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Categories for Blackjack Questions

FAQ
General Questions
Basic Strategy, general
Basic Strategy,
  specific hands

Composition-Dependent
  Strategy

Counting Cards
House Edge & Rule Sets
Special Rules &
  Promotions

No Hole, No Peek Betting Systems
Blackjack Variants
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Online Blackjack
Probability
Shuffling
Side Bets

At BetJamaica I played 30 hands and lost 21.5 units. What is the probability of that? — Timothy Pelletreau from Medford, NJ
The standard deviation per hand in blackjack is 1.15 under Vegas Strip rules (source). This can vary, depending on the rules, but since you didn't state them, we'll go with 1.15. So, the standard deviation of 30 hands would be sqrt(30) × 1.15 = 6.30. I don’t know what their blackjack rules are, but let’s assume a house edge of 0.4%. So in 30 bets, you would expect to lose 30 × 0.004 = 0.12 units. Your losses exceeded expectations by 21.5-0.12 = 21.38 units. That is 21.38/6.3 = 3.39 standard deviations south of expectations. The probability of that is 0.000349, or 1 in 2862. I’m afraid this doesn’t rise to the level to make any kind of accusations. If you still suspect something fishy, I would gather a larger sample size. July 11, 2008
Why does BetFair have zero house edge blackjack? I suspect that it is because they realize that players either don't know the optimal strategy or sometimes can't act on it (for example if they bet their last chip and then are unable to act on a double down or splitting opportunity). – Nick from London
They also have zero house edge baccarat and roulette, so that can’t be entirely the reason. My theory is that it is a way to get players through the door. Their main casino has many more games and higher bet limits. I'm sure some of the Zero Lounge players wander into the regular casino eventually. November 23, 2007
Could you please make a chart for Party Poker single deck blackjack. Also, with best play, what are the odds. Here are the rules - Mark H. from New York
As I read them, the rules are:

  • 1 deck
  • Dealer hits soft 17
  • Double only on 9 to 11
  • Double after split allowed (subject to 9 to 11 rule)
  • No surrender
  • Blackjack pays 3 to 2
  • Dealer always peeks for blackjack

Here is the basic strategy.

The house edge under these rules is 0.16%. October 4, 2006

I am a part time blackjack player with a lot of success in land based casinos. I am thinking to start playing online but I have a few questions about this. Does a payout percentage of for example 98% mean that you lose 2% anyway regarding good or bad play. In European blackjack with no hole card, if you play last box isn't it better to leave the little card for the bank or must I hit anyway? Sometimes i have my doubts about this. P.S. Love your site! THANKS – Andrew from Belgium
Thanks. Payout percentages such as this are historical. For example King Neptune’s casino posts their June 2006 report at www.kingneptunescasino.com/report567.php?bTag=knaff2287. The 96.78% for table games means that in June 2006 the ratio of money returned to money bet was 96.78%. In other words an actual house edge of 3.22%. Your own results will depend on the game rules, your skill (in games of decision making), and luck. In most games the odds are quantifiable so payout reports are not useful. It shouldn’t matter to you how badly other players have played or the mix of games they chose. Where these reports are very useful is in evaluating the slots. No casino that I know of volunteers how loose their slots are theoretically set, but such payout reports gives the user a good idea. If looking at other months you see that King Neptune’s pays about 96% in slots. I also think it is a good sign of a good operation to have return percentages independently verified. It shows the casino has nothing to hide. September 13, 2006
I was playing baccarat online at USACasino which uses a live dealer and Playtech software. Apparently Playtech has instituted a new rule that the dealer burns a card after each hand is dealt. This is not the way it is played in casinos. What bearing, if any, does this have on the odds of the game. I can't believe the casino would institute a new rule that wasn't in their favor. -- Phil from Yonkers
Burning cards has no effect on the basic strategy player. They probably are doing this to discourage card counters. However, they may as well just shuffle earlier. For card counting purposes what is important is the number of cards seen, it doesn't matter whether the unseen cards are burned or behind the cut card. May 18, 2006
Dear Wizard, I have read your comments about online blackjack and the fact that the decks are shuffled after each hand. Is there a casino online that has less shuffling or if not, am I forced to play live dealer blackjack which has more decks stacked and at least I can be aware of when shuffling does occur. Cheers. -- Ken from Oxford, UK
Perhaps you misunderstood the point I was trying to make in my blackjack appendix 10. The bottom line is that unless you are a card counter shuffling after every hand, as opposed to using a cut card, is a good thing. The house edge is reduced 0.02% in a 6-deck game, to 0.11% in a 1-deck game, by shuffling after every hand. March 13, 2006

