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Pai Gow Poker Side Bets

Introduction

This section contains my analysis of the following pai gow poker side bets:

Dealer Bonus

 

Please see my page on the Dealer Bonus for information on that side bet.

Fortune Pai Gow Poker

 

Please see my page on the Fortune side bet for information on that side bet.

Jackpot Pai Gow Poker

 

"Jackpot" is a side bet I noticed at the Rio in November 2005. The game was closed at the time so the top prize was not evident, but according to the Shufflemaster web site it is alternatively $25,000, $50,000, or $100,000.

The following table shows the probability and return for each possible event. A $100,000 for the top win is assumed and a $5 bet, for a win of 20,000 to one. The table also assumes the player will always set his hand to maximize the value of the side bet, at the possible cost of his pai gow poker bet. The lower left cell shows a house edge of 2.21%, which for a side bet is pretty good.

Jackpot Pai Gow Poker Return Table

Event Pays Combinations Probability Return
Natural Royal plus Pair of Aces* 20000 12 0.00000008 0.001557
Five Aces plus Pair 400 72 0.00000047 0.000187
Royal Flush plus Pair 200 1560 0.00001012 0.002024
Five Aces 200 1056 0.00000685 0.00137
Royal Flush 100 24560 0.00015933 0.015933
Straight Flush plus Pair 60 11748 0.00007621 0.004573
Four of a Kind plus Pair 40 57648 0.00037399 0.01496
Straight Flush 30 173084 0.00112288 0.033686
Four of a Kind 20 249824 0.00162073 0.032415
Full House plus Pair 12 150480 0.00097624 0.011715
Flush plus Pair 8 489260 0.00317406 0.025393
Straight plus Pair 6 1155536 0.00749652 0.044979
Full House 6 4024560 0.02610925 0.156655
Flush 4 5631420 0.03653372 0.146135
Straight 3 10145388 0.06581799 0.197454
Three of a kind 2 7470676 0.04846585 0.096932
Nothing -1 124556196 0.80805571 -0.808056
Total   154143080 1 -0.022088

 

* Both royal flush and pair of aces must be natural (no joker) for highest win.

If the top prize is less than $100,000, or the player bets more than $5 on the side bet, the return will be slightly less. The next table shows the house edge according to various other wins for a natural royal plus pair of aces according to the win on a to one basis.

House Edge by Highest Win

Natural Royal plus Aces Pays House Edge
20000 2.21%
10000 2.29%
5000 2.33%
4000 2.33%
3000 2.34%
2000 2.35%
1000 2.36%

 

Emperor's Challenge

Emperor's Challenge is a side bet I noticed at Hooter's Casino in Las Vegas in April, 2006. The following return table shows the probability and return of all possible outcomes. The lower right cell shows a house edge of 4.171%.

Emperor's Challenge Return Table

Event Pays Combinations Probability Return
Natural 7-card straight flush 5000 32 0.00000021 0.001038
Wild 7-card straight flush 1000 196 0.00000127 0.001272
Five aces 500 1128 0.00000732 0.003659
Royal Flush 150 26092 0.00016927 0.025391
Straight Flush 50 184644 0.00119787 0.059894
Four of a Kind 25 307472 0.00199472 0.049868
Full House 5 4188528 0.02717299 0.135865
Flush 4 6172088 0.04004129 0.160165
Three of a kind 3 7672500 0.04977518 0.149326
Straight 2 11034204 0.07158417 0.143168
9 high pai gow 40 31080 0.00020163 0.008065
10 high pai gow 5 248640 0.00161305 0.008065
J high pai gow 2 963480 0.00625056 0.012501
Nonpaying hand -1 123312996 0.79999048 -0.79999
Total   154143080 1 -0.041714

 

I hear that in Washington State the player must bet at least $5 to qualify for the pai gow hands.

Progressive Pai Gow Poker

The Falls View casino in Niagara Falls Ontario offers "Progressive Pai Gow Poker". This is basic pai gow poker with an added $5 side bet.

The following table shows the return table based on a breakeven meter of 20536.05 bet units, which for a $5 bet is $102,680.24. The house edge at all other times is 11.5428% less 1.1242% for every $10,000 in the meter.

Progressive Pai Gow Poker Return Table

Event Pays Combinations Probability Return
Natural Royal Flush or Five Aces + pair 20536.05 336 0.000002 0.044764
Wild Royal Flush + pair 200 1260 0.000008 0.001635
Straight Flush + pair 50 11748 0.000076 0.003811
Four of a Kind + pair 40 57648 0.000374 0.01496
Full House + pair 12 150480 0.000976 0.011715
Flush + pair 8 489260 0.003174 0.025393
Straight + pair 4 1117388 0.007249 0.028996
Natural Royal Flush or Five Aces 2053.6 5304 0.000034 0.070664
Wild Royal Flush 100 20360 0.000132 0.013209
Straight Flush 25 173084 0.001123 0.028072
Four of a Kind 20 249824 0.001621 0.032415
Full House 6 4030416 0.026147 0.156883
Flush 4 5663712 0.036743 0.146973
Straight 2 10071516 0.065339 0.130677
Three of a kind 2 7544548 0.048945 0.09789
Nothing -1 124556196 0.808056 -0.808056
Total   154143080 1 0

 

Pai Gow Insurance

 

Pai gow "Insurance" is a side bet that I noticed at the Red Rock casino in August, 2008. It appeared along with the Emperor's Challenge side bet. A "pai gow" in pai gow poker is a hand with seven singletons, where no straight or flush is possible. This side bet wins if the player had a pai gow, the lower the highest card, the more it pays. The following return table shows the details. The lower right cell shows a house edge of 7.35%.

