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Jumbo Bingo Progressive
Introduction
The Station Casinos, including the Fiestas, offer four different progressive keno jackpots, on the pick 6 to pick 9. The bet amount is always $1. The following tables show the expected return at the minimum jackpot amounts for catching every pick.
The pick 6 jackpot starts at a $2,500. The expected return at any given time is 40.30%, plus 32.25% for every $2,500 in the meter. The expected return at the minimum jackpot of $2,500 is 76.61%. At a jackpot of $4,623.80, the odds swing to the player’s favor.
Pick 6
| Catch | Pays | Combinations | Probability | Return |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 2500 | 38760 | 0.000129 | 0.322462 |
| 5 | 70 | 930240 | 0.003096 | 0.216695 |
| 4 | 2 | 8575650 | 0.028538 | 0.057076 |
| 3 | 1 | 39010800 | 0.12982 | 0.12982 |
| 2 | 0 | 92650650 | 0.308321 | 0 |
| 1 | 0 | 109230240 | 0.363495 | 0 |
| 0 | 0 | 50063860 | 0.166602 | 0 |
| Total | 300500200 | 1 | 0.726052 |
The pick 7 jackpot starts at a $10,500. The expected return at any given time is 44.98%, plus 24.40% for every $10,000 in the meter. The expected return at the minimum jackpot of $10,500 is 69.38%. At a jackpot of $22,548.54, the odds swing to the player’s favor.
Pick 7
| Catch | Pays | Combinations | Probability | Return |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 10000 | 77520 | 0.000024 | 0.244026 |
| 6 | 200 | 2325600 | 0.000732 | 0.146415 |
| 5 | 15 | 27442080 | 0.008639 | 0.129578 |
| 4 | 1 | 165795900 | 0.052191 | 0.052191 |
| 3 | 0 | 555903900 | 0.174993 | 0 |
| 2 | 0 | 1037687280 | 0.326654 | 0 |
| 1 | 0 | 1001277200 | 0.315193 | 0 |
| 0 | 1 | 386206920 | 0.121574 | 0.121574 |
| Total | 3176716400 | 1 | 0.693784 |
The pick 8 jackpot starts at a $50,500. The expected return at any given time is 50.97%, plus 21.73% for every $50,000 in the meter. The expected return at the minimum jackpot of $50,000 is 72.70%. At a jackpot of $112,825.38, the odds swing to the player’s favor.
Pick 8
| Catch | Pays | Combinations | Probability | Return |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 50000 | 125970 | 0.000004 | 0.217283 |
| 7 | 1500 | 4651200 | 0.00016 | 0.240683 |
| 6 | 75 | 68605200 | 0.002367 | 0.177504 |
| 5 | 5 | 530546880 | 0.018303 | 0.091513 |
| 4 | 0 | 2362591575 | 0.081504 | 0 |
| 3 | 0 | 6226123680 | 0.214786 | 0 |
| 2 | 0 | 9512133400 | 0.328146 | 0 |
| 1 | 0 | 7724138400 | 0.266464 | 0 |
| 0 | 0 | 2558620845 | 0.088266 | 0 |
| Total | 28987537150 | 1 | 0.726982 |
The pick 9 starts at a $60,000. The expected return at any given time is 70.22%, plus 4.35% for every $60,000 in the meter. The expected return at the minimum jackpot of $60,000 is 70.22%. At a jackpot of $471,122,03, the odds swing to the player’s favor.
Pick 9
| Catch | Pays | Combinations | Probability | Return |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 60000 | 167960 | 0.000001 | 0.043457 |
| 8 | 3000 | 7558200 | 0.000033 | 0.097777 |
| 7 | 300 | 137210400 | 0.000592 | 0.177504 |
| 6 | 30 | 1326367200 | 0.00572 | 0.171587 |
| 5 | 3 | 7560293040 | 0.032601 | 0.097804 |
| 4 | 1 | 26461025640 | 0.114105 | 0.114105 |
| 3 | 0 | 57072800400 | 0.246109 | 0 |
| 2 | 0 | 73379314800 | 0.316426 | 0 |
| 1 | 0 | 51172416900 | 0.220666 | 0 |
| 0 | 0 | 14783142660 | 0.063748 | 0 |
| Total | 231900297200 | 1 | 0.702234 |
Finally, here is a handy table showing the break-even points for all four games. If you see any jackpot above these amounts, then the odds will be in your favor.
Break-Even Points
| Pick | Break-Event Point |
|---|---|
| 6 | $4,623.87 |
| 7 | $22,548.53 |
| 8 | $112,825.38 |
| 9 | $471,122.03 |