Since most online casinos deal each hand out of a "fresh shoe," is there an opportunity to create a special basic strategy card for the "first hand out of a shoe," or do your various basic strategy cards work as well? - Bill W from summit, New Jersey

The existing basic charts, including mine, are already based on a fresh shuffle. Sept. 11, 2005

I was playing blackjack online. I bet all of my money on a single hand, and was dealt a pair of eights versus the dealer's three. Since I could not split, I exited the game, went to the cashier, and bought more chips. However, when I returned to the hand, my newly purchased chips were not at the table. I spoke with customer support, and was told that once a hand is in progress, additional chips may not be brought to the table. However, there is nothing on this casino's site stating that rule. -- Patrick from Jersey City, New Jersey

If I had written the software I would have allowed this, as it is allowed in the land casinos. However remember that in most casinos Internet gambling is unregulated and the player has essentially no rights. The terms and conditions always seem to say that the casino is always right in any dispute. In cases where a rule is not addressed make no assumptions that it will go your way. Sept. 4, 2005

What is the best betting system for a player to use when playing the online casino blackjack games that give the PLAYER the slight edge? Are there any systems when there is a positive player edge that can be used to most effectively gain maximum winnings with minimum chance of losses over the long run? Or would the best system be to bet the same amount consistently and follow the optimum basic strategy (and its exceptions for single deck) for all the hands played?

I would recommend flat betting. The expected return is the same regardless of how you bet, but flat betting is best for minimizing volatility and ensuring bankroll preservation. Jan. 9, 2005

Are there any basic strategy exceptions for doubling and splitting on the Internet when cash back applies to the total amount bet (thus giving the player an extra incentive to double or split). Please assume a cash back rate of 0.1%.

I could not find any hand where an extra 0.1% would cause a change in strategy. The closest case I could find, based on six decks and the dealer standing on soft 17, is A,4 against a dealer 4. In that hand doubling costs the player just under 0.3% in expected value compared to hitting. So if you can get 0.3% or more then double that hand. Other borderline hands I examined cost the player at least 1% to double or split, and I have never seen cash back that high in blackjack. July 4, 2004

I read somewhere that online casinos may shuffle the deck after every turn and that card counting then would be of no value. How can I find out for sure if a casino is doing this?

You could test for how often the same card appears in two consecutive hands. Considering only the four initial cards dealt and assuming all four are different the expected number of those cards seen in the next hand is 16/52 = 0.307692, assuming the cards are shuffled after every hand. If you see fewer repeats than would argue that the cards are not shuffled after every hand. If the cards are not shuffled between hands the expected number of repeats seen would be 4*(4d-1)/(52d-4), where d is the number of decks. It is easier, but less reliable, to just ask customer support. April 22, 2004

Is there software that will count cards as you input them? Can this be used to play online blackjack? Or does online blackjack shuffle after each hand?

Yes. Have a look at beejack. Most, but not all, casinos shuffle after every hand. I don't know if it practical to actually use this product. If you try it please let me know how you do, I might like to try it myself. Nov. 19, 2003

I just wanted to make sure that the correct play in the Microgaming single deck game of A,A vs A is to split as shown on your basic strategy card. I'm pretty sure the correct play would be to hit, at least with 4 decks, and it just seems that with all the 10's left you might lose twice your bet pretty often. Not that I don't believe you but I just wanted to make verify. Any chance you have the EV of hitting vs splitting on this hand? - William K. from Pittsburgh, USA

I've been questioned about this several times and continue to maintain that despite losing the total bet the option to draw to split aces overcomes the European no-peek rule, thus splitting is the better play. Based on one deck the expected value of each hand (considering the possibility of a dealer blackjack) is -0.532849 for hitting and -0.223277 for splitting. So splitting is better by about 31% of a unit. Splitting is also better for the 4-deck game, which no Microgaming player should be playing since a 1-deck game with the same rules is available. Nov. 3, 2002

