Betting the NFL

Introduction

This page assumes the reader already has a good grasp of sports betting terminology. If this is not the case, I recommend reading my general page on sports betting first.

Unless otherwise stated, the source of this data is every NFL game played from the 2006 season through and including week 1 of the 2018 season. This is a total of 3,220 games. The data is available for free at Australia Sports Betting.

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Upcoming matches	Game	Money Line	Spread	Total
Thu Sep 5th 8pm	Kansas City Chiefs - baltimore-ravens	Refer a friend Bonus $50 3.4 Claim T&C’s Apply. 21+. Invited Friend must play through their $50 Sign-Up Bonus once within 30 days. After the Invited Friend completes the 1x wagering requirement, Invitee will receive the $50 Referral Bonus. -145	-105 (-3)	-107 (46.5)
Fri Sep 6th 7pm	Philadelphia Eagles - green-bay-packers	-115	100 (-1.5)	-107 (48.5)
Sun Sep 8th 1pm	Chicago Bears - tennessee-titans	-218	-110 (-4.5)	-105 (43.5)
Sun Sep 8th 1pm	Tampa Bay Buccaneers - washington-commanders	-185	-110 (-4)	-110 (40.5)
Sun Sep 8th 1pm	Buffalo Bills - arizona-cardinals	-320	-110 (-7)	-109 (48)
Sun Sep 8th 1pm	Atlanta Falcons - pittsburgh-steelers	-145	-106 (-3)	-110 (43)
Sun Sep 8th 1pm	New Orleans Saints - carolina-panthers	-210	-108 (-4.5)	-105 (39.5)
Sun Sep 8th 1pm	Cincinnati Bengals - new-england-patriots	-400	-109 (-9)	-110 (42.5)
Sun Sep 8th 1pm	Indianapolis Colts - houston-texans	105	-110 (1.5)	-105 (47.5)
Sun Sep 8th 1pm	Miami Dolphins - jacksonville-jaguars	Sign Up Bonus 125% up to $2500 3.3 Claim New Customer Offer. T&C's apply. 18+. This offer is not available for players residing in Ontario. New Customer Offer. T&C’s Apply. 19+. Minimum deposit: $100. Plus 25% Casino Bonus – up to $625. 7 Days Expiry. -170	-110 (-3.5)	-110 (49.5)
Sun Sep 8th 1pm	New York Giants - minnesota-vikings	-108	-105 (-1)	-110 (41.5)
Sun Sep 8th 4pm	Los Angeles Chargers - las-vegas-raiders	-158	-110 (-3)	-109 (43.5)
Sun Sep 8th 4pm	Cleveland Browns - dallas-cowboys	Refer a friend Bonus $50 3.4 Claim T&C’s Apply. 21+. Invited Friend must play through their $50 Sign-Up Bonus once within 30 days. After the Invited Friend completes the 1x wagering requirement, Invitee will receive the $50 Referral Bonus. 100	-105 (1)	-107 (44)
Sun Sep 8th 4pm	Seattle Seahawks - denver-broncos	-205	-110 (-5)	-109 (42.5)
Sun Sep 8th 7pm	Detroit Lions - los-angeles-rams	Sign Up Bonus 125% up to $2500 3.3 Claim New Customer Offer. T&C's apply. 18+. This offer is not available for players residing in Ontario. New Customer Offer. T&C’s Apply. 19+. Minimum deposit: $100. Plus 25% Casino Bonus – up to $625. 7 Days Expiry. -165	-105 (-3.5)	-110 (51.5)
Sun Sep 8th 8pm	Miami Dolphins - buffalo-bills		-110 (-1.5)	-110 (51.5)
Mon Sep 9th 8pm	San Francisco 49ers - new-york-jets	-245	-105 (-6)	-107 (45)
Mon Sep 9th 8pm	San Francisco 49ers - new-york-jets	-230	-105 (-6)	-105 (45.5)
Thu Sep 12th 8pm	Miami Dolphins - buffalo-bills	-108	-110 (-1)	-105 (51.5)
Sun Sep 15th 1pm	Baltimore Ravens - las-vegas-raiders	-305	-109 (-8)	-110 (44.5)
Sun Sep 15th 1pm	Carolina Panthers - los-angeles-chargers	180	-110 (5)	-110 (43.5)
Sun Sep 15th 1pm	Jacksonville Jaguars - cleveland-browns	-110	-105 (-1)	-110 (45)
Sun Sep 15th 1pm	Dallas Cowboys - new-orleans-saints	-250	-109 (-6)	-110 (44.5)
