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Reason #2 why the Wizard likes Bodog:
No-hassle practice games
Most online casinos spend more effort trying to separate you from your money than they do trying to give you a good experience. They have all kinds of popup windows, they usually make you download their software, and if do they offer play-in-browser games then you have to register an account before you can play. And if you do register then they start sending you emails trying to get you to deposit real money.
But Bodog is different. They have no popup windows at all, and their practice games play right in your browser, with no download, and no registration required. You don't even have to give up your email address. It couldn't be simpler: Just one click and you're playing the game.
I wish all online casinos showed this much respect for their players. Other casinos practically ask for your first born child to play for free. Meanwhile Bodog is patient and does not twist anybody's arm to play for real money. You can play as long as you like for free with no obligation. The real-money games are available if that's your preference, but if not, you can play the free practice games for as long as you like without hassle. (Visit Bodog)
Try blackjack at Bodog.
One click and you're in:
 No popups, no download, no registration, no B.S., just the game.
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My NFL picks for 2005
Last update: January 22, 2006
Bodog Sports
Place your sports wagers at Bodog and get customer service that's second to none, fast payouts, and ultra-secure transactions. sports.Bodog.com
Following are the results of my NLF picks for the 2005 season. I quit after 15 weeks because of a combination of bad results and my numbers-only model does not factor in that many teams in the late season have nothing to play for, and thus sit out their best players. Over my 96 picks here are the final results.
- Wins: 42
- Losses: 53
- Push: 1
So over resolved bets my percentage is sad 44.2%. My only excuse is that you can see I have been mainly betting on underdogs. During the 2005 regular season favorites beat the spread 144 times, underdogs covered 103 times, and 9 times the game fell exactly on the spread (according to Mr. NFL spreads). The probability of underdogs doing so badly assuming a 50/50 chance of winning over 247 resolved bets is 0.45%, of 1 in 220.
| 2005 NFL Picks |
| Week |
Pick |
Line Source |
Win/Lose/ Draw |
| 15 | Buffalo Bills +9 | Caesars/Hilton, Dec 15 | L |
| 15 | Tennessee Titans +7 | Caesars/Hilton, Dec 15 | W |
| 15 | San Francisco 49ers +16 | Caesars/Hilton, Dec 15 | W |
| 15 | Detroit Lions +8 | Caesars/Hilton, Dec 15 | L |
| 14 | Cleveland +13 | Caesars/Hilton, Dec 9 | W |
| 14 | Jacksonville +8.5 | Caesars/Hilton, Dec 9 | W |
| 14 | Buffalo +4 | Caesars/Hilton, Dec 9 | L |
| 14 | NY Jets +3 | Caesars/Hilton, Dec 9 | W |
| 14 | Philadelphia +8.5 | Caesars/Hilton, Dec 9 | W |
| 14 | San Francisco +16 | Caesars/Hilton, Dec 9 | L |
| 14 | Arizona +4 | Caesars/Hilton, Dec 9 | N |
| 14 | Baltimore +14.5 | Caesars/Hilton, Dec 9 | W |
| 14 | Miami +13.5 | Caesars/Hilton, Dec 9 | W |
| 13 | Green Bay Packers 7 | Caesars/Hilton, Dec 1 | L |
| 13 | Detroit Lions 3 | Caesars/Hilton, Dec 1 | L |
| 13 | New Orleans Saints 3.5 | Caesars/Hilton, Dec 1 | L |
| 13 | San Francisco 49ers 3 | Caesars/Hilton, Dec 1 | L |
| 13 | St. Louis Rams 3 | Caesars/Hilton, Dec 1 | L |
| 13 | New York Jets 10 | Caesars/Hilton, Dec 1 | L |
| 13 | Oakland Raiders 11.5 | Caesars/Hilton, Dec 1 | L |
| 13 | Philadelphia Eagles 4 | Caesars/Hilton, Dec 1 | L |
| 12 | Baltimore Ravens +9.5 | Caesars/Hilton, Nov 22 | L |
| 12 | Chicago Bears +3 | Caesars/Hilton, Nov 22 | W |
| 12 | Cleveland Browns +4.5 | Caesars/Hilton, Nov 22 | L |
| 12 | San Francisco 49ers +7.5 | Caesars/Hilton, Nov 22 | L |
| 12 | Miami Dolphins+ 7 | Caesars/Hilton, Nov 22 | W |
| 12 | Green Bay Packers +4 | Caesars/Hilton, Nov 22 | L |
| 12 | New York Giants +4.5 | Caesars/Hilton, Nov 22 | W |