Microgaming has a new blackjack game called "Lucky Sevens" where you get bonuses for having your first card a 7, first two cards 7's, and first 3 cards 7's. It also has a progressive pot which you win if you get all 3 7 of diamonds. The bad part is that you have to ante $1 for each hand. You have no choice on this if you play the game. My question is: at what size progressive jackpot does this become a positive expectation game. Thanks! - Bryan M. from Austin, Texas

Good question. "Triple Sevens Blackjack" is played with five decks with a $1 mandatory side bet. Following is the side bet return table, based on a meter of $41,227 (the amount on August 31, 2002).

Microgaming Triple Sevens Side Bet

Hand

Permutations

Probability

Pays

Return

1 seven

1238400

0.07128

5 for 1

0.3564

2 unsuited 7's

72000

0.004144

25 for 1

0.103605

2 suited 7's

19200

0.001105

50 for 1

0.055256

3 unsuited 7's

6600

0.00038

250 for 1

0.094971

3 suited 7's

180

0.00001

1000 for 1

0.01036

3 diamond 7's

60

0.000003

41227 for 1

0.142377

Non-paying hand

16037280

0.923077

0

0

Total

17373720

1

0.76297

If the player splits two sevens the connectivity is lost and the player begins each hand with one seven for purposes of the side bet. The player should never split sevens in this game at low bet levels ($40 or less). The house edge on the side bet is 37.94%, less 3.45% for every $10,000 in the meter. When I checked at the Golden Tiger casino on August 31, 2002, the meter was at $41,227, for a return of 76.30%, or a house edge of 23.70%. For the side bet to have no house edge the meter would need to reach $109,862. This does not consider the 0.0057% cost of deviating from basic strategy by not splitting two sevens. Assuming the player is betting $2 on the blackjack hand (the minimum) the meter would need to reach $113,196 for the combined game to have no house edge. Aug. 31, 2002

Do you have or can you make up a basic strategy chart for Lasseters's blackjack? I couldn't find one on the internet. - Boyd S. from Canton, USA

Here you go...

  Aug. 11, 2002

I am playing blackjack with unified gaming software. They claim they do not shuffle after every hand especially in the six deck, yet I have never seen it stop to shuffle. When I called the company to ask they said it is indicated when shuffling but I have never seen anything written on the screen that it is shuffling. After playing for usually 45 minutes to an hour it does freeze up and one can not even use the exit..everything shuts down. ? - Janice D. from Muskego, Wisconsin

It is my understanding they shuffle after every hand in the single deck game. When I have played the six-deck game you can hear a shuffling sound and the bottom of the screen says "shuffling" from time to time. Perhaps you were only playing the single deck game. It seems like they do this at random times. The lost connection is a known annoyance with Unified Gaming software. I mention it myself in my review. Some people say if you disable your sound card it helps with this problem. April 15, 2002

You stated that Unified gaming used to have a player advantage a few months ago but no more. How did they change their software? - Janice D. from Muskego, Wisconsin

They used to allow early surrender against an ace. April 15, 2002

I was just wondering if Las Vegas Video Blackjack reshuffles after every hand or after all the decks are played. I know the tables in Las Vegas do it after all the decks are played because if they did it after every hand no one would play. Are the odds that you'll win worse if there is a shuffle after every hand? Is this even legal or necessary? - Stephanie from Evans, USA

I don't know when they shuffle but I would speculate after every hand. From my blackjack appendix 10 you will learn that the player's odds improve slightly if the dealer plays exactly n hands between shuffles (including one) rather than playing to cut card, finishing the hand, and then shuffling. Mar. 6, 2002

The Question I have is about Microgaming Blackjack. I have played the for fun version of about 10 online casino trying to determine the best one and I run into a question I have yet been able to understand. Out of about 1000 games or more at each casino I found out some days using the basic strategy for the casino from your web site I stay just about even with the dealer and some times show a small credit profit. But other days I am lucky to win 20 hands out of 100. And I never stray from the strategy and just bet an even bet. Is this normal that some days the random generator is set up to sway the dealers way for a long period of time and if so does it ever sway the players way that much too? I sure would like to know more because I really enjoy the game and am not wanting to make a lot of money but when you are betting min. and it eats away 200 credits in no time this does not seem normal odds. Please if you can educate me on this I would think you very much. - Dean V. from Winston Salem, USA