Sun Sep 15th 1pm	Detroit Lions - tampa-bay-buccaneers	-250	-110 (-6)	-109 (49)
Sun Sep 15th 1pm	Green Bay Packers - indianapolis-colts	-192	-108 (-4)	-108 (47)
Sun Sep 15th 1pm	Minnesota Vikings - san-francisco-49ers	235	-109 (6.5)	-110 (46.5)
Sun Sep 15th 1pm	New England Patriots - seattle-seahawks	130	100 (2.5)	-110 (42.5)
Sun Sep 15th 1pm	Washington Commanders - new-york-giants	-135	100 (-3)	-107 (43)
Sun Sep 15th 1pm	Tennessee Titans - new-york-jets	154	-109 (3.5)	-109 (44.5)
Sun Sep 15th 4pm	Arizona Cardinals - los-angeles-rams	148	-107 (2.5)	-108 (46)
Sun Sep 15th 4pm	Kansas City Chiefs - cincinnati-bengals	-192	-105 (-3.5)	-105 (48.5)
Sun Sep 15th 4pm	Denver Broncos - pittsburgh-steelers	130	-108 (3)	-110 (41.5)
Sun Sep 15th 8pm	Houston Texans - chicago-bears	-162	-109 (-4)	-109 (46.5)
Mon Sep 16th 8pm	Philadelphia Eagles - atlanta-falcons	-166	-105 (-3.5)	-110 (48.5)
Thu Sep 19th 8pm	New York Jets - new-england-patriots	-345	-110 (-7.5)	-110 (42)
Sun Sep 22nd 1pm	Indianapolis Colts - chicago-bears	-130	-110 (-2)	-108 (47)
Sun Sep 22nd 1pm	Cleveland Browns - new-york-giants	-265	-108 (-6.5)	-108 (42.5)
Sun Sep 22nd 1pm	Tampa Bay Buccaneers - denver-broncos	-175	-110 (-3.5)	-110 (43)
Sun Sep 22nd 1pm	Tennessee Titans - green-bay-packers	160	-110 (3.5)	-110 (44)
Sun Sep 22nd 1pm	Minnesota Vikings - houston-texans	164	100 (3.5)	-110 (46.5)
Sun Sep 22nd 1pm	Pittsburgh Steelers - los-angeles-chargers	-125	-110 (-2)	-108 (42.5)
Sun Sep 22nd 1pm	New Orleans Saints - philadelphia-eagles	130	-110 (3)	-110 (45)
Sun Sep 22nd 4pm	Las Vegas Raiders - carolina-panthers	-185	-110 (-4)	-110 (43)
Sun Sep 22nd 4pm	Seattle Seahawks - miami-dolphins	110	-110 (2)	-110 (49)
Sun Sep 22nd 4pm	Arizona Cardinals - detroit-lions	160	-110 (4)	-108 (50)
Sun Sep 22nd 4pm	Dallas Cowboys - baltimore-ravens	-112	-105 (-1)	-110 (48)
Sun Sep 22nd 4pm	Los Angeles Rams - san-francisco-49ers	130	100 (2.5)	-108 (49)
Sun Sep 22nd 8pm	Atlanta Falcons - kansas-city-chiefs	130	-110 (3)	-110 (49)
Mon Sep 23rd 7pm	Buffalo Bills - jacksonville-jaguars	-205	-110 (-4.5)	-110 (50)
Mon Sep 23rd 8pm	Cincinnati Bengals - washington-commanders	-325	-115 (-7)	-110 (48)
Thu Sep 26th 8pm	New York Giants - dallas-cowboys	170	-110 (4.5)	-110 (44.5)
Sun Sep 29th 1pm	Atlanta Falcons - new-orleans-saints	-198	-110 (-4.5)	-108 (44.5)
Sun Sep 29th 1pm	Carolina Panthers - cincinnati-bengals	180	-110 (5)	-108 (46)
Sun Sep 29th 1pm	Chicago Bears - los-angeles-rams	-122	-110 (-1.5)	-110 (47)
Sun Sep 29th 1pm	New York Jets - denver-broncos	-245	-110 (-6)	-110 (42.5)
Sun Sep 29th 1pm	Green Bay Packers - minnesota-vikings	-205	-110 (-4.5)	-108 (45)
Sun Sep 29th 1pm	Houston Texans - jacksonville-jaguars	-175	-108 (-3.5)	-110 (47.5)
Sun Sep 29th 1pm	Indianapolis Colts - pittsburgh-steelers	-110	-110 (-0.5)	-110 (44.5)
Sun Sep 29th 1pm	Tampa Bay Buccaneers - philadelphia-eagles	105	-110 (1.5)	-110 (47)
Sun Sep 29th 4pm	Arizona Cardinals - washington-commanders	-125	-110 (-2)	-108 (45)
Sun Sep 29th 4pm	San Francisco 49ers - new-england-patriots	-600	-110 (-11.5)	-110 (45)
Sun Sep 29th 4pm	Las Vegas Raiders - cleveland-browns	102	-110 (1.5)	-108 (43.5)
Sun Sep 29th 4pm	Los Angeles Chargers - kansas-city-chiefs	130	-110 (3)	-110 (49)
Sun Sep 29th 8pm	Baltimore Ravens - buffalo-bills	-155	-110 (-3)	-110 (47.5)
Mon Sep 30th 7pm	Miami Dolphins - tennessee-titans	-270	-110 (-6.5)	-110 (46)