| 11 | Arizona Cardinals +10 | Caesars/Hilton, Nov 16 | W |
| 11 | New York Giants -7.5 | Caesars/Hilton, Nov 16 | W |
| 11 | Denver Broncos -13 | Caesars/Hilton, Nov 16 | W |
| 11 | Pittsburgh Steelers -4 | Caesars/Hilton, Nov 16 | L |
| 11 | Houston Texans +7 | Caesars/Hilton, Nov 16 | L |
| 11 | Green Bay Packers -4 | Caesars/Hilton, Nov 16 | L |
| 10 | Tampa Bay Buccaneers +1 | Caesars/Hilton, Nov 9 | W |
| 10 | San Francisco 49ers +12.5 | Caesars/Hilton, Nov 9 | W |
| 10 | Minnesota Vikings +10 | Caesars/Hilton, Nov 9 | W |
| 10 | Houston Texans +18 | Caesars/Hilton, Nov 9 | W |
| 10 | Oakland Raiders +3 | Caesars/Hilton, Nov 9 | L |
| 10 | St. Louis Rams +6.5 | Caesars/Hilton, Nov 9 | L |
| 10 | Philadelphia Eagles -3 | Caesars/Hilton, Nov 9 | L |
| 9 | Minnesota Vikings +1.5 | Caesars/Hilton, Nov 2 | W |
| 9 | New York Jets +6.5 | Caesars/Hilton, Nov 2 | W |
| 9 | Baltimore Ravens +3 | Caesars/Hilton, Nov 2 | L |
| 9 | Houston Texans +13.5 | Caesars/Hilton, Nov 2 | W |
| 9 | San Francisco 49ers +10.5 | Caesars/Hilton, Nov 2 | L |
| 9 | New England Patriots +3.5 | Caesars/Hilton, Nov 2 | L |
| 8 | Green Bay Packers 9 | Caesars/Hilton, Oct 26 | W |
| 8 | Minnesota Vikings 8 | Caesars/Hilton, Oct 26 | L |
| 8 | Arizona Cardinals 8.5 | Caesars/Hilton, Oct 26 | L |
| 8 | Kansas City Chiefs 5.5 | Caesars/Hilton, Oct 26 | L |
| 8 | Philadelphia Eagles 3.5 | Caesars/Hilton, Oct 26 | L |
| 8 | San Francisco 49ers 11.5 | Caesars/Hilton, Oct 26 | W |
| 7 | Houston Texans 16 | Caesars/Hilton, Oct 19 | L |
| 7 | San Francisco 49ers 12.5 | Caesars/Hilton, Oct 19 | L |
| 7 | Buffalo Bills 3 | Caesars/Hilton, Oct 19 | L |
| 7 | Tennessee Titans 3 | Caesars/Hilton, Oct 19 | L |
| 7 | New York Jets +7.5 | Caesars/Hilton, Oct 18 | L |
| 7 | Denver Broncos +2 | Caesars/Hilton, Oct 18 | W |
| 7 | Cleveland Browns -2.5 | Caesars/Hilton, Oct 18 | L |
| 7 | Philadelphia Eagles -4 | Caesars/Hilton, Oct 18 | L |
| 6 | Pittsburgh Steelers -3.5 | Caesars/Hilton, Oct 14 | L |
| 6 | New Orleans Saints +5.5 | Caesars/Hilton, Oct 11 | W |
| 6 | Minnesota Vikings +3 | Caesars/Hilton, Oct 11 | L |
| 6 | Tennessee Titans +3 | Caesars/Hilton, Oct 11 | L |
| 6 | New England Patriots +3 | Caesars/Hilton, Oct 11 | L |
| 5 | Baltimore Ravens +1.5 | Caesars/Hilton, Oct 6 | L |
| 5 | New England Patriots +3 | Caesars/Hilton, Oct 4 | W |
| 5 | New York Jets +3.5 | Caesars/Hilton, Oct 4 | W |
| 5 | San Francisco 49ers +14.5 | Caesars/Hilton, Oct 4 | L |
| 5 | Pittsburgh Steelers +3 | Caesars/Hilton, Oct 4 | W |
| 4 | New England Patriots -5.5 | Caesars/Hilton, Sep 27 | L |
| 4 | St. Louis Rams +3 | Caesars/Hilton, Sep 27 | L |
| 4 | New York Jets +8 | Caesars/Hilton, Sep 27 | L |
| 4 | Dallas Cowboys +3 | Caesars/Hilton, Sep 27 | L |
| 4 | Green Bay Packers +7.5 | Caesars/Hilton, Sep 27 | W |
| 3 | Philadelphia Eagles -8.5 | MGM/Mirage, Sep 23 | L |
| 3 | Miami Dolphins +3.5 | MGM/Mirage, Sep 21 | W |
| 3 | New Orleans Saints +4 | MGM/Mirage, Sep 21 | L |
| 3 | Green Bay Packers +3.5 | MGM/Mirage, Sep 21 | W |
| 3 | San Francisco 49ers +6.5 | MGM/Mirage, Sep 21 | W |
| 3 | New England Patriots +3 | MGM/Mirage, Sep 21 | W |
| 2 | Tennessee Titans +4 | MGM/Mirage, Sep 13 | W |
| 2 | Chicago Bears +1.5 | MGM/Mirage, Sep 13 | W |
| 2 | Buffalo Bills +2.5 | MGM/Mirage, Sep 13 | L |
| 2 | New England Patriots -3 | MGM/Mirage, Sep 13 | L |
| 2 | St. Louis Rams 0 | MGM/Mirage, Sep 13 | W |
| 2 | Green Bay Packers -6.5 | MGM/Mirage, Sep 13 | L |
| 2 | Kansas City Chiefs -1.5 | MGM/Mirage, Sep 13 | W |
| 2 | New Orleans Saints +3 | MGM/Mirage, Sep 13 | L |
| 1 | New England Patriots -7.5 | Pinnacle, Aug 31 | W |
| 1 | Miami Dolphins +4 | Pinnacle, Aug 31 | W |
| 1 | Pittsburgh Steelers -7.5 | Pinnacle, Aug 31 | W |
| 1 | Chicago Bears +6.5 | Pinnacle, Aug 31 | W |
| 1 | New Orleans Saints +6 | Pinnacle, Aug 31 | W |
| 1 | Green Bay Packers +3 | Pinnacle, Aug 31 | L |
Methodology
These picks are based on a simple and entirely numerical model of my own design.
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