Baccarat Appendix 4 — Streaks in Baccarat

Last update: Feb. 5, 2010

I get asked a lot about the probability of getting x bets in a row correct in baccarat. Not that the answer is of any value, but to end the questions, I submit the following table. It shows the probability of winning exactly 0 to 20 bets in a row, according to the bet. The probabilities are for each starting point. For example, the probability of the next three outcomes are banker wins, followed by a player win, is 6.42%. The table ignores ties.

Runs in Baccarat — Six Decks

Run Banker Player Random

0 0.49316293 0.50683707 0.5

1 0.24995325 0.24995325 0.25

2 0.12668557 0.12326768 0.125

3 0.06420894 0.06079105 0.0625

4 0.03254347 0.02997989 0.03125

5 0.01649424 0.01478497 0.015625

6 0.00835989 0.0072914 0.0078125

7 0.0042371 0.00359585 0.00390625

8 0.00214752 0.00177334 0.00195313

9 0.00108844 0.00087455 0.00097656

10 0.00055166 0.00043129 0.00048828

11 0.0002796 0.0002127 0.00024414

12 0.00014171 0.00010489 0.00012207

13 0.00007183 0.00005173 0.00006104

14 0.0000364 0.00002551 0.00003052

15 0.00001845 0.00001258 0.00001526

16 0.00000935 0.0000062 0.00000763

17 0.00000474 0.00000306 0.00000381

18 0.0000024 0.00000151 0.00000191

19 0.00000122 0.00000074 0.00000095

20+ 0.00000125 0.00000072 0.00000095

Total 1 1 1

Go back to baccarat
Go to baccarat appendix 1
Go to baccarat appendix 2
Go to baccarat appendix 3

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