Mon Sep 30th 8pm	Detroit Lions - seattle-seahawks	-245	-110 (-6)	-110 (49)
Thu Oct 3rd 8pm	Atlanta Falcons - tampa-bay-buccaneers	-155	-115 (-3)	-110 (44)
Sun Oct 6th 8am	Minnesota Vikings - new-york-jets	175	-110 (4)	-110 (44.5)
Sun Oct 6th 1pm	Cincinnati Bengals - baltimore-ravens	-120	-110 (-1.5)	-110 (46.5)
Sun Oct 6th 1pm	Houston Texans - buffalo-bills	-125	-110 (-1.5)	-110 (48)
Sun Oct 6th 1pm	Chicago Bears - carolina-panthers	-218	-108 (-5.5)	-108 (42)
Sun Oct 6th 1pm	Washington Commanders - cleveland-browns	120	100 (2.5)	-108 (43.5)
Sun Oct 6th 1pm	Jacksonville Jaguars - indianapolis-colts	-142	-110 (-2.5)	-108 (47)
Sun Oct 6th 1pm	New England Patriots - miami-dolphins	154	-110 (3.5)	-110 (45)
Sun Oct 6th 4pm	San Francisco 49ers - arizona-cardinals	-425	-110 (-9.5)	-110 (47)
Sun Oct 6th 4pm	Denver Broncos - las-vegas-raiders	-112	-105 (-1)	-110 (41)
Sun Oct 6th 4pm	Los Angeles Rams - green-bay-packers	-130	-112 (-1.5)	-108 (48.5)
Sun Oct 6th 4pm	Seattle Seahawks - new-york-giants	-175	-110 (-3.5)	-108 (43)
Sun Oct 6th 8pm	Pittsburgh Steelers - dallas-cowboys	105	-108 (1.5)	-110 (43)
Mon Oct 7th 8pm	Kansas City Chiefs - new-orleans-saints	-375	-110 (-8)	-110 (44.5)
Thu Oct 10th 8pm	Seattle Seahawks - san-francisco-49ers	160	-110 (4)	-110 (46.5)
Sun Oct 13th 8am	Chicago Bears - jacksonville-jaguars	-106	-110 (0)	-105 (45.5)
Sun Oct 13th 1pm	Green Bay Packers - arizona-cardinals	-218	-110 (-5)	-108 (46.5)
Sun Oct 13th 1pm	Baltimore Ravens - washington-commanders	-355	-110 (-8)	-110 (46.5)
Sun Oct 13th 1pm	Philadelphia Eagles - cleveland-browns	-148	-108 (-3)	-108 (45.5)
Sun Oct 13th 1pm	New England Patriots - houston-texans	160	-110 (4)	-110 (44)
Sun Oct 13th 1pm	Tennessee Titans - indianapolis-colts	105	-108 (1.5)	-108 (44.5)
Sun Oct 13th 1pm	New Orleans Saints - tampa-bay-buccaneers	-122	-110 (-1.5)	-110 (43)
Sun Oct 13th 4pm	Denver Broncos - los-angeles-chargers	102	-110 (1.5)	-110 (44)
Sun Oct 13th 4pm	Las Vegas Raiders - pittsburgh-steelers	-105	-112 (1)	-110 (43.5)
Sun Oct 13th 4pm	Dallas Cowboys - detroit-lions	-110	-110 (-0.5)	-110 (48.5)
Sun Oct 13th 4pm	Carolina Panthers - atlanta-falcons	154	-108 (3.5)	-108 (44)
Sun Oct 13th 8pm	New York Giants - cincinnati-bengals	170	-110 (4.5)	-108 (45)
Mon Oct 14th 8pm	New York Jets - buffalo-bills	-115	-110 (-1)	-110 (47.5)
Thu Oct 17th 8pm	New Orleans Saints - denver-broncos	-180	-110 (-3.5)	-110 (42.5)
Sun Oct 20th 8am	Jacksonville Jaguars - new-england-patriots	-270	-110 (-6)	-110 (42.5)
Sun Oct 20th 1pm	Atlanta Falcons - seattle-seahawks	-175	-108 (-3.5)	-110 (48)
Sun Oct 20th 1pm	Buffalo Bills - tennessee-titans	-340	-120 (-7)	-112 (47.5)
Sun Oct 20th 1pm	Cleveland Browns - cincinnati-bengals	-102	-108 (1)	-110 (46.5)
Sun Oct 20th 1pm	Minnesota Vikings - detroit-lions	140	100 (3)	-108 (47)
Sun Oct 20th 1pm	Green Bay Packers - houston-texans	-130	-108 (-2.5)	-110 (48.5)
Sun Oct 20th 1pm	Indianapolis Colts - miami-dolphins	-105	-110 (1)	-110 (49)
Sun Oct 20th 1pm	New York Giants - philadelphia-eagles	150	-110 (3.5)	-110 (44)
Sun Oct 20th 3pm	San Francisco 49ers - kansas-city-chiefs	-124	-110 (-2.5)	-110 (47.5)
Sun Oct 20th 4pm	Los Angeles Rams - las-vegas-raiders	-192	-110 (-4)	-110 (46)
Sun Oct 20th 4pm	Washington Commanders - carolina-panthers	-155	-110 (-3)	-110 (42)
Sun Oct 20th 8pm	Pittsburgh Steelers - new-york-jets	-105	-110 (1)	-110 (43)
Mon Oct 21st 8pm	Tampa Bay Buccaneers - baltimore-ravens	185	-108 (5)	-110 (46)
Mon Oct 21st 9pm	Arizona Cardinals - los-angeles-chargers	-118	-110 (-1)	-110 (45)
Thu Oct 24th 8pm	Los Angeles Rams - minnesota-vikings	-175	-108 (-3.5)	-108 (45.5)
Sun Oct 27th 1pm	Cleveland Browns - baltimore-ravens	102	-110 (1.5)	-110 (45.5)
Sun Oct 27th 1pm	Detroit Lions - tennessee-titans	-310	-110 (-7)	-110 (46.5)
Sun Oct 27th 1pm	Miami Dolphins - arizona-cardinals	-245	-110 (-6)	-110 (47)
Sun Oct 27th 1pm	Tampa Bay Buccaneers - atlanta-falcons	102	-110 (1.5)	-110 (46.5)
Sun Oct 27th 1pm	Washington Commanders - chicago-bears	110	-108 (2)	-110 (44.5)
Sun Oct 27th 1pm	Jacksonville Jaguars - green-bay-packers	-105	-110 (1)	-110 (46)
Sun Oct 27th 1pm	Houston Texans - indianapolis-colts	-198	-110 (-4)	-108 (47.5)
Sun Oct 27th 1pm	New England Patriots - new-york-jets	145	-110 (3.5)	-110 (42)
Sun Oct 27th 4pm	Seattle Seahawks - buffalo-bills	110	-110 (2)	-110 (46.5)
Sun Oct 27th 4pm	Los Angeles Chargers - new-orleans-saints	-155	-110 (-3)	-110 (44)
Sun Oct 27th 4pm	Denver Broncos - carolina-panthers	-135	-110 (-2.5)	-110 (42)
Sun Oct 27th 4pm	Cincinnati Bengals - philadelphia-eagles	-155	-108 (-3)	-110 (47.5)
Sun Oct 27th 4pm	Las Vegas Raiders - kansas-city-chiefs	170	-110 (4.5)	-110 (47)
Sun Oct 27th 8pm	San Francisco 49ers - dallas-cowboys	-210		-110 (46)
Mon Oct 28th 8pm	Pittsburgh Steelers - new-york-giants	-185	-110 (-4)	-110 (42.5)
Thu Oct 31st 8pm	New York Jets - houston-texans	-142	100 (-3)	-110 (45)
Sun Nov 3rd 1pm	Atlanta Falcons - dallas-cowboys	-105	-110 (1)	-110 (48)
Sun Nov 3rd 1pm	Baltimore Ravens - denver-broncos	-500	-110 (-10.5)	-110 (43)
Sun Nov 3rd 1pm	Buffalo Bills - miami-dolphins	-155	-110 (-3)	-110 (51)
Sun Nov 3rd 1pm	Carolina Panthers - new-orleans-saints	-102	-110 (1)	-110 (40.5)
Sun Nov 3rd 1pm	Cincinnati Bengals - las-vegas-raiders	-278	-108 (-6.5)	-108 (45)
Sun Nov 3rd 1pm	Cleveland Browns - los-angeles-chargers	-170	-120 (-3)	-110 (43.5)
Sun Nov 3rd 1pm	Minnesota Vikings - indianapolis-colts	-110	-105 (-1)	-110 (46.5)
Sun Nov 3rd 1pm	Tennessee Titans - new-england-patriots	-142	-120 (-2.5)	-110 (41)
Sun Nov 3rd 1pm	New York Giants - washington-commanders	-125	-110 (-1.5)	-110 (42)
Sun Nov 3rd 4pm	Arizona Cardinals - chicago-bears	-108	-115 (1)	-110 (46.5)
Sun Nov 3rd 4pm	Green Bay Packers - detroit-lions	-122	-110 (-1.5)	-110 (49)
Sun Nov 3rd 4pm	Seattle Seahawks - los-angeles-rams	102	-110 (1.5)	-108 (47)
Sun Nov 3rd 8pm	Philadelphia Eagles - jacksonville-jaguars	-185	-105 (-3.5)	-108 (47)
Mon Nov 4th 8pm	Kansas City Chiefs - tampa-bay-buccaneers	-355	-120 (-7)	-110 (47)
Thu Nov 7th 8pm	Baltimore Ravens - cincinnati-bengals	-155	-110 (-3)	-110 (47.5)
Sun Nov 10th 7am	Carolina Panthers - new-york-giants	112	-110 (1)	-108 (42.5)
Sun Nov 10th 1pm	New Orleans Saints - atlanta-falcons	105	-108 (1.5)	-110 (44.5)
Sun Nov 10th 1pm	Indianapolis Colts - buffalo-bills	105	-110 (2)	-110 (46.5)
Sun Nov 10th 1pm	Chicago Bears - new-england-patriots	-198	-110 (-4.5)	-110 (43)
Sun Nov 10th 1pm	Kansas City Chiefs - denver-broncos	-410	-110 (-9)	-110 (46)
Sun Nov 10th 1pm	Jacksonville Jaguars - minnesota-vikings	-162	-115 (-3)	-108 (44.5)
Sun Nov 10th 1pm	Washington Commanders - pittsburgh-steelers	102	-110 (1.5)	-108 (43.5)
Sun Nov 10th 1pm	Tampa Bay Buccaneers - san-francisco-49ers	164	-108 (4)	-110 (46.5)
Sun Nov 10th 4pm	Los Angeles Chargers - tennessee-titans	-192	-110 (-4)	-110 (43.5)
Sun Nov 10th 4pm	Arizona Cardinals - new-york-jets	130	-110 (3)	-110 (46.5)
Sun Nov 10th 4pm	Dallas Cowboys - philadelphia-eagles	-120	-110 (-1.5)	-110 (47.5)
Sun Nov 10th 8pm	Houston Texans - detroit-lions	-115	-108 (-1)	-110 (48.5)
Mon Nov 11th 8pm	Los Angeles Rams - miami-dolphins	-115	-110 (-1)	-110 (47.5)
Thu Nov 14th 8pm	Philadelphia Eagles - washington-commanders	-250	-110 (-6)	-110 (45.5)
Sun Nov 17th 1pm	Pittsburgh Steelers - baltimore-ravens	130	-110 (3)	-110 (42)
Sun Nov 17th 1pm	Chicago Bears - green-bay-packers	-108	-102 (-1)	-108 (44)
Sun Nov 17th 1pm	New Orleans Saints - cleveland-browns	110	-110 (2)	-110 (42)
Sun Nov 17th 1pm	Detroit Lions - jacksonville-jaguars	-192	-110 (-4)	-110 (50)
Sun Nov 17th 1pm	Miami Dolphins - las-vegas-raiders	-250	-110 (-6)	-110 (47)
Sun Nov 17th 1pm	New England Patriots - los-angeles-rams	160	-110 (4)	-110 (44.5)
Sun Nov 17th 1pm	Tennessee Titans - minnesota-vikings	-105	-112 (1)	-110 (43.5)
Sun Nov 17th 4pm	Denver Broncos - atlanta-falcons	142	100 (3)	-110 (44.5)
Sun Nov 17th 4pm	San Francisco 49ers - seattle-seahawks	-410	-110 (-9)	-110 (47.5)
Sun Nov 17th 4pm	Buffalo Bills - kansas-city-chiefs	100	-102 (-1)	-110 (46.5)
Sun Nov 17th 4pm	Los Angeles Chargers - cincinnati-bengals	110	-108 (2)	-110 (45)
Sun Nov 17th 8pm	New York Jets - indianapolis-colts	-192	-110 (-4)	-110 (46)
Mon Nov 18th 8pm	Dallas Cowboys - houston-texans	-155	-110 (-3)	-108 (49)
Thu Nov 21st 8pm	Cleveland Browns - pittsburgh-steelers	-142	100 (-3)	-108 (43.5)
Sun Nov 24th 1pm	Carolina Panthers - kansas-city-chiefs	250	-110 (7)	-110 (45.5)
Sun Nov 24th 1pm	Chicago Bears - minnesota-vikings	-155	-110 (-3)	-110 (45)
Sun Nov 24th 1pm	Washington Commanders - dallas-cowboys	114	-110 (2.5)	-110 (46)
Sun Nov 24th 1pm	Indianapolis Colts - detroit-lions	114	-108 (2.5)	-108 (47.5)
Sun Nov 24th 1pm	Houston Texans - tennessee-titans	-218	-110 (-5.5)	-108 (46.5)
Sun Nov 24th 1pm	Miami Dolphins - new-england-patriots	-265	-110 (-6.5)	-110 (45)
Sun Nov 24th 1pm	New York Giants - tampa-bay-buccaneers	-105	-110 (1)	-112 (44)
Sun Nov 24th 4pm	Las Vegas Raiders - denver-broncos	-155	-110 (-3)	-110 (42)
Sun Nov 24th 4pm	Arizona Cardinals - seattle-seahawks	130	-110 (3)	-110 (46)
Sun Nov 24th 4pm	Green Bay Packers - san-francisco-49ers	110	-110 (2.5)	-110 (47)
Sun Nov 24th 8pm	Los Angeles Rams - philadelphia-eagles	-112	-110 (-0.5)	-110 (47)
Mon Nov 25th 8pm	Los Angeles Chargers - baltimore-ravens	105	-110 (2)	-110 (47)
Thu Nov 28th 12pm	Detroit Lions - chicago-bears	-180	-110 (-3.5)	-108 (50)
Thu Nov 28th 4pm	Dallas Cowboys - new-york-giants	-355	-110 (-8)	-110 (44.5)
Thu Nov 28th 8pm	Green Bay Packers - miami-dolphins	-155	-110 (-3)	-110 (48.5)
Fri Nov 29th 3pm	Kansas City Chiefs - las-vegas-raiders	-340	-120 (-7)	-110 (45.5)
Sun Dec 1st 1pm	Minnesota Vikings - arizona-cardinals	-120	-108 (-1.5)	-108 (45.5)
Sun Dec 1st 1pm	Atlanta Falcons - los-angeles-chargers	-135	-110 (-2.5)	-110 (47.5)
Sun Dec 1st 1pm	Cincinnati Bengals - pittsburgh-steelers	-218	-110 (-5)	-108 (44.5)
Sun Dec 1st 1pm	Jacksonville Jaguars - houston-texans	-115	-108 (-1)	-110 (47)
Sun Dec 1st 1pm	New England Patriots - indianapolis-colts	105	-110 (2)	-110 (44)
Sun Dec 1st 1pm	New York Jets - seattle-seahawks	-198	-110 (-4.5)	-110 (46.5)
Sun Dec 1st 1pm	Washington Commanders - tennessee-titans	-122	-110 (-1.5)	-110 (46.5)
Sun Dec 1st 4pm	Carolina Panthers - tampa-bay-buccaneers	105	-110 (2)	-108 (44)
Sun Dec 1st 4pm	New Orleans Saints - los-angeles-rams	105	-110 (1.5)	-110 (46.5)
Sun Dec 1st 4pm	Baltimore Ravens - philadelphia-eagles	-192	-110 (-4)	-110 (46.5)
Sun Dec 1st 8pm	Buffalo Bills - san-francisco-49ers	105	-110 (2)	-110 (47)
Mon Dec 2nd 7pm	Denver Broncos - cleveland-browns	150	-110 (3.5)	-110 (43)
Thu Dec 5th 8pm	Detroit Lions - green-bay-packers	-142	-115 (-2.5)	-110 (48)
Sun Dec 8th 1pm	Minnesota Vikings - atlanta-falcons	-102	-108 (1)	-108 (45)
Sun Dec 8th 1pm	Philadelphia Eagles - carolina-panthers	-310	-110 (-7)	-110 (45)
Sun Dec 8th 1pm	Pittsburgh Steelers - cleveland-browns	-110	-102 (-1)	-110 (43.5)
Sun Dec 8th 1pm	Tennessee Titans - jacksonville-jaguars	110	-110 (2)	-110 (45)
Sun Dec 8th 1pm	Tampa Bay Buccaneers - las-vegas-raiders	-118	-110 (-1)	-110 (44)
Sun Dec 8th 1pm	Miami Dolphins - new-york-jets	-130	-110 (-2)	-110 (47.5)
Sun Dec 8th 1pm	New York Giants - new-orleans-saints	-110	-118 (1)	-110 (41)
Sun Dec 8th 4pm	Arizona Cardinals - seattle-seahawks	-115	-108 (-1)	-110 (45.5)
Sun Dec 8th 4pm	Los Angeles Rams - buffalo-bills	-105	-110 (1)	-110 (48)
Sun Dec 8th 4pm	San Francisco 49ers - chicago-bears	-230	-110 (-5.5)	-110 (47.5)
Sun Dec 8th 8pm	Kansas City Chiefs - los-angeles-chargers	-265	-110 (-6.5)	-110 (44.5)
Mon Dec 9th 8pm	Dallas Cowboys - cincinnati-bengals	-118	-110 (-1)	-110 (48.5)
Thu Dec 12th 8pm	San Francisco 49ers - los-angeles-rams	-278	-108 (-6.5)	-108 (46.5)
Sun Dec 15th 1pm	Carolina Panthers - dallas-cowboys	225	-110 (6.5)	-110 (44)
Sun Dec 15th 1pm	Cleveland Browns - kansas-city-chiefs	120	-120 (3)	-108 (46.5)
Sun Dec 15th 1pm	New York Giants - baltimore-ravens	225	-108 (6.5)	-110 (44)
Sun Dec 15th 1pm	Tennessee Titans - cincinnati-bengals	170	-110 (4.5)	-110 (46)
Sun Dec 15th 1pm	Houston Texans - miami-dolphins	-142	-110 (-2.5)	-110 (49.5)
Sun Dec 15th 1pm	Jacksonville Jaguars - new-york-jets	-105	-110 (1)	-110 (46)
Sun Dec 15th 1pm	New Orleans Saints - washington-commanders	-135	-110 (-2.5)	-108 (42)
Sun Dec 15th 4pm	Arizona Cardinals - new-england-patriots	-155	-110 (-3)	-110 (44)
Sun Dec 15th 4pm	Detroit Lions - buffalo-bills	-135	-110 (-2)	-110 (50.5)
Sun Dec 15th 4pm	Denver Broncos - indianapolis-colts	120	-110 (2.5)	-108 (44.5)
Sun Dec 15th 4pm	Los Angeles Chargers - tampa-bay-buccaneers	-148	-105 (-3)	-110 (42.5)
Sun Dec 15th 4pm	Philadelphia Eagles - pittsburgh-steelers	-148	-108 (-3)	-110 (45)
Sun Dec 15th 8pm	Seattle Seahawks - green-bay-packers	-102	-110 (1)	-108 (47)
Mon Dec 16th 7pm	Minnesota Vikings - chicago-bears	-110	-115 (1)	-110 (46)
Mon Dec 16th 7pm	Las Vegas Raiders - atlanta-falcons	-105	-110 (1)	-108 (45.5)
Thu Dec 19th 8pm	Cincinnati Bengals - cleveland-browns	-175	-108 (-3.5)	-110 (46.5)
Sat Dec 21st 1pm	Kansas City Chiefs - houston-texans	-205	-108 (-4.5)	-110 (47)
Sat Dec 21st 4pm	Baltimore Ravens - pittsburgh-steelers	-245	-110 (-6)	-110 (46)
Sun Dec 22nd 1pm	Carolina Panthers - arizona-cardinals	-102	-110 (1)	-110 (45.5)
Sun Dec 22nd 1pm	Atlanta Falcons - new-york-giants	-198	-110 (-4.5)	-108 (44.5)
Sun Dec 22nd 1pm	Buffalo Bills - new-england-patriots	-355	-110 (-7.5)	-110 (44.5)
Sun Dec 22nd 1pm	Chicago Bears - detroit-lions	110	-110 (2)	-108 (48)
Sun Dec 22nd 1pm	Indianapolis Colts - tennessee-titans	-175	-108 (-3.5)	-110 (44.5)
Sun Dec 22nd 1pm	New York Jets - los-angeles-rams	-155	-110 (-3)	-110 (47.5)
Sun Dec 22nd 1pm	Washington Commanders - philadelphia-eagles	114	-110 (2.5)	-110 (46.5)
Sun Dec 22nd 4pm	Los Angeles Chargers - denver-broncos	-180	-110 (-3.5)	-110 (45)
Sun Dec 22nd 4pm	Seattle Seahawks - minnesota-vikings	-125	-110 (-2)	-108 (45.5)
Sun Dec 22nd 4pm	Las Vegas Raiders - jacksonville-jaguars	-105	-115 (1)	-108 (45.5)
Sun Dec 22nd 4pm	Miami Dolphins - san-francisco-49ers	-105	-110 (1)	-110 (49)
Sun Dec 22nd 8pm	Dallas Cowboys - tampa-bay-buccaneers	-205	-110 (-4.5)	-110 (46.5)
Mon Dec 23rd 8pm	Green Bay Packers - new-orleans-saints	-218	-110 (-5)	-110 (45)
Wed Dec 25th 4pm	Pittsburgh Steelers - kansas-city-chiefs	235	-108 (4)	-105 (41.5)
Wed Dec 25th 8pm	Houston Texans - baltimore-ravens	108	-110 (1.5)	-108 (46.5)
Thu Dec 26th 8pm	Chicago Bears - seattle-seahawks	-175	-108 (-3.5)	-108 (45.5)
Sun Dec 29th 1pm	Buffalo Bills - new-york-jets	-135	-110 (-2.5)	-110 (45.5)
Sun Dec 29th 1pm	Tampa Bay Buccaneers - carolina-panthers	-205	-108 (-4.5)	-108 (43.5)
Sun Dec 29th 1pm	Minnesota Vikings - green-bay-packers	110	-108 (2)	-108 (45.5)
Sun Dec 29th 1pm	Jacksonville Jaguars - tennessee-titans	-192	-108 (-4)	-110 (46)
Sun Dec 29th 1pm	New Orleans Saints - las-vegas-raiders	-130	-110 (-2)	-110 (43)
Sun Dec 29th 1pm	Washington Commanders - atlanta-falcons	110	-110 (2)	-110 (46)
Sun Dec 29th 1pm	Cincinnati Bengals - denver-broncos	-355	-110 (-7.5)	-110 (45.5)
Sun Dec 29th 1pm	New York Giants - indianapolis-colts	110	-108 (2)	-110 (43.5)
Sun Dec 29th 1pm	New England Patriots - los-angeles-chargers	114	-110 (2.5)	-110 (41)
Sun Dec 29th 4pm	Los Angeles Rams - arizona-cardinals	-225	-115 (-5)	-110 (48.5)
Sun Dec 29th 4pm	Philadelphia Eagles - dallas-cowboys	-135	-110 (-2)	-110 (47)
Sun Dec 29th 8pm	Cleveland Browns - miami-dolphins	-130	-110 (-2)	-110 (44.5)
Mon Dec 30th 8pm	San Francisco 49ers - detroit-lions	-205	-110 (-4.5)	-108 (49.5)
Sun Jan 5th 1pm	Atlanta Falcons - carolina-panthers	-278	-110 (-6.5)	-110 (45.5)
Sun Jan 5th 1pm	Baltimore Ravens - cleveland-browns	-218	-110 (-5)	-110 (46.5)
Sun Jan 5th 1pm	New England Patriots - buffalo-bills	150	-110 (3.5)	-110 (44.5)
Sun Jan 5th 1pm	Green Bay Packers - chicago-bears	-155	-110 (-3)	-110 (47)
Sun Jan 5th 1pm	Pittsburgh Steelers - cincinnati-bengals	-102	-110 (1)	-108 (44)
Sun Jan 5th 1pm	Dallas Cowboys - washington-commanders	-225	-110 (-5.5)	-110 (46.5)
Sun Jan 5th 1pm	Detroit Lions - minnesota-vikings	-205	-108 (-5)	-110 (47.5)
Sun Jan 5th 1pm	Tennessee Titans - houston-texans	130	-108 (3)	-110 (45)
Sun Jan 5th 1pm	Indianapolis Colts - jacksonville-jaguars	-122	-110 (-1.5)	-108 (46.5)
Sun Jan 5th 1pm	New York Jets - miami-dolphins	-122	-110 (-1.5)	-110 (47)
Sun Jan 5th 1pm	Tampa Bay Buccaneers - new-orleans-saints	-135	-110 (-2.5)	-108 (43)
Sun Jan 5th 1pm	Philadelphia Eagles - new-york-giants	-218	-110 (-5)	-110 (44.5)
Sun Jan 5th 4pm	Arizona Cardinals - san-francisco-49ers	185	-108 (5.5)	-110 (43)
Sun Jan 5th 4pm	Denver Broncos - kansas-city-chiefs	160	-110 (4)	-110 (46.5)
Sun Jan 5th 4pm	Las Vegas Raiders - los-angeles-chargers	102	-105 (1)	-110 (44.5)
Sun Jan 5th 4pm	Los Angeles Rams - seattle-seahawks	-225	-108 (-5.5)	-110 (47)

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Point Spread Bets

I admit "point spread bet" is not a common term in sports betting, but I'm trying to change that. What I call a point spread bet is a basic bet against the point spread. Many people call this a "straight bet" but this term can also be used, and is printed on tickets for, money liney bets, total bets, and any other bet involving just one game. So I invite the rest of the world to adopt this term.

The following table shows the probability of winning, losing, and pushing according by various breakdowns.

Explanation of column headings:

• Bet: Type of bet
• Wins: Number of wins against point spread
• Losses: Number of losses against point spread
• Pushes: Number of pushes against point spread
• Win Rate: Ratio of wins to bets resolved
• Std. Dev.: One standard deviation in the mean of the win rate, assuming every bet had a theoretical chance of winning of 50%.
• N.S.D: Number of standard deviations that the actual results differ from an expected win rate of 50%.
• Return: Ratio of money won (lost = negative) to money bet, assuming laying 11 to win 10.

Over/Under Bets

The following table shows the results of under and over bets. It shows both had nearly a 50% chance of winning. In face, over 3,220 games the over won just two more times than the under. I thought under bets would have performed better, but I've been wrong before.

Money Lines

The following brief table shows the result of money line bets.

The next table shows the actual and estimated probability of winning for underdogs of 1 to 14.5 points. Obviously, the probability of the favorite winning would be 100% less the probability of the underdog winning. The estimated probability of winning uses logistic regression to smooth out the ups and downs.

If you want to estimate the probability of winning of an underdog of more than 14.5 points, the formula is e^(-0.14324*s)/(1+e^(-0.14324*s)), where s is the point spread. To convert any probability under 50% to a fair money line, the formula is 100*(1-p)/p, where p is the probability of winning. To convert any probability over 50% to a fair money line, the formula is -100*p/(1-p).

Parlays

Here is my quick advice on parlays:

• Betting off the board, do not pick more than three teams or totals at -110 odds.
• On parlay cards, take advantage of stale lines on the cards by comparing them to the current odds. It is especially beneficial in football to capture a movement off of 3 points, for example a team is +2.5 on the board and +3 on the card.

I have much more information about parlays in my page on Parlay Bets in the NFL.

Teasers

Here is my quick advice on teasers:

• If you bet off the board, the best odds are at Jerry's Nugget.
• Try to cross the 3- and 7-point margin of victories with the extra points.
• Teaser cards are a sucker bet.
• If you must bet a teaser card, I recommend the the Ties Win Teaser Card at any Caesars sports book.
• On teaser cards, try to capture as many points as you can compared to the "off the board" point spread.

I have lots more information about teasers in my page on Teaser Bets in the NFL.

Buying Half a Point off the Spread

Sometimes a sports book will let you buy a half point off the spread for total. For example, moving a point spread from +10 to +10.5. The price for this is laying an extra cents, in most cases laying 120 instead of 110. However, rarely will a sports book let the player buy onto point spreads of 3 or 7, for example moving from +2.5 to +3, because 3 and 7 are frequent margin of victories (MOV) in the NFL. To be specific, the margin of victory is three 14.5% of the time, and seven 9.2%, as the following table shows.

The following table shows the fair price to pay for most spreads and totals. For example, moving the spread from +2.5 to +3, +3 to +3.5, -3.5 to -3, or -3 to -2.5, would be buying the 3. In these cases if the favorite won by 3, or the underdog lost by 3, then it would turn a push into a win, or a loss into a push. The table shows the fair price to pay for extra half point, to equal the expected loss of 4.54% laying 11 to win 10. The bottom line is you should definitely buy the half point off of three, if you can, and it is marginally good off of seven. Anything else and it is a bad value.

Buying Half a Point off the Total

The overall fair number of basis points to pay for a half point off the total is 8.12. In other words, you should be indifferent to laying 11 to win 10 and laying 118.12 to win 10 with an extra half point. The following table shows my suggested fair price to pay to capture totals from 30 to 60. By "capture" I mean turn a push into a win or a loss into a push. If you have to lay 10 basis points for the half point, my table shows that it is never a good value, although sometimes it is close. An explanation of the column headings follows the table.

Key to column headings:

• Total Points = Total point scored in game
• Num. in Sample = Number of times this total appeared in a sample of 3,220 games.
• Fair Price = My fair number of basis points to pay to capture this number (after a lot of math)

My page on alternate point spreads shows what it is worth to buy or sell up to seven points off the spread. That page has not been updated with the latest data yet.

Example

Assume the over/under on a game is exactly 43 points. My table shows the fair number of basis points to pay to capture the 43 is 9.45. This means you should be indifferent to laying 110 on the under 43 or over 43 to laying 119.45 on the under 43.5 or over 42.5.

Internal Links

• Alternate point spread calculator.
• Parlay calculator — What a parlay pay composed of events of miscellaneous odds should pay.
• Proposition bet calculator — Fair line for lots of common prop bets, given the point spread and total.
• NFL Average Scores per Game 2000-2020 — Historical scoring data from 2000 to 2020.
• Super Bowl proposition bets — Repository of Super Bowl proposition bet sheets from Las Vegas

Written by: Michael Shackleford