In my strong opinion the variation you're observing is the result of random variation in the cards, not where you're playing. I suspect you are exaggerating about sometimes only winning 20 hands out of 100, that would be very unlikely. Some people believe that Microgaming has a "take down" mode in which the player will lose like crazy for a period of time. It is to be expected that in any game the player will occasionally have bad losing streaks, as well as good winning streaks. So these alleged "take down" periods I think are just normal bad luck and that all Microgaming casinos deal a fair game. Feb. 11, 2002

I'm pretty sure this isn't possible, but is there any way to count cards when playing blackjack in an online casino? P.S. Your site is great. Being a beginner it has given me lots of good advice. - Dustin from Austin, USA

Thanks for the compliments. Most online casinos shuffle the cards after every hand. At single deck casinos (Boss Media version 1, Microgaming, Unified Gaming) you can use the cards already on the table to alter your play sometimes. See my blackjack appendix3A for all the details. There are some casinos that play into a shoe a little way but not far, and have restrictive betting limits. I have yet to be convinced of any worthwhile opportunity on the Internet to count cards. Nov. 23, 2001

First of all, thanks for your very informative, comprehensive, and overall helpful site. I am wondering which, if any, online casinos currently advise the player of a shuffle in blackjack (multi-deck, of course). Also, do you know, among the majority who do not, which shuffle after each hand and which just do not advise of a shuffle (although it actually occurs after many hands)? It would be great to have this knowledge. A follow up question would be, if they do indeed shuffle at regular casino intervals, can a player assume that if he enters a private table that he beings with a full shoe? Thanks again for your great web site, and I look forward to your response to my questions. - Tony M. from Columbus, Ohio

[answer missing]. April 15, 2001

Hey Wizard...I have just got into online gambling and have referred to your site for pretty much everything...I appreciate all the information on the single deck Unified Gaming information, but what about the six deck? Can you tell me the player (or dealer) edge in this game as well as a basic strategy? It would seem to me that this would be one of the best bets at which to count cards...what do you think? Thank you in advance! - Chris P. from Denton, TX

You should follow my multiple-deck strategy but surrender against aces in the same hands as the single-deck strategy. I havenít studied if counting this game is more profitable than the single-deck game but I would be interested to hear from anyone who is doing as you suggest. Feb. 10, 2001

I notice that some internet Casinos give you 2 cards right away one on each hand before you begin to play each hand, unlike a live casino which play the split, one hand at a time. Is this a house advantage dealing two cards before beginning play on the split hands? - Karter from Calgary, Canada

Mathematically speaking it doesnít make any difference. Jan. 20, 2001

I want to know the best blackjack strategy card for Gamblingsoftware. The Wizards of Odds page doesn't carry a table for this software, but the Java-based games here are becoming increasingly popular. ñ Nevin from the Philippines

You can correctly use the Cryptologic basic strategy to play at a GamblingSoftware.com casino. Oct. 5, 2000

When playing online blackjack, how do you tell when the deck is shuffled? I play Microgaming casinos (which you report as using 1 deck), but I do not know if each time I play if it is a new deck, and there are no signs of knowing when the deck is shuffled. ñ Brian of State College, USA

Most online casinos shuffle after every hand. Others shuffle at random times but do not indicate exactly when to the player. I have noticed Microgaming casinos flash the word "shuffling" about one hand in four. However if you track the cards between these announcements you will sometimes see the same card twice, which is impossible in a single deck game, assuming you believe them about when they shuffle. As far as I know they actually shuffle after every hand but for reasons I do not understand only indicate a shuffle occasionally. If I remember correctly Cryptologic casinos do indeed indicate when they are shuffling their eight deck shoe. Nov. 19, 2000