 

Pai Gow Insurance

Event Pays Combinations Probability Return
9 high pai gow 100 31080 0.000202 0.020163
10 high pai gow 25 248640 0.001613 0.040326
J high pai gow 15 963480 0.006251 0.093758
Q high pai gow 7 2719500 0.017643 0.123499
K high pai gow 5 6386940 0.041435 0.207176
A high pai gow 3 14430780 0.093619 0.280858
Loser -1 129362660 0.839238 -0.839238
Total   154143080 1 -0.073457

 

Lucky 8's

 

Please see my page on the Lucky 8's for information on that side bet.

Pai Gow'd

 

Pai Gow'd is a side bet I noticed at the Four Queens on December 26, 2011. It is exactly like Pai Gow Insurance, explained above, but with a modified pay table. The lower right corner of the odds table below shows a house edge of 6.44%.

 

Pai Gow'd

Event Pays Combinations Probability Return
9 high pai gow 100 31080 0.000202 0.020163
10 high pai gow 50 248640 0.001613 0.080652
J high pai gow 10 963480 0.006251 0.062506
Q high pai gow 7 2719500 0.017643 0.123499
K high pai gow 5 6386940 0.041435 0.207176
A high pai gow 3 14430780 0.093619 0.280858
Loser -1 129362660 0.839238 -0.839238
Total   154143080 1 -0.064384

Jokolor

The Jokolor is a side bet mentioned on page 85 in the a document titled Rules of casino games in Great Britain (1124K). The side bet wins if the player has a joker and/or all cards of the same color. The following table shows the house edge is 3.90%.

Jokolor

Event Pays Combinations Probability Return
Six cards same color plus joker 30 460460 0.002987 0.089617
Seven cards same color, without joker 10 1315600 0.008535 0.085349
Any hand with joker 5 19898060 0.129088 0.645441
Loser -1 132468960 0.85939 -0.85939
Total   154143080 1 -0.038982

G3 Bonus

This side bet is paired with pai gow poker games, including EZ Pai Gow, offering the G3 electronic side bet wagering. As far as I can tell at the Rampart casino, it is just titled the "Bonus Bet."

 

Bonus Bet Return Table

Event Dynasty Pays Envy Bonus Combinations Probability Dynasty Return Envy Bonus
Natural 7-card Straight Flush 8000 $ 5000 32 0.000000 0.001661 0.000208
Royal Flush + Natural AQ Suited 2000 $ 1000 72 0.000000 0.000934 0.000093
Wild 7-card Straight Flush 1000 $ 500 196 0.000001 0.001272 0.000127
Five Aces 400 $ 250 1128 0.000007 0.002927 0.000366
Royal Flush 150 $ 50 26020 0.000169 0.025321 0.001688
Straight Flush 50 $ 20 184644 0.001198 0.059894 0.004791
Four of a Kind 25 $ 5 307472 0.001995 0.049868 0.001995
Full House 5 $ 0 4188528 0.027173 0.135865 0.000000
Flush 4 $ 0 6172088 0.040041 0.160165 0.000000
Three of a Kind 3 $ 0 7672500 0.049775 0.149326 0.000000
Straight 2 $ 0 11034204 0.071584 0.143168 0.000000
Losing combinations -1 $ 0 124556196 0.808056 -0.808056 0.000000
Total:     154143080 1.000000 -0.077656 0.009268

 

The next table shows the overall house edge according to the number of players, including yourself, and various bet amounts. Note that the high edge is lowest at a bet of $1. This is because the win for the Envy Bonus is the same, regardless how much the player bets.

 

Bonus Bet House Edge

Players $1-$4 bet $5 bet $10 bet $15 bet $25 bet
6 7.77% 3.13% 5.45% 6.22% 6.84%
5 7.77% 4.06% 5.91% 6.53% 7.02%
4 7.77% 4.99% 6.38% 6.84% 7.21%
3 7.77% 5.91% 6.84% 7.15% 7.39%
2 7.77% 6.84% 7.30% 7.46% 7.58%
1 7.77% 7.77% 7.77% 7.77% 7.77%

 

G3 Progressive

This is a progressive side bet found with G3 electronic betting units. The player may bet $1 to $25. All jackpot wins are the same, regardless of bet size, so I would never bet more than $1. As usual with progressive bets, wins are on a "for one" basis. That means you don't get your original bet back, even if you win. To be consistent with other pages on this site, the following page is on a "return basis," meaning what the player can expect to get back for his bet, based on a $1 bet.

 

G3 Progressive

Event Pays Combinations Probability Return
7-card Straight Flush Jackpot $ 228 0.000001 0.000000
Five Aces 0.1×Jackpot $ 1,128 0.000007 0.000000
Royal Flush $500 $ 26,092 0.000169 0.084636
Straight Flush $100 $ 184,644 0.001198 0.119787
Four of a Kind $75 $ 307,472 0.001995 0.149604
Full House $4 $ 4,188,528 0.027173 0.108692
All other 0 $ 149,434,988 0.969456 0.000000
Total   154,143,080 1.000000 0.462719

 

The bottom right corner shows a return of 46.27% on all fixed wins. The value of the progressive is 22.11% for each $100,000 in the meter. To reach 100% the meter would need to be $243,011.06.When I saw this bet at the Rampart casino on March 17, 2011, the meter was at $207,361, for a return of 92.12%. This was probably unusually high, because the Rampart has had a truck with a big sign in the back drive around Summerlin promoting the large jackpot.

 

 

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