382 0.000437 0.034932
4 2-4 + 5-K 80 47088884521770 0.000945 0.037797
4 5-K 50 273312603357690 0.005485 0.137114
Full house 7 773016273549630 0.015512 0.054292
Flush 5 629776587699360 0.012638 0.031594
Straight 4 1052952674293920 0.02113 0.042259
Three of a kind 2 7263677394975050 0.14576 0.14576
Two pair 1 5634449578801420 0.113066 0.056533
Pair 1 12319487579664300 0.247215 0.123608
Nothing 0 21744774675913900 0.436352 0
Total 49833076293000000 1 0.96013

More Bad Suggested Dream Card Examples at VideoPoker.com

In the game above I was offered the Q♥, giving me a high pair. It would have been much better to pick either the 5♠ or 6♠ for four to a straight flush.

8♠ 4♠ Q♣ 7♠ Q♥: expected value = 7.6827 coins
8♠ 4♠ Q♣ 7♠ 5♠: expected value = 11.7021 coins

In the game above I was offered the Q♥ again, giving me a high pair. It would have been much better to pick any spade, for a pat flush.

Q♠ 7♠ 3♠ 2♠ Q♥: expected value = 7.6827 coins
Q♠ 7♠ 3♠ 2♠ A♠: expected value = 30.0000 coins

In the game above the card offered was the 2♠ for a pat straight or four to a straight flush draw. The better card would be the ten of clubs, for four to a natural royal.

J♣ K♣ Q♣ A♠ 2♠: expected value = 18.8298 coins
J♣ K♣ Q♣ A♠ 10♣: expected value = 99.6809 coins

In the game above the card offered was the Q♠ for three to a natural royal flush or high pair. The better card would any two or jack for a pat straight.

K♠ 10♠ 9♥ Q♥ Q♠: expected value = 7.0490 coins
K♠ 10♠ 9♥ Q♥ J♣: expected value = 10.0000 coins

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Acknowledgement

I would like to thank "J.B." for his mathematical analysis of this game, which agrees to within 0.01% of the return figures from IGT, quoted in the Bob Dancer article linked to above. J.B. says the few differences are due to rounding.

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