Just one more question today. In your introduction to your site, you make a big deal of losing in the long run at all games of chance. However, what is your opinion of playing tons of hands at Unified Gaming sites with the -0.57 house advantage? How realistic would it be to make $5.70 per hundred hands with $10 bets for a few hours a day? It would sure beat getting another part-time job:), even if I could only do it for a few months (while I'm finishing school at the U.of U.). The math seems correct even to me (a history major), yet I have this nagging feeling that I've left something unaccounted for, and this wishful thinking is just too good to be true. I'd appreciate your opinion. ñ Dave P. of Provo, USA

Your math is correct. For every 100 bets at $10 you make you could expect to make $5.70 assuming you follow my basic strategy. Keep in mind this is a long-term return and in the short run you could easily lose. There is also a problem with broken connections with Unified Gaming casinos, which slows down the number of hands playable per hour. Somebody told me that turning off the sound card can take care of this problem. Whatever your gambling bankroll is I would recommend dividing that by 100 and bet in those units. So to bet $10 a hand you should have $1000 to risk. Nov. 4, 2000

I have never gambled on-line, but I would suppose that since you play the games from your computer, with no one watching, it would be a lot easier to do things as card counting or even using a computer to make your decisions. Is this true? Do on-line casinos have any way to check if you're cheating? Also, do you have a time limit to play each hand? - Gonzalo from Mexico City, Mexico

Yes, you can easily count cards when playing blackjack online. In fact some products like Blackjack 2021 are specifically designed to aid the player doing this. It isn't cheating either. However most online casinos shuffle after every hand which makes counting cards a waste of time. I have heard that a few have penetration of about 1/3 of the shoe but can't name any. Most places seem to have no time limit. Oct. 5, 2000

Q: I want to play blackjack at Lasseters Casino. They use Access software i.e. Infinite number of decks ,split any pair and resplit once, double on any two cards, double after split and European hole card rule, and dealer stands on soft 17. Please supply me with the relevant Basic Strategy chart. Thank you. - Peter H. from Hemel Hempstead, United Kingdom

A: Here is my Lasseter's basic strategy. Sept. 3, 2000

Q: I have just started gambling online and I am having a difficult time believing that these online casinos are really fair. although I have tried just three different casinos, they seem to be very hard to beat. I am a fairly consistent winner in Vegas at Blackjack, but these online guys are tough. So the question is-- are the online Blackjack games really fair. Thanks and by the way, I really enjoy your site. I have learned a great deal and am looking forward to applying some of your knowlege during my next trip to Vegas. thank again!! - Larry R. from Nucla, USA

A: Thanks for your kind words. I think that the vast majority on online casinos are fair. However I won't claim that all of them are. Check out my casino blacklist for casinos I had problems with. Assuming you aren't playing one of the few bad ones I would suggest your losing is just the result of bad luck. Aug. 20, 2000

Q: What are some of the best online casinos to play blackjack on, with the following criteria in mind - Best player odds, fewest decks, fairness? - Robert from Hamilton, Canada.

A: Assuming you put the greatest priority on player odds I would have to go with a Unified Gaming casino. You'll enjoy a player edge of 0.57% assuming you following the proper strategy. I list of such casinos can be found here. Aug. 13, 2000

Q: Are you confident of your figures on the online software? In particular, do you really have a .53% advantage over the house just with good basic strategy? I've never seen anyone give figures of a player advantage before for any rules with only basic strategy. - Jack Z. of Olympia, Washington

A: I'm confident with that figure. It was determined using a random simulation program of mine. I speculate the creators of the software made a mistake and only intended to offer late surrender on tens and aces, as was the case with the preceding version. I called one online casino that uses Unified Gaming and they were not even aware the new software allowed for early surrender on aces. I give the house edge figures as a service to my visitors. July 16, 2000

Q: Using your basic strategy for Cryptologic, what is the probability of winning 5 units before losing 20. If I played everyday for a year getting out after winning 5 units or losing 20 units, what can I expect my net to be? - Bert W. of Richmond, Virginia

A: There was a similar question asked in the June 15 column, which I worked out in detail. However briefly I estimate the answer to be about 78%. Over a year you could expect to lose 0.52% (the house edge) of the total initial bets. July 2, 2000

Q: What is the best site to play free online blackjack? - Heather from Alma

I never play for free but Boss Media casinos have a very nice game you can play for free. To name just one try the Riverboat Casino. July 2, 2000

Q: I was wondering... Knowing that online casinos shuffle after every hand, making card counting impossible, I have found that there are, indeed, a few advantages. A) You do not have to tip, B) You can go one-on-one against the dealer (no other players), C) You can play more hands (again, due to the lack of other players) her hour than in a real casino, and D) you can enjoy a large betting spread without suspicion. Do these factors make the online game advantageous in any way? Has any test been run on these systems? So far, I've done nicely -- in fact, I've done better online than in any real casino. What do you think? Any input is appreciated. Thanks! - Nathan S.

You have already pointed out some of the advantages of online blackjack as opposed to a physical casino. Unless you are card counting it is to your advantage that they shuffle after every hand. In the casinos they will play until a specific point is reached in the deck, finish that hand, and then shuffle. This works to the player's disadvantage because more cards will be dealt when the shuffle point is reached in a deck rich in small cards than one rich in big cards. In other words in a physical casinos the player will see slightly more small cards than large cards over the long run, which is bad for the player. However much more important is the fact that you don't have to feel obligated to tip in an online casino. The faster play, one on one play, and the larger spreads do not help nor hurt the casual player. I attribute your better results in online casinos to any combination of luck, better rules, and not having to tip. April 29, 2000

Q: Just set up an account with Islandcasino today. On their Perplexa BJ games, what are the shuffle points for the one- and six-deck games? I presume one deck is shuffled after ever hand. What about six decks? - Jay of USA

A: Both games are both shuffled after every hand. Thanks to Darla with Gambler's Palace (another Perplexa casino) for her help on this one. Mar. 18, 2000

Q: What is the minimum blackjack bet at most online casinos? Are there a time limits in which to make your decisions at the blackjack tables? If so, what are they? - Reg A. from Vancouver, British Columbia

A: The minimum varies from place to place. At Perplexa casinos it is $1, Microgaming is $2, Starnet and Cryptologic are $5. If you are playing by yourself then you can take a long time. I've had phone calls in middle of a hand, came back 15 minutes later and resumed the hand without having been logged out. You will get logged out for inactivity eventually but it takes quite a while. However if you are playing at a group table there is a time limit per decision of about 30 seconds. At the Sands of the Caribbean you can see your clock ticking down. March 11, 2000

Q: Do you really trust the online gambling sites for such games as blackjack. I played one a few weeks back. The dealer got 14 blackjacks to my 3 during that session. I'm just suspicious and interested in your comments. Thanks. - Mitch

A: What you should be worried about from online casinos is not that they are cheating with the cards. The casinos don't need to cheat to make money, the built in house edge is sufficient to ensure financial security. I speculate that if they did cheat they would actually make less money because their players would not return. However I do not claim that nobody is cheating, anything is possible. What you should be worried about is bad customer service. Some online casinos have a lot to learn about answering e-mail timely and understanding their own rules. Regarding your question about getting only 3 blackjacks out of 17 the probability of getting 3 or less is:

(1/2)17*(combin(17,0)+combin(17,1)+combin(17,2)+combin(17,3)) =

(1/131072) * (1 + 17 + 136 + 680) = 834/131072 = .0063629 .

In other words this is going to happen to 1 person in 157 on average. Still this is nowhere near the kind of evidence needed to fairly acuse foul play. With any kind of gambling your money will go up and down like a roller coaster. To truly see if the long run looks fishy you need to log thousands of trials and their outcome. I may be willing to analyze the results of such data if it were summarized properly. March 4, 2000

Q: According to your bj software tables, both the perplexa and boss media systems give the player a slight edge. If this is so, how can the casinos that use these software systems turn a profit? Is it because relatively few players use basic strategy and/or good money management techniques? -trekon3 from ?

A: Online casinos are not the only ones to offer positive expectation games. Using basic strategy some Las Vegas casinos offer games with a negative house edge. There are video poker games all over the country with a positive expectation assuming optimal strategy. The reason the casinos can afford to do this is that the vast majority of players make errors in strategy. As someone who has played hundreds of hours of blackjack in casinos all over the US I seldom see other players playing proper basic strategy. Money management has nothing to do with it. March 4, 2000

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