The $1 progressive jackpot bet pays $20 for one bulls eye (either outer or inner), $2000 for two, and the jackpot for three. The expected return is 77.82% plus 4.22% for each $100,000 in the meter. The breakeven point is $525643.70.

Disclaimer

I was hired by Playtech to help design all of their Arcade Games. I was given permission by Playtech to publish this analysis.

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Jackpot Darts

Last Update: Dec 27, 2005

Introduction

Jackpot Darts is a game found at Internet casinos using Playtech software. The game can be found under the Arcade Games menu.

Click on image for larger version.

Rules

The game will randomly throw three darts at a dartboard.
The probability any given dart will land in the inner bullseye is 0.25%.
The probability any given dart will land in the outer bullseye is 0.5%.
The probability for any given dart that for all slices are the same at 99.25%/20 = 4.9625% each.
The probability for any given dart that the dart lands in one of the single rings is 74.4375%.
The probability for any given dart that the dart lands in the double ring is 14.8875%.
The probability for any given dart that the dart lands in the triple ring is 9.925%.

In the screenshot above I bet $1 that exactly one dart would land in the double circle (which won $3), $1 that at least one dart would hit the outer bullseye (which lost), $1 on a total of 3 to 38 (which won $2), and $1 on the number 13 (which lost).

Analysis

The following table shows the probability and return for each possible bet. The table shows the best bet to be on one double at 97.0624%.

Bet		Total of 3 to 38
Total of 39 to 41
Total of 42 to 180
0 singles
1 single
2 singles
3 singles
0 doubles
1 double
2 doubles
3 doubles
0 triples
1 triple
2 triples
3 triples
Specific single
Outer bullseye
Inner bullseye

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Jackpot Darts

Probability

Return

0.480481

0.960961

0.068507

0.959097

2.1

0.451012

0.947126

0.016704

0.935401

6.5

0.145922

0.948491

2.2

0.424921

0.934826

2.3

0.412454

0.948644

1.5

0.616567

0.92485

0.323541

0.970624

0.056592

0.962071

290

0.0033

0.956893

1.3

0.730824

0.950071

0.24158

0.966319

0.026619

0.958273

980

0.000978

0.958115

0.107552

0.967969

0.014925

0.955208

125

0.007481

